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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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ScenarioSM Summary Feb 29, 2008
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#NDX Lower Feb 1841.40 1865.00 1714.90 1745.30 20% 22 11 10 91% 1714.90 1594.97 1745.30
NDM8 Lower Feb 1858.50 1874.30 1756.80 1756.80 0% 11 8 8 100% 1756.80 1651.74 1756.80
TYM8 Higher Feb 115~235 117~140 113~250 117~090 96% 25 13 11 85% 117~140 119~161 117~090
EDU8 Higher Feb 97.555 97.815 97.360 97.785 93% 25 13 12 92% 97.815 98.133 97.785
CDM8 Higher Feb 99.31 102.70 97.99 101.54 75% 31 13 12 92% 102.70 105.02 101.54
ADM8 Higher Feb 88.31 93.59 87.90 91.90 70% 21 13 11 85% 93.59 97.09 91.90
HGK8 Higher Feb 331.60 390.50 321.70 385.50 93% 45 25 22 88% 390.50 435.53 385.50
HGN8 Higher Feb 331.15 386.70 322.75 384.25 96% 45 26 25 96% 386.70 428.35 384.25
CLM8 Higher Feb 91.31 102.18 86.45 100.97 92% 24 14 12 86% 102.18 114.03 100.97
CLN8 Higher Feb 91.10 101.53 86.30 100.64 94% 24 14 13 93% 101.53 112.01 100.64
HOM8 Higher Feb 246.81 277.00 237.03 275.14 95% 28 12 11 92% 277.00 307.99 275.14
HON8 Higher Feb 246.51 275.60 236.93 274.34 97% 28 12 11 92% 275.60 304.01 274.34
RBM8 Higher Feb 252.47 277.50 240.30 269.09 77% 22 10 10 100% 277.50 325.33 269.09
RBN8 Higher Feb 251.52 273.64 239.50 268.39 85% 22 10 10 100% 273.64 317.71 268.39
SK8 Higher Feb 1292.50 1539.25 1298.00 1536.50 99% 45 21 18 86% 1539.25 1690.65 1536.50
SN8 Higher Feb 1307.25 1548.25 1312.00 1546.00 99% 45 23 20 87% 1548.25 1686.49 1546.00
SQ8 Higher Feb 1296.00 1528.00 1258.00 1515.00 95% 45 23 20 87% 1528.00 1661.88 1515.00
SX8 Higher Feb 1245.50 1440.00 1249.00 1426.00 93% 45 25 22 88% 1440.00 1523.21 1426.00
BOK8 Higher Feb 54.36 69.15 54.60 68.82 98% 45 28 24 86% 69.15 75.68 68.82
BON8 Higher Feb 54.82 69.80 55.18 69.32 97% 45 28 25 89% 69.80 76.34 69.32
BOQ8 Higher Feb 55.02 69.92 55.45 69.70 98% 45 28 25 89% 69.92 76.40 69.70
SMK8 Higher Feb 346.30 387.00 347.50 382.20 88% 45 18 16 89% 387.00 431.19 382.20
SMN8 Higher Feb 349.50 389.50 351.50 384.70 87% 45 18 16 89% 389.50 430.29 384.70
SMQ8 Higher Feb 345.70 387.50 349.50 380.00 80% 45 19 16 84% 387.50 426.71 380.00
MWK8 Higher Feb 1244.75 1900.00 1262.00 1619.75 56% 27 10 9 90% 1900.00 2028.13 1619.75
MWN8 Higher Feb 1095.00 1560.00 1100.00 1350.00 54% 27 10 9 90% 1560.00 1663.98 1350.00
RRK8 Higher Feb 15.15 18.10 15.38 18.05 98% 21 7 6 86% 18.10 20.01 18.05
LCJ8 Higher Feb 94.280 96.300 93.300 94.335 34% 40 25 22 88% 96.300 102.664 94.335
LCM8 Higher Feb 93.530 96.050 93.050 95.335 76% 43 24 21 88% 96.050 101.909 95.335
LCQ8 Higher Feb 96.300 98.650 96.050 98.585 97% 42 20 17 85% 98.650 104.034 98.585
SBV8 Higher Feb 13.31 15.14 12.84 14.97 93% 44 20 17 85% 15.14 16.97 14.97
CTK8 Higher Feb 69.80 82.33 68.25 81.86 97% 45 24 21 88% 82.33 89.49 81.86


NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1841.40(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1745.30(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 1714.90(Month Low) to 1865.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed lower in February than January in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, the #NDX went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should penetrate 1714.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 1594.97(Average Objective).

June NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDM8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1858.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1756.80(Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 1756.80(Month Low) to 1874.30(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 11 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed lower in February than January in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, NDM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDM should penetrate 1756.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 1651.74(Average Objective).

June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 115~235(Prev Close), the market ended February at 117~090(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 113~250(Month Low) to 117~140(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, TYM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYM should exceed 117~140(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 119~161(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 97.555(Prev Close), the market ended February at 97.785(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 97.360(Month Low) to 97.815(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, EDU went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 97.815(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 98.133(Average Objective).

June Canadian Dollar(CME)
The CDM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 99.31(Prev Close), the market ended February at 101.54(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 97.99(Month Low) to 102.70(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CDM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDM should exceed 102.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 105.02(Average Objective).

June Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 88.31(Prev Close), the market ended February at 91.90(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 87.90(Month Low) to 93.59(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, ADM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should exceed 93.59(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 97.09(Average Objective).

May Copper(CMX)
The HGK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 331.60(Prev Close), the market ended February at 385.50(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 321.70(Month Low) to 390.50(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, HGK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 390.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 435.53(Average Objective).

July Copper(CMX)
The HGN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 331.15(Prev Close), the market ended February at 384.25(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 322.75(Month Low) to 386.70(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed higher in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, HGN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 386.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 428.35(Average Objective).

June Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 91.31(Prev Close), the market ended February at 100.97(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 86.45(Month Low) to 102.18(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CLM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 102.18(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 114.03(Average Objective).

July Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 91.10(Prev Close), the market ended February at 100.64(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 86.30(Month Low) to 101.53(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CLN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 101.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 112.01(Average Objective).

June Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 246.81(Prev Close), the market ended February at 275.14(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 237.03(Month Low) to 277.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, HOM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOM should exceed 277.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 307.99(Average Objective).

July Heating Oil(NYM)
The HON8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 246.51(Prev Close), the market ended February at 274.34(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 236.93(Month Low) to 275.60(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, HON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HON should exceed 275.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 304.01(Average Objective).

June Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 252.47(Prev Close), the market ended February at 269.09(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 240.30(Month Low) to 277.50(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, RBM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 277.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 325.33(Average Objective).

July Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 251.52(Prev Close), the market ended February at 268.39(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 239.50(Month Low) to 273.64(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, RBN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 273.64(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 317.71(Average Objective).

May Soybeans(CBOT)
The SK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1292.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1536.50(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 1298.00(Month Low) to 1539.25(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, SK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should exceed 1539.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 1690.65(Average Objective).

July Soybeans(CBOT)
The SN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1307.25(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1546.00(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 1312.00(Month Low) to 1548.25(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, SN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SN should exceed 1548.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 1686.49(Average Objective).

August Soybeans(CBOT)
The SQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1296.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1515.00(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 1258.00(Month Low) to 1528.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, SQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SQ should exceed 1528.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 1661.88(Average Objective).

November Soybeans(CBOT)
The SX8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1245.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1426.00(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 1249.00(Month Low) to 1440.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SX went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SX should exceed 1440.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 1523.21(Average Objective).

May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 54.36(Prev Close), the market ended February at 68.82(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 54.60(Month Low) to 69.15(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, BOK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should exceed 69.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 75.68(Average Objective).

July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BON8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 54.82(Prev Close), the market ended February at 69.32(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 55.18(Month Low) to 69.80(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, BON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 69.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 76.34(Average Objective).

August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 55.02(Prev Close), the market ended February at 69.70(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 55.45(Month Low) to 69.92(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, BOQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should exceed 69.92(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 76.40(Average Objective).

May Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 346.30(Prev Close), the market ended February at 382.20(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 347.50(Month Low) to 387.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, SMK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMK should exceed 387.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 431.19(Average Objective).

July Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 349.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 384.70(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 351.50(Month Low) to 389.50(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, SMN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMN should exceed 389.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 430.29(Average Objective).

August Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 345.70(Prev Close), the market ended February at 380.00(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 349.50(Month Low) to 387.50(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SMQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMQ should exceed 387.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 426.71(Average Objective).

May Wheat(MGE)
The MWK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1244.75(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1619.75(Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 1262.00(Month Low) to 1900.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, MWK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWK should exceed 1900.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 2028.13(Average Objective).

July Wheat(MGE)
The MWN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1095.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1350.00(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 1100.00(Month Low) to 1560.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, MWN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWN should exceed 1560.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 1663.98(Average Objective).

May Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 15.15(Prev Close), the market ended February at 18.05(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 15.38(Month Low) to 18.10(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, RRK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should exceed 18.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 20.01(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 94.280(Prev Close), the market ended February at 94.335(Month Close), that being 34%(Pct Range) off of 93.300(Month Low) to 96.300(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, LCJ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 96.300(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 102.664(Average Objective).

June Live Cattle(CME)
The LCM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 93.530(Prev Close), the market ended February at 95.335(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 93.050(Month Low) to 96.050(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, LCM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 96.050(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 101.909(Average Objective).

August Live Cattle(CME)
The LCQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 96.300(Prev Close), the market ended February at 98.585(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 96.050(Month Low) to 98.650(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, LCQ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 98.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 104.034(Average Objective).

October Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBV8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 13.31(Prev Close), the market ended February at 14.97(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 12.84(Month Low) to 15.14(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, SBV went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should exceed 15.14(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 16.97(Average Objective).

May Cotton(ICE)
The CTK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 69.80(Prev Close), the market ended February at 81.86(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 68.25(Month Low) to 82.33(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, CTK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTK should exceed 82.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 89.49(Average Objective).