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ScenarioSM Study for March Silver(CMX) as of Jun 08, 2020 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 17 | 23 | 15 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 19 | 16 | 22 | 29 | 20 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 17 | 12 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 12 | |
Scenario Percentage | 76% | 74% | 80% | 84% | 71% | 65% | 58% | 81% | 91% | 72% | 60% | |
Avg Max Increase | 8.26% | 9.30% | 10.12% | 14.96% | 19.42% | 11.70% | 17.86% | 22.65% | 15.87% | 11.48% | 6.90% | |
Max Increase | 14.78% | 27.27% | 21.37% | 81.96% | 67.95% | 34.44% | 67.34% | 115.36% | 42.86% | 24.65% | 15.74% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 14 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.33% | -2.01% | -1.64% | -3.68% | -1.62% | -3.37% | -3.33% | -1.80% | -3.30% | -3.05% | -1.50% | |
Max Decline | -10.75% | -9.91% | -7.22% | -13.99% | -10.68% | -11.59% | -10.90% | -10.80% | -14.99% | -14.24% | -3.66% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |
2020 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.