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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of May 10, 2024 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 17 | 11 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 19 | |
Exceeded High | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 25 | 19 | 16 | |
Scenario Percentage | 71% | 100% | 68% | 65% | 94% | 83% | 83% | 95% | 89% | 73% | 84% | |
Avg Max Increase | 5.64% | 10.28% | 10.51% | 12.01% | 7.93% | 8.87% | 13.56% | 14.74% | 9.68% | 9.30% | 8.21% | |
Max Increase | 14.45% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 23.88% | 17.26% | 78.46% | 45.18% | 32.89% | 22.55% | 14.83% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 14 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.08% | -1.93% | -1.40% | -0.46% | -1.16% | -2.26% | -3.91% | -3.11% | -2.28% | -2.43% | -1.45% | |
Max Decline | -7.04% | -7.77% | -5.66% | -2.57% | -3.81% | -10.60% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 3 | |
2024 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | No | Yes | Yes | No | Yes |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.