MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for June Gold(CMX) as of May 09, 2024 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 23 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 20 | |
| Exceeded High | 17 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 74% | 76% | 64% | 78% | 91% | 87% | 70% | 68% | 67% | 68% | 70% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 12.38% | 10.25% | 8.05% | 7.09% | 11.03% | 10.94% | 6.42% | 5.16% | 8.56% | 6.73% | 3.93% | |
| Max Increase | 39.45% | 36.10% | 18.38% | 17.87% | 103.28% | 59.53% | 15.31% | 11.23% | 24.77% | 14.45% | 15.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 12 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.80% | -0.49% | -1.53% | -1.69% | -1.56% | -1.21% | -2.28% | -1.46% | -1.13% | -1.45% | -1.10% | |
| Max Decline | -4.27% | -3.52% | -6.24% | -6.23% | -8.99% | -9.14% | -6.94% | -4.71% | -2.05% | -7.09% | -4.04% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 3 | |
| 2024 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | No | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Not Yet | ||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
