- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 38996.00(Prev Close), the market ended March at 39807.00(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
38458.00(Month Low) to 39889.00(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in March than February in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, the #DJ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 39889.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move
toward 42014.25(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 840.95(Prev Close), the market ended March at 882.25(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
823.80(Month Low) to 883.25(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in March than February in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #UTIL went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 883.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 923.30(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 2413.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 2478.85(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
2388.50(Month Low) to 2492.15(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in March than February in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, the #OEX went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 2492.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 2627.54(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 1659.75(Prev Close), the market ended March at 1870.50(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
1380.75(Month Low) to 2080.50(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #NQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 2080.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 2228.98(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #QR(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 2054.85(Prev Close), the market ended March at 2072.00(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
2009.80(Month Low) to 2115.95(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in March than February in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, the #QR went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #QR should exceed 2115.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 2237.55(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 10155.00(Prev Close), the market ended March at 10551.00(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
10087.00(Month Low) to 10578.00(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in March than February in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, the #VLE went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 10578.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 11192.92(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 39166(Prev Close), the market ended March at 40168(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
38271(Month Low) to 41088(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in March than February in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #SSNI went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 41088(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 43832(Average Objective).
- June E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
- The YMM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 39468(Prev Close), the market ended March at 40176(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
38909(Month Low) to 40316(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed
higher in March than February in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, YMM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMM should exceed 40316(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 42517(Average Objective).
- June Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 65.15(Prev Close), the market ended March at 65.33(Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
64.98(Month Low) to 66.87(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, ADM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should exceed 66.87(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 69.47(Average Objective).
- June British Pound(CME)
- The BPM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 126.20(Prev Close), the market ended March at 126.27(Month Close),
that being 14%(Pct Range) off of
125.81(Month Low) to 129.00(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June British Pound(CME) also closed
higher in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, BPM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPM should exceed 129.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 133.20(Average Objective).
- June Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 114.37(Prev Close), the market ended March at 111.82(Month Close),
that being 14%(Pct Range) off of
111.20(Month Low) to 115.77(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
lower in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SFM went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFM should penetrate 111.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 107.13(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 76.81(Prev Close), the market ended March at 82.42(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
76.07(Month Low) to 82.46(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CLM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 82.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 91.00(Average Objective).
- July Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 76.18(Prev Close), the market ended March at 81.67(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
75.64(Month Low) to 81.71(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CLN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 81.71(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 90.31(Average Objective).
- August Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLQ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 75.53(Prev Close), the market ended March at 80.89(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
75.11(Month Low) to 80.92(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, CLQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLQ should exceed 80.92(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 89.35(Average Objective).
- June NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
- The HOM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 255.67(Prev Close), the market ended March at 261.97(Month Close),
that being 47%(Pct Range) off of
251.73(Month Low) to 273.47(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, HOM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOM should exceed 273.47(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 304.77(Average Objective).
- July NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
- The HON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 254.09(Prev Close), the market ended March at 261.85(Month Close),
that being 54%(Pct Range) off of
250.56(Month Low) to 271.52(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, HON went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HON should exceed 271.52(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 301.27(Average Objective).
- August NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
- The HOQ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 253.15(Prev Close), the market ended March at 261.79(Month Close),
that being 58%(Pct Range) off of
250.06(Month Low) to 270.30(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, HOQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOQ should exceed 270.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 299.04(Average Objective).
- June RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 253.86(Prev Close), the market ended March at 268.85(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
247.95(Month Low) to 271.74(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, RBM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 271.74(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 307.39(Average Objective).
- July RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 249.54(Prev Close), the market ended March at 264.59(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
244.36(Month Low) to 266.92(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, RBN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 266.92(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 298.30(Average Objective).
- August RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBQ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 244.70(Prev Close), the market ended March at 259.04(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
240.13(Month Low) to 261.10(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in March than February in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, RBQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBQ should exceed 261.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 289.79(Average Objective).
- June Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 2.249(Prev Close), the market ended March at 1.997(Month Close),
that being 15%(Pct Range) off of
1.928(Month Low) to 2.392(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in March than February in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, NGM went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should penetrate 1.928(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 1.743(Average Objective).
- July Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGN4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 2.507(Prev Close), the market ended March at 2.340(Month Close),
that being 18%(Pct Range) off of
2.273(Month Low) to 2.647(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in March than February in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, NGN went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGN should penetrate 2.273(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 2.040(Average Objective).
- August Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGQ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 2.584(Prev Close), the market ended March at 2.442(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
2.369(Month Low) to 2.716(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in March than February in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, NGQ went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGQ should penetrate 2.369(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 2.144(Average Objective).
- July Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 80.53(Prev Close), the market ended March at 86.15(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
80.13(Month Low) to 86.20(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CBN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBN should exceed 86.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 95.94(Average Objective).
- August Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBQ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 79.88(Prev Close), the market ended March at 85.35(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
79.57(Month Low) to 85.40(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CBQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBQ should exceed 85.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 94.57(Average Objective).
- September Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 79.26(Prev Close), the market ended March at 84.57(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
78.98(Month Low) to 84.61(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CBU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBU should exceed 84.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 93.32(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 45.62(Prev Close), the market ended March at 48.48(Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
44.94(Month Low) to 50.29(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, BON went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 50.29(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 55.35(Average Objective).
- July Corn(CBOT)
- The CN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 441.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 454.50(Month Close),
that being 79%(Pct Range) off of
433.75(Month Low) to 460.00(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should exceed 460.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 492.49(Average Objective).
- September Corn(CBOT)
- The CU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 450.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 464.50(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
442.75(Month Low) to 468.25(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in March than February in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, CU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should exceed 468.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 504.03(Average Objective).
- December Corn(CBOT)
- The CZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 463.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 477.75(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
456.50(Month Low) to 481.00(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CZ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should exceed 481.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 517.00(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 574.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 579.75(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
543.25(Month Low) to 595.75(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, KWN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should exceed 595.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 655.67(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 583.50(Prev Close), the market ended March at 590.75(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
552.00(Month Low) to 607.00(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, KWU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWU should exceed 607.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 666.64(Average Objective).
- June Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 181.230(Prev Close), the market ended March at 180.250(Month Close),
that being 38%(Pct Range) off of
176.400(Month Low) to 186.630(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in March than February in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, LCM went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should penetrate 176.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 164.280(Average Objective).
- August Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCQ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 180.700(Prev Close), the market ended March at 178.200(Month Close),
that being 33%(Pct Range) off of
174.750(Month Low) to 185.050(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in March than February in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, LCQ went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should penetrate 174.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 164.717(Average Objective).
- August Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCQ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 266.650(Prev Close), the market ended March at 258.830(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
255.530(Month Low) to 271.500(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in March than February in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, FCQ went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should penetrate 255.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 239.488(Average Objective).
- July Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 101.480(Prev Close), the market ended March at 104.000(Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
101.030(Month Low) to 105.600(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in March than February in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, HEN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEN should exceed 105.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 113.837(Average Objective).
- October Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBV4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 21.61(Prev Close), the market ended March at 22.05(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
20.57(Month Low) to 22.09(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SBV went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should exceed 22.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 24.12(Average Objective).
- September Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
March(Month). Compared to February's 14.36(Prev Close), the market ended March at 14.55(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
14.25(Month Low) to 14.65(Month High).
In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
higher in March than February in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, RRU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRU should exceed 14.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 15.87(Average Objective).
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