MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for February Gold(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2014 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan |
| Tested Years | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 39 | |
| Closed Higher | 13 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 25 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 16 | |
| Exceeded High | 9 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 69% | 69% | 72% | 67% | 83% | 85% | 76% | 81% | 80% | 83% | 75% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 8.58% | 6.35% | 6.51% | 5.78% | 12.90% | 11.80% | 8.82% | 7.56% | 11.62% | 12.31% | 4.64% | |
| Max Increase | 24.03% | 13.38% | 26.39% | 12.82% | 42.74% | 36.10% | 21.89% | 17.86% | 102.79% | 61.37% | 11.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 13 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -0.86% | -1.10% | -1.34% | -1.35% | -1.88% | -0.68% | -1.55% | -1.37% | -2.08% | -1.85% | -1.98% | |
| Max Decline | -1.91% | -5.03% | -4.28% | -3.92% | -4.04% | -3.70% | -6.39% | -3.39% | -9.50% | -9.36% | -4.33% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
| 2013 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
