 |
| MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary |
|
| ScenarioSM Summary Dec 31, 2010 |
| Historical Data |
Scenario Data |
Current Market Data |
Mkt |
Cond |
Month |
Prev
Close |
Month
High |
Month
Low |
Month
Close |
Pct
Range |
Total
Years |
Cond
Years |
Action
Years |
Pct |
Scenario
Objective |
Average
Objective |
Last
Price |
| #DJ |
Higher |
Dec |
11006.00 |
11625.00 |
11007.00 |
11578.00 |
92% |
45 |
30 |
28 |
93% |
11625.00 |
12239.55 |
11578.00 |
| #TRAN |
Higher |
Dec |
4855.80 |
5123.50 |
4861.70 |
5106.80 |
94% |
40 |
28 |
26 |
93% |
5123.50 |
5599.14 |
5106.80 |
| #NDX |
Higher |
Dec |
2117.30 |
2238.90 |
2150.60 |
2217.90 |
76% |
24 |
12 |
11 |
92% |
2238.90 |
2431.74 |
2217.90 |
| #MID |
Higher |
Dec |
852.60 |
916.20 |
852.55 |
907.25 |
86% |
29 |
21 |
20 |
95% |
916.20 |
963.35 |
907.25 |
| #VLE |
Higher |
Dec |
2658.20 |
2889.00 |
2658.00 |
2865.40 |
90% |
27 |
23 |
22 |
96% |
2889.00 |
3073.33 |
2865.40 |
| #SP |
Higher |
Dec |
1180.55 |
1262.60 |
1186.60 |
1257.65 |
93% |
45 |
32 |
30 |
94% |
1262.60 |
1320.45 |
1257.65 |
| SPH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
1174.60 |
1258.50 |
1193.50 |
1253.00 |
92% |
28 |
21 |
21 |
100% |
1258.50 |
1318.42 |
1253.00 |
| EDH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
99.425 |
99.640 |
99.380 |
99.635 |
98% |
28 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
99.640 |
99.999 |
99.635 |
| EDH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
99.425 |
99.640 |
99.380 |
99.635 |
98% |
28 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
99.640 |
99.999 |
99.635 |
| CDH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
97.28 |
100.61 |
97.16 |
100.44 |
95% |
34 |
18 |
16 |
89% |
100.61 |
102.37 |
100.44 |
| GCJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
1388.3 |
1434.1 |
1364.7 |
1423.6 |
85% |
35 |
17 |
15 |
88% |
1434.1 |
1560.0 |
1423.6 |
| PLJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
1671.8 |
1780.9 |
1665.0 |
1778.2 |
98% |
42 |
21 |
18 |
86% |
1780.9 |
2085.2 |
1778.2 |
| PAH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
703.00 |
804.90 |
694.15 |
803.30 |
99% |
33 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
804.90 |
995.10 |
803.30 |
| PAM1 |
Higher |
Dec |
703.95 |
804.40 |
706.10 |
804.40 |
100% |
32 |
18 |
16 |
89% |
804.40 |
1015.67 |
804.40 |
| HGH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
382.55 |
445.20 |
378.70 |
444.70 |
99% |
45 |
27 |
24 |
89% |
445.20 |
496.70 |
444.70 |
| HGK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
382.05 |
444.35 |
380.60 |
443.95 |
99% |
45 |
25 |
24 |
96% |
444.35 |
489.58 |
443.95 |
| CLJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
85.38 |
93.45 |
85.12 |
92.91 |
94% |
27 |
12 |
12 |
100% |
93.45 |
103.28 |
92.91 |
| CLK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
85.63 |
93.89 |
86.45 |
93.41 |
94% |
27 |
11 |
11 |
100% |
93.89 |
103.33 |
93.41 |
| HOJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
233.16 |
256.25 |
233.79 |
254.44 |
92% |
31 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
256.25 |
276.86 |
254.44 |
| HOK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
232.46 |
255.69 |
232.60 |
254.04 |
93% |
31 |
14 |
13 |
93% |
255.69 |
276.26 |
254.04 |
| RBJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
229.01 |
254.33 |
229.62 |
252.52 |
93% |
25 |
13 |
13 |
100% |
254.33 |
276.84 |
252.52 |
| RBK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
229.79 |
254.61 |
233.65 |
252.89 |
92% |
25 |
12 |
12 |
100% |
254.61 |
278.65 |
252.89 |
| NGJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
4.142 |
4.557 |
3.980 |
4.401 |
73% |
20 |
7 |
6 |
86% |
4.557 |
5.376 |
4.401 |
| NGK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
4.174 |
4.559 |
4.020 |
4.434 |
77% |
20 |
7 |
7 |
100% |
4.559 |
5.252 |
4.434 |
| SH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
1251.50 |
1404.00 |
1249.00 |
1403.00 |
99% |
45 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
1404.00 |
1497.98 |
1403.00 |
| SK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
1253.00 |
1410.50 |
1251.25 |
1409.00 |
99% |
45 |
22 |
19 |
86% |
1410.50 |
1520.21 |
1409.00 |
| KWN1 |
Higher |
Dec |
759.00 |
876.75 |
760.75 |
865.25 |
90% |
34 |
15 |
13 |
87% |
876.75 |
955.17 |
865.25 |
| LCJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
109.385 |
112.650 |
107.030 |
112.200 |
92% |
43 |
27 |
26 |
96% |
112.650 |
119.198 |
112.200 |
| LCM1 |
Higher |
Dec |
106.250 |
109.885 |
104.200 |
109.280 |
89% |
45 |
31 |
29 |
94% |
109.885 |
114.637 |
109.280 |
| FCH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
119.780 |
124.950 |
117.680 |
123.950 |
86% |
38 |
21 |
20 |
95% |
124.950 |
131.695 |
123.950 |
| FCJ1 |
Higher |
Dec |
120.400 |
125.530 |
118.450 |
124.835 |
90% |
38 |
22 |
21 |
95% |
125.530 |
131.962 |
124.835 |
| FCK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
120.635 |
125.450 |
119.100 |
125.230 |
97% |
39 |
21 |
21 |
100% |
125.450 |
131.289 |
125.230 |
| LEM1 |
Higher |
Dec |
88.750 |
93.280 |
87.750 |
93.050 |
96% |
41 |
21 |
20 |
95% |
93.280 |
100.295 |
93.050 |
| SBN1 |
Higher |
Dec |
22.32 |
27.00 |
22.45 |
26.20 |
82% |
45 |
24 |
21 |
88% |
27.00 |
31.00 |
26.20 |
| CCN1 |
Higher |
Dec |
2847 |
3165 |
2785 |
3064 |
73% |
45 |
26 |
22 |
85% |
3165 |
3500 |
3064 |
| LBH1 |
Higher |
Dec |
268.2 |
330.5 |
264.0 |
320.0 |
84% |
37 |
23 |
20 |
87% |
330.5 |
366.0 |
320.0 |
| LBK1 |
Higher |
Dec |
271.0 |
338.2 |
275.7 |
332.6 |
91% |
37 |
24 |
23 |
96% |
338.2 |
368.0 |
332.6 |
- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 11006.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 11578.00(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
11007.00(Month Low) to 11625.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in December than November in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 11625.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move
toward 12239.55(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 4855.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 5106.80(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
4861.70(Month Low) to 5123.50(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 5123.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 5599.14(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 2117.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2217.90(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
2150.60(Month Low) to 2238.90(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, the #NDX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 2238.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 2431.74(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 852.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 907.25(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
852.55(Month Low) to 916.20(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 916.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 963.35(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 2658.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2865.40(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
2658.00(Month Low) to 2889.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2889.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 3073.33(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1180.55(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1257.65(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
1186.60(Month Low) to 1262.60(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 32, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1262.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move
toward 1320.45(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500(CME)
- The SPH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1174.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1253.00(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
1193.50(Month Low) to 1258.50(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1258.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 1318.42(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 99.425(Prev Close), the market ended December at 99.635(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
99.380(Month Low) to 99.640(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, EDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.640(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 99.999(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 99.425(Prev Close), the market ended December at 99.635(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
99.380(Month Low) to 99.640(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, EDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.640(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 99.999(Average Objective).
- March Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 97.28(Prev Close), the market ended December at 100.44(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
97.16(Month Low) to 100.61(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, CDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should exceed 100.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 102.37(Average Objective).
- April Gold(CMX)
- The GCJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1388.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1423.6(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
1364.7(Month Low) to 1434.1(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, GCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should exceed 1434.1(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 1560.0(Average Objective).
- April Platinum(NYMEX)
- The PLJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1671.8(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1778.2(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
1665.0(Month Low) to 1780.9(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, PLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1780.9(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 2085.2(Average Objective).
- March Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 703.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 803.30(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
694.15(Month Low) to 804.90(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, PAH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 804.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 995.10(Average Objective).
- June Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 703.95(Prev Close), the market ended December at 804.40(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
706.10(Month Low) to 804.40(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, PAM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAM should exceed 804.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 1015.67(Average Objective).
- March Copper(CMX)
- The HGH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 382.55(Prev Close), the market ended December at 444.70(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
378.70(Month Low) to 445.20(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, HGH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGH should exceed 445.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 496.70(Average Objective).
- May Copper(CMX)
- The HGK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 382.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at 443.95(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
380.60(Month Low) to 444.35(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, HGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 444.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 489.58(Average Objective).
- April Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 85.38(Prev Close), the market ended December at 92.91(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
85.12(Month Low) to 93.45(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 93.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 103.28(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 85.63(Prev Close), the market ended December at 93.41(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
86.45(Month Low) to 93.89(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 93.89(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 103.33(Average Objective).
- April Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 233.16(Prev Close), the market ended December at 254.44(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
233.79(Month Low) to 256.25(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 256.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 276.86(Average Objective).
- May Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 232.46(Prev Close), the market ended December at 254.04(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
232.60(Month Low) to 255.69(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 255.69(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 276.26(Average Objective).
- April Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 229.01(Prev Close), the market ended December at 252.52(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
229.62(Month Low) to 254.33(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 254.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 276.84(Average Objective).
- May Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 229.79(Prev Close), the market ended December at 252.89(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
233.65(Month Low) to 254.61(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 254.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 278.65(Average Objective).
- April Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 4.142(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.401(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
3.980(Month Low) to 4.557(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, NGJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should exceed 4.557(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 5.376(Average Objective).
- May Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 4.174(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.434(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
4.020(Month Low) to 4.559(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, NGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 4.559(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 5.252(Average Objective).
- March Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1251.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1403.00(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
1249.00(Month Low) to 1404.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should exceed 1404.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 1497.98(Average Objective).
- May Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1253.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1409.00(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
1251.25(Month Low) to 1410.50(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should exceed 1410.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1520.21(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 759.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 865.25(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
760.75(Month Low) to 876.75(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, KWN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should exceed 876.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 955.17(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 109.385(Prev Close), the market ended December at 112.200(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
107.030(Month Low) to 112.650(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 112.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 119.198(Average Objective).
- June Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 106.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.280(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
104.200(Month Low) to 109.885(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 31, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 109.885(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move
toward 114.637(Average Objective).
- March Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 119.780(Prev Close), the market ended December at 123.950(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
117.680(Month Low) to 124.950(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 124.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 131.695(Average Objective).
- April Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 120.400(Prev Close), the market ended December at 124.835(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
118.450(Month Low) to 125.530(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 125.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 131.962(Average Objective).
- May Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 120.635(Prev Close), the market ended December at 125.230(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
119.100(Month Low) to 125.450(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 125.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 131.289(Average Objective).
- June Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEM1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 88.750(Prev Close), the market ended December at 93.050(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
87.750(Month Low) to 93.280(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, LEM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEM should exceed 93.280(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 100.295(Average Objective).
- July Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 22.32(Prev Close), the market ended December at 26.20(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
22.45(Month Low) to 27.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SBN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 27.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 31.00(Average Objective).
- July Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCN1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 2847(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3064(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
2785(Month Low) to 3165(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, CCN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should exceed 3165(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 3500(Average Objective).
- March Lumber(CME)
- The LBH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 268.2(Prev Close), the market ended December at 320.0(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
264.0(Month Low) to 330.5(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, LBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 330.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 366.0(Average Objective).
- May Lumber(CME)
- The LBK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 271.0(Prev Close), the market ended December at 332.6(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
275.7(Month Low) to 338.2(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, LBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should exceed 338.2(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 368.0(Average Objective).
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