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MRCI's Historical Limit Report

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MRCI's Historical Limit Report

Orange Juice(ICE)
Last 200 Days Limit Statistics(1974-2014 Contracts)

Limit
Up		 Tot Pct
Exceed		 Limit
Down		 Tot Pct
Exceed
Total Limits 415   385  
Exceed Day 1 240(58%) 58% 221(57%) 57%
Exceed Day 2 20(5%) 63% 16(4%) 62%
Exceed Day 3 65(16%) 78% 64(17%) 78%
Exceed Days 4-7 24(6%) 84% 27(7%) 85%
Exceed Days 8-20 17(4%) 88% 24(6%) 91%
Exceed Days 21-50 15(4%) 92% 13(3%) 95%
Exceed Days 51-100 4(1%) 93% 7(2%) 97%
Exceed > Day 100 29(7%) 100% 13(3%) 100%
Exceed by
Later Contracts		 29(7%)   16(4%)  
Limits Not Exceeded
Date Up Down
Mar 2012-01/26/2012 221.15  
Limits by Month
Type Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Up 122 27 45 22 14 23 16 24 10 52 10 50
Down 54 36 25 24 14 38 25 25 19 57 23 45
Total 176 63 70 46 28 61 41 49 29 109 33 95
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Newsflash

MRCI seasonal pattern alert: Copper loves to correct hard right after new ATHs.

We're in that window now! Could see more chop into end-Jan before the seasonal spring higher. But the macro? Demand outrunning supply for YEARS. Don't fight the tape...

Read the analysis from a professional trader leveraging 20-plus years of MRCI’s seasonal research – here