MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for April Gold(CMX) as of May 09, 2024 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 21 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 19 | |
| Exceeded High | 15 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 71% | 75% | 74% | 79% | 63% | 78% | 92% | 86% | 68% | 67% | 63% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 6.66% | 6.34% | 12.21% | 9.42% | 7.88% | 7.11% | 10.45% | 10.98% | 6.26% | 4.74% | 5.86% | |
| Max Increase | 26.63% | 15.14% | 41.74% | 36.12% | 18.39% | 17.89% | 102.90% | 60.45% | 15.35% | 9.37% | 12.44% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 13 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 17 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.15% | -1.08% | -1.62% | -0.64% | -1.76% | -1.74% | -1.99% | -1.03% | -2.36% | -1.24% | -0.76% | |
| Max Decline | -4.91% | -4.21% | -4.29% | -3.49% | -6.30% | -6.01% | -9.36% | -9.23% | -7.12% | -4.74% | -1.85% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 4 | |
| 2024 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
| Action | No | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | |||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
