- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 38150.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 38996.00(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
38040.00(Month Low) to 39282.00(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in February than January in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #DJ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 39282.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 41288.32(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 2288.45(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2413.25(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
2296.15(Month Low) to 2428.90(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #OEX went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 2428.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 2545.84(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 753.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1659.75(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
791.75(Month Low) to 1707.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, the #NQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 1707.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 1834.83(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #QR(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 1947.35(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2016.70(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
1921.35(Month Low) to 2062.80(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in February than January in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #QR went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #QR should exceed 2062.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 2185.61(Average Objective).
- S&P MidCap 400 Index
- The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 2732.20(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2890.65(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
2715.35(Month Low) to 2896.65(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 4 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed
higher in February than January in 2(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 2, the #MZ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 2 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 2896.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 2 years) a potential move
toward 3026.33(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 9768.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 10155.00(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
9694.00(Month Low) to 10201.00(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in February than January in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #VLE went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 10201.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 10740.05(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 4845.75(Prev Close), the market ended February at 5096.25(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
4853.50(Month Low) to 5111.00(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in February than January in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #SP went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 5111.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 5367.95(Average Objective).
- June E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
- The YMM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 38663(Prev Close), the market ended February at 39468(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
38510(Month Low) to 39767(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, YMM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMM should exceed 39767(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 41504(Average Objective).
- June 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 122~110(Prev Close), the market ended February at 119~080(Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
117~110(Month Low) to 124~240(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, USM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USM should penetrate 117~110(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 113~100(Average Objective).
- June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 112~310(Prev Close), the market ended February at 110~140(Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
109~255(Month Low) to 113~290(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, TYM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYM should penetrate 109~255(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 107~145(Average Objective).
- June 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The FVM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 108~266(Prev Close), the market ended February at 106~290(Month Close),
that being 13%(Pct Range) off of
106~166(Month Low) to 109~126(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FVM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FVM should penetrate 106~166(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 104~307(Average Objective).
- June Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 66.21(Prev Close), the market ended February at 65.15(Month Close),
that being 28%(Pct Range) off of
64.68(Month Low) to 66.34(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, ADM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should penetrate 64.68(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 62.33(Average Objective).
- June EuroFX(CME)
- The EUM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 109.02(Prev Close), the market ended February at 108.50(Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
107.52(Month Low) to 109.58(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June EuroFX(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, EUM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUM should penetrate 107.52(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 103.78(Average Objective).
- June Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 69.77(Prev Close), the market ended February at 67.81(Month Close),
that being 15%(Pct Range) off of
67.44(Month Low) to 69.97(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, JYM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYM should penetrate 67.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 64.53(Average Objective).
- June Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 117.93(Prev Close), the market ended February at 114.37(Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
114.07(Month Low) to 118.55(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SFM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFM should penetrate 114.07(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 110.07(Average Objective).
- June US Dollar Index(ICE)
- The DXM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 102.775(Prev Close), the market ended February at 103.728(Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
102.390(Month Low) to 104.490(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, DXM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXM should exceed 104.490(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 107.708(Average Objective).
- June Gold(CMX)
- The GCM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 2087.0(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2074.6(Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
2016.3(Month Low) to 2102.5(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, GCM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCM should penetrate 2016.3(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 1896.1(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 75.56(Prev Close), the market ended February at 77.45(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
71.52(Month Low) to 78.83(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CLK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 78.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 88.96(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 75.35(Prev Close), the market ended February at 76.81(Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
71.47(Month Low) to 78.13(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CLM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 78.13(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 87.55(Average Objective).
- July Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 75.04(Prev Close), the market ended February at 76.18(Month Close),
that being 79%(Pct Range) off of
71.33(Month Low) to 77.44(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CLN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 77.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 86.03(Average Objective).
- May RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 246.49(Prev Close), the market ended February at 257.11(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
235.93(Month Low) to 262.19(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, RBK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 262.19(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 304.70(Average Objective).
- June RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 244.19(Prev Close), the market ended February at 253.86(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
233.69(Month Low) to 258.08(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, RBM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 258.08(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 296.63(Average Objective).
- July RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 240.53(Prev Close), the market ended February at 249.54(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
230.34(Month Low) to 253.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, RBN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 253.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 288.82(Average Objective).
- June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 79.95(Prev Close), the market ended February at 81.18(Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
76.18(Month Low) to 82.44(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CBM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBM should exceed 82.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 92.61(Average Objective).
- July Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 79.58(Prev Close), the market ended February at 80.53(Month Close),
that being 78%(Pct Range) off of
75.91(Month Low) to 81.82(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CBN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBN should exceed 81.82(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 91.32(Average Objective).
- August Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBQ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 79.19(Prev Close), the market ended February at 79.88(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
75.63(Month Low) to 81.30(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CBQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBQ should exceed 81.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 90.25(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(CBOT)
- The WN4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 610.25(Prev Close), the market ended February at 579.25(Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
556.50(Month Low) to 622.25(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, WN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 556.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 513.86(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(CBOT)
- The WU4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 621.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 586.75(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
565.75(Month Low) to 631.25(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, WU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WU should penetrate 565.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 528.83(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 615.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 574.25(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
550.50(Month Low) to 625.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in February than January in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, KWN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 550.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 513.95(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWU4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 626.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 583.50(Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
561.00(Month Low) to 635.00(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, KWU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWU should penetrate 561.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 527.69(Average Objective).
- August Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCQ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 178.930(Prev Close), the market ended February at 180.700(Month Close),
that being 39%(Pct Range) off of
178.750(Month Low) to 183.800(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, LCQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 183.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 192.486(Average Objective).
- August Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCQ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 266.750(Prev Close), the market ended February at 266.650(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
264.020(Month Low) to 272.200(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FCQ went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should penetrate 264.020(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 245.400(Average Objective).
- September Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCU4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 269.050(Prev Close), the market ended February at 267.520(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
265.770(Month Low) to 274.180(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, FCU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCU should penetrate 265.770(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 249.586(Average Objective).
- May Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 89.180(Prev Close), the market ended February at 90.730(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
85.100(Month Low) to 91.430(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, HEK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEK should exceed 91.430(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 99.604(Average Objective).
- June Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 97.900(Prev Close), the market ended February at 100.200(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
93.880(Month Low) to 100.930(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, HEM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEM should exceed 100.930(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 109.919(Average Objective).
- July Orange Juice(ICE)
- The JON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 345.65(Prev Close), the market ended February at 353.80(Month Close),
that being 44%(Pct Range) off of
330.70(Month Low) to 383.70(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Orange Juice(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, JON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JON should exceed 383.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 419.56(Average Objective).
- July Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCN4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 189.90(Prev Close), the market ended February at 182.70(Month Close),
that being 38%(Pct Range) off of
176.60(Month Low) to 192.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, KCN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCN should penetrate 176.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 160.98(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCU4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 189.45(Prev Close), the market ended February at 182.50(Month Close),
that being 38%(Pct Range) off of
176.55(Month Low) to 192.10(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, KCU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 176.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 161.15(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(ICE)
- The CTN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 87.13(Prev Close), the market ended February at 97.77(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
86.70(Month Low) to 102.68(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CTN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should exceed 102.68(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 109.16(Average Objective).
- July Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 18.19(Prev Close), the market ended February at 18.35(Month Close),
that being 13%(Pct Range) off of
18.22(Month Low) to 19.30(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, RRN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRN should exceed 19.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 21.45(Average Objective).
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