MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for June Gold(CMX) as of Dec 06, 2024 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 23 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 20 | |
| Exceeded High | 16 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 70% | 75% | 63% | 83% | 91% | 83% | 68% | 72% | 68% | 68% | 65% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 12.72% | 9.78% | 7.72% | 7.06% | 10.72% | 10.92% | 6.21% | 5.16% | 8.64% | 6.21% | 3.99% | |
| Max Increase | 39.45% | 36.10% | 18.38% | 17.87% | 103.28% | 59.53% | 15.31% | 11.23% | 24.77% | 11.84% | 15.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 11 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.64% | -0.44% | -1.61% | -1.77% | -1.53% | -0.99% | -2.32% | -1.46% | -1.01% | -1.41% | -1.01% | |
| Max Decline | -3.94% | -3.52% | -6.24% | -6.23% | -8.99% | -9.14% | -6.94% | -4.71% | -2.05% | -7.09% | -4.04% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
| 2024 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | No | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
