MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March Silver(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2018 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 17 | 22 | 16 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 27 | 23 | |
| Exceeded High | 14 | 16 | 13 | 20 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 13 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 82% | 73% | 81% | 77% | 65% | 67% | 65% | 83% | 90% | 78% | 57% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 8.18% | 10.53% | 10.42% | 14.66% | 21.52% | 12.52% | 16.90% | 22.62% | 22.23% | 14.45% | 6.85% | |
| Max Increase | 14.78% | 27.27% | 22.02% | 81.96% | 67.95% | 34.44% | 67.34% | 115.36% | 95.03% | 58.37% | 15.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 13 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.82% | -2.32% | -1.42% | -3.58% | -1.86% | -3.15% | -3.45% | -1.63% | -3.34% | -2.87% | -1.56% | |
| Max Decline | -10.75% | -9.91% | -7.22% | -13.99% | -10.68% | -11.59% | -10.90% | -10.80% | -14.99% | -14.24% | -3.66% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 3 | |
| 2017 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | No | No | Yes | Not Yet | ||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
