MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for September Corn(CBOT) as of Dec 30, 2016 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug |
| Tested Years | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 25 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 22 | |
| Exceeded High | 16 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 25 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 11 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 64% | 65% | 75% | 91% | 76% | 93% | 83% | 81% | 73% | 65% | 50% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 6.76% | 9.33% | 8.95% | 7.55% | 6.71% | 8.43% | 12.71% | 12.75% | 15.91% | 11.97% | 4.70% | |
| Max Increase | 14.84% | 26.38% | 29.46% | 16.18% | 17.33% | 41.01% | 42.10% | 56.06% | 34.25% | 20.75% | 11.13% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 20 | 15 | 18 | 22 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 7 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.83% | -2.48% | -1.63% | -1.32% | -2.88% | -2.18% | -3.35% | -2.68% | -0.43% | -1.55% | -0.78% | |
| Max Decline | -10.94% | -7.80% | -6.73% | -3.26% | -10.61% | -10.55% | -10.89% | -5.50% | -5.47% | -6.60% | -2.19% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
| 2016 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
