MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for December Gold(CMX) as of Oct 29, 2021 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 23 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 23 | |
| Exceeded High | 17 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 16 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 74% | 65% | 71% | 70% | 80% | 76% | 86% | 80% | 73% | 74% | 70% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 6.28% | 4.91% | 8.40% | 6.49% | 6.98% | 7.02% | 11.82% | 10.60% | 8.67% | 7.34% | 4.89% | |
| Max Increase | 15.14% | 11.10% | 24.83% | 13.41% | 26.11% | 14.77% | 43.18% | 36.06% | 21.45% | 17.88% | 21.69% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 13 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.83% | -1.49% | -1.07% | -1.67% | -1.68% | -1.36% | -1.94% | -0.83% | -1.64% | -1.41% | -1.35% | |
| Max Decline | -6.75% | -4.64% | -2.01% | -6.89% | -4.98% | -4.24% | -4.30% | -3.76% | -6.62% | -3.23% | -9.34% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | |
| 2021 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Not Yet | |||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
