MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for April Gold(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2019 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
| Tested Years | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 44 | |
| Closed Higher | 20 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 16 | |
| Exceeded High | 14 | 10 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 9 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 70% | 71% | 77% | 79% | 67% | 76% | 86% | 85% | 67% | 64% | 56% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 5.99% | 5.12% | 12.21% | 10.91% | 9.08% | 7.82% | 10.87% | 11.85% | 7.02% | 4.37% | 4.96% | |
| Max Increase | 26.63% | 13.22% | 41.74% | 36.12% | 22.65% | 17.89% | 102.90% | 60.45% | 15.35% | 7.67% | 12.44% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 19 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.17% | -0.95% | -1.86% | -0.70% | -1.67% | -1.52% | -2.32% | -1.72% | -2.11% | -1.31% | -0.88% | |
| Max Decline | -4.91% | -4.21% | -4.29% | -3.49% | -6.30% | -6.01% | -9.36% | -9.23% | -7.12% | -4.74% | -1.85% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
| 2018 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
