MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for June Gold(CMX) as of Jan 21, 2022 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 23 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 21 | 21 | |
| Exceeded High | 18 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 78% | 80% | 67% | 79% | 86% | 87% | 70% | 70% | 65% | 67% | 71% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 12.06% | 10.40% | 8.99% | 7.57% | 11.04% | 10.99% | 6.69% | 4.96% | 8.88% | 6.90% | 3.79% | |
| Max Increase | 39.45% | 36.10% | 22.87% | 17.87% | 103.28% | 59.53% | 15.31% | 11.23% | 24.77% | 14.45% | 15.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 13 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.80% | -0.48% | -1.55% | -1.57% | -1.70% | -1.44% | -2.04% | -1.55% | -1.14% | -1.50% | -1.18% | |
| Max Decline | -4.27% | -3.52% | -6.24% | -6.23% | -8.99% | -9.14% | -6.94% | -4.71% | -2.05% | -7.09% | -4.04% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 3 | |
| 2021 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
