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MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Dec 31, 2013
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Dec 13026.00 13366.00 12884.00 13104.00 46% 45 31 29 94% 13366.00 14113.68 14579.00
#TRAN Higher Dec 5119.00 5358.00 5042.00 5307.00 84% 43 31 29 94% 5358.00 5842.64 6255.00
#OEX Higher Dec 646.40 658.20 633.95 646.60 52% 37 26 24 92% 658.20 695.18 704.55
#RUT Higher Dec 821.90 852.50 816.10 849.35 91% 34 27 26 96% 852.50 915.46 951.55
#MID Higher Dec 1000.15 1030.15 991.90 1020.45 75% 32 23 22 96% 1030.15 1087.15 1153.70
#VLE Higher Dec 3072.80 3187.30 3047.40 3164.70 84% 30 26 25 96% 3187.30 3405.39 3548.80
#SSNI Higher Dec 9446 10434 9377 10395 96% 31 22 20 91% 10434 11103 12398
#SP Higher Dec 1416.20 1448.00 1398.10 1426.20 56% 45 33 31 94% 1448.00 1521.59 1569.20
SPH4 Higher Dec 1797.70 1846.50 1754.40 1841.10 94% 31 24 24 100% 1846.50 1942.73 1841.10
JYH4 Lower Dec 97.67 98.45 94.89 95.03 4% 37 18 17 94% 94.89 91.29 95.03
CDH4 Higher Dec 93.86 94.46 92.93 93.92 65% 37 20 18 90% 94.46 96.21 93.92
GCG4 Lower Dec 1250.4 1267.5 1181.4 1202.3 24% 38 20 17 85% 1181.4 1110.0 1202.3
GCJ4 Lower Dec 1251.3 1266.7 1182.3 1203.0 25% 38 20 17 85% 1182.3 1107.2 1203.0
PLJ4 Higher Dec 1372.3 1402.8 1315.8 1373.8 67% 45 22 19 86% 1402.8 1629.5 1373.8
HGH4 Higher Dec 320.50 342.00 315.80 339.65 91% 45 26 24 92% 342.00 373.30 339.65
HGK4 Higher Dec 320.60 341.35 316.00 338.50 89% 45 25 25 100% 341.35 371.53 338.50
CLJ4 Higher Dec 93.32 100.33 92.86 98.44 75% 30 14 14 100% 100.33 110.48 98.44
CLK4 Higher Dec 93.29 99.53 93.17 97.99 76% 30 13 13 100% 99.53 109.30 97.99
CLM4 Higher Dec 93.12 98.60 92.95 97.28 77% 30 13 13 100% 98.60 107.91 97.28
CLN4 Higher Dec 92.83 97.59 93.15 96.45 74% 29 13 13 100% 97.59 106.52 96.45
HOJ4 Higher Dec 301.19 308.24 294.33 304.35 72% 34 17 16 94% 308.24 335.49 304.35
HOK4 Higher Dec 299.90 307.00 293.64 303.39 73% 34 15 14 93% 307.00 334.57 303.39
HOM4 Higher Dec 298.70 305.91 293.10 302.46 73% 34 16 14 88% 305.91 332.07 302.46
HON4 Higher Dec 297.94 304.83 292.85 301.82 75% 33 13 12 92% 304.83 332.06 301.82
RBJ4 Higher Dec 286.39 300.27 283.22 296.10 76% 28 16 16 100% 300.27 332.38 296.10
RBK4 Higher Dec 286.24 300.12 283.40 295.35 71% 28 15 15 100% 300.12 333.67 295.35
RBM4 Higher Dec 284.53 297.31 281.46 292.54 70% 28 16 16 100% 297.31 326.93 292.54
RBN4 Higher Dec 282.03 294.10 279.26 289.21 67% 28 15 14 93% 294.10 321.77 289.21
NGJ4 Higher Dec 3.902 4.259 3.849 4.105 62% 23 8 7 88% 4.259 4.958 4.105
NGK4 Higher Dec 3.915 4.229 3.860 4.095 64% 23 8 8 100% 4.229 4.829 4.095
NGM4 Higher Dec 3.940 4.244 3.889 4.114 63% 23 9 8 89% 4.244 4.808 4.114
ITCOJ4 Higher Dec 108.76 112.07 107.17 110.27 63% 24 12 12 100% 112.07 124.90 110.27
ITCOK4 Higher Dec 108.54 111.63 106.95 109.92 63% 23 10 10 100% 111.63 124.48 109.92
ITCOM4 Higher Dec 108.29 111.17 106.74 109.50 62% 23 10 10 100% 111.17 122.66 109.50
ITCON4 Higher Dec 107.98 110.66 106.54 109.02 60% 22 9 9 100% 110.66 122.01 109.02
RRH4 Lower Dec 16.14 16.18 15.21 15.28 7% 27 14 12 86% 15.21 13.82 15.28
LCG4 Higher Dec 134.250 135.600 132.100 134.635 72% 45 27 24 89% 135.600 145.015 134.635
LCJ4 Higher Dec 134.985 136.030 133.235 135.300 74% 45 29 27 93% 136.030 143.826 135.300
FCH4 Higher Dec 165.680 168.500 163.825 167.400 76% 41 24 22 92% 168.500 177.803 167.400
FCJ4 Higher Dec 166.400 169.200 164.830 168.100 75% 41 25 23 92% 169.200 178.159 168.100
FCK4 Higher Dec 167.180 169.700 165.330 168.680 77% 42 24 24 100% 169.700 177.703 168.680
JOH4 Lower Dec 141.05 147.30 135.10 139.20 34% 45 31 28 90% 135.10 121.58 139.20
JOK4 Lower Dec 142.95 148.70 137.65 140.45 25% 45 31 28 90% 137.65 123.60 140.45
KCH4 Lower Dec 110.85 118.40 105.65 110.70 40% 40 17 15 88% 105.65 96.21 110.70
KCK4 Lower Dec 113.10 120.60 108.00 112.95 39% 40 17 16 94% 108.00 99.48 112.95
CTH4 Higher Dec 79.35 85.29 78.20 84.64 91% 45 29 25 86% 85.29 92.76 84.64
CTK4 Higher Dec 79.85 84.83 78.73 84.40 93% 45 29 25 86% 84.83 92.42 84.40

DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 13026.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 13104.00(Month Close), that being 46%(Pct Range) off of 12884.00(Month Low) to 13366.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 13366.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 14113.68(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 5119.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 5307.00(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 5042.00(Month Low) to 5358.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 5358.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 5842.64(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 646.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 646.60(Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 633.95(Month Low) to 658.20(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, the #OEX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 658.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 695.18(Average Objective).

Russell 2000 Index
The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 821.90(Prev Close), the market ended December at 849.35(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 816.10(Month Low) to 852.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 852.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 915.46(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1000.15(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1020.45(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 991.90(Month Low) to 1030.15(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 1030.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 1087.15(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3072.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3164.70(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 3047.40(Month Low) to 3187.30(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 3187.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 3405.39(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 9446(Prev Close), the market ended December at 10395(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 9377(Month Low) to 10434(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 10434(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 11103(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1416.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1426.20(Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 1398.10(Month Low) to 1448.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in December than November in 33(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 33, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 31 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1448.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 31 years) a potential move toward 1521.59(Average Objective).

March S & P 500(CME)
The SPH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1797.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1841.10(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 1754.40(Month Low) to 1846.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1846.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 1942.73(Average Objective).

March Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 97.67(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.03(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 94.89(Month Low) to 98.45(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 94.89(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 91.29(Average Objective).

March Canadian Dollar(CME)
The CDH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 93.86(Prev Close), the market ended December at 93.92(Month Close), that being 65%(Pct Range) off of 92.93(Month Low) to 94.46(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, CDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should exceed 94.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 96.21(Average Objective).

February Gold(CMX)
The GCG4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1250.4(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1202.3(Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 1181.4(Month Low) to 1267.5(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Gold(CMX) also closed lower in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, GCG went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCG should penetrate 1181.4(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1110.0(Average Objective).

April Gold(CMX)
The GCJ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1251.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1203.0(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 1182.3(Month Low) to 1266.7(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed lower in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, GCJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should penetrate 1182.3(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1107.2(Average Objective).

April Platinum(NYMEX)
The PLJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1372.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1373.8(Month Close), that being 67%(Pct Range) off of 1315.8(Month Low) to 1402.8(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, PLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1402.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 1629.5(Average Objective).

March Copper(CMX)
The HGH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 320.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 339.65(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 315.80(Month Low) to 342.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Copper(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, HGH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGH should exceed 342.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 373.30(Average Objective).

May Copper(CMX)
The HGK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 320.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 338.50(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 316.00(Month Low) to 341.35(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, HGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 341.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 371.53(Average Objective).

April Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 93.32(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.44(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 92.86(Month Low) to 100.33(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 100.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 110.48(Average Objective).

May Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 93.29(Prev Close), the market ended December at 97.99(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 93.17(Month Low) to 99.53(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 99.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 109.30(Average Objective).

June Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 93.12(Prev Close), the market ended December at 97.28(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 92.95(Month Low) to 98.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CLM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 98.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 107.91(Average Objective).

July Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 92.83(Prev Close), the market ended December at 96.45(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 93.15(Month Low) to 97.59(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CLN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 97.59(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 106.52(Average Objective).

April Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 301.19(Prev Close), the market ended December at 304.35(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 294.33(Month Low) to 308.24(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 308.24(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 335.49(Average Objective).

May Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 299.90(Prev Close), the market ended December at 303.39(Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 293.64(Month Low) to 307.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 307.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 334.57(Average Objective).

June Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 298.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 302.46(Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 293.10(Month Low) to 305.91(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, HOM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOM should exceed 305.91(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 332.07(Average Objective).

July Heating Oil(NYM)
The HON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 297.94(Prev Close), the market ended December at 301.82(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 292.85(Month Low) to 304.83(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HON went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HON should exceed 304.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 332.06(Average Objective).

April Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 286.39(Prev Close), the market ended December at 296.10(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 283.22(Month Low) to 300.27(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 300.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 332.38(Average Objective).

May Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 286.24(Prev Close), the market ended December at 295.35(Month Close), that being 71%(Pct Range) off of 283.40(Month Low) to 300.12(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 300.12(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 333.67(Average Objective).

June Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 284.53(Prev Close), the market ended December at 292.54(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 281.46(Month Low) to 297.31(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, RBM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 297.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 326.93(Average Objective).

July Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 282.03(Prev Close), the market ended December at 289.21(Month Close), that being 67%(Pct Range) off of 279.26(Month Low) to 294.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, RBN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 294.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 321.77(Average Objective).

April Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3.902(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.105(Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 3.849(Month Low) to 4.259(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, NGJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should exceed 4.259(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 4.958(Average Objective).

May Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3.915(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.095(Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 3.860(Month Low) to 4.229(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, NGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 4.229(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 4.829(Average Objective).

June Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3.940(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.114(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 3.889(Month Low) to 4.244(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, NGM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should exceed 4.244(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 4.808(Average Objective).

April Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCOJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 108.76(Prev Close), the market ended December at 110.27(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 107.17(Month Low) to 112.07(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, ITCOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOJ should exceed 112.07(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 124.90(Average Objective).

May Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCOK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 108.54(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.92(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 106.95(Month Low) to 111.63(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, ITCOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOK should exceed 111.63(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 124.48(Average Objective).

June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCOM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 108.29(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.50(Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 106.74(Month Low) to 111.17(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, ITCOM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOM should exceed 111.17(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 122.66(Average Objective).

July Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 107.98(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.02(Month Close), that being 60%(Pct Range) off of 106.54(Month Low) to 110.66(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, ITCON went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCON should exceed 110.66(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 122.01(Average Objective).

March Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 16.14(Prev Close), the market ended December at 15.28(Month Close), that being 7%(Pct Range) off of 15.21(Month Low) to 16.18(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, RRH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should penetrate 15.21(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 13.82(Average Objective).

February Live Cattle(CME)
The LCG4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 134.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 134.635(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 132.100(Month Low) to 135.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, LCG went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 135.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 145.015(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 134.985(Prev Close), the market ended December at 135.300(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 133.235(Month Low) to 136.030(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 136.030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 143.826(Average Objective).

March Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 165.680(Prev Close), the market ended December at 167.400(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 163.825(Month Low) to 168.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 168.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 177.803(Average Objective).

April Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 166.400(Prev Close), the market ended December at 168.100(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 164.830(Month Low) to 169.200(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 169.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 178.159(Average Objective).

May Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 167.180(Prev Close), the market ended December at 168.680(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 165.330(Month Low) to 169.700(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 169.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 177.703(Average Objective).

March Orange Juice(ICE)
The JOH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 141.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at 139.20(Month Close), that being 34%(Pct Range) off of 135.10(Month Low) to 147.30(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, JOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 135.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 121.58(Average Objective).

May Orange Juice(ICE)
The JOK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 142.95(Prev Close), the market ended December at 140.45(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 137.65(Month Low) to 148.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, JOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 137.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 123.60(Average Objective).

March Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 110.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at 110.70(Month Close), that being 40%(Pct Range) off of 105.65(Month Low) to 118.40(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, KCH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should penetrate 105.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 96.21(Average Objective).

May Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 113.10(Prev Close), the market ended December at 112.95(Month Close), that being 39%(Pct Range) off of 108.00(Month Low) to 120.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 108.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 99.48(Average Objective).

March Cotton(ICE)
The CTH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 79.35(Prev Close), the market ended December at 84.64(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 78.20(Month Low) to 85.29(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, CTH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should exceed 85.29(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 92.76(Average Objective).

May Cotton(ICE)
The CTK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 79.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at 84.40(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 78.73(Month Low) to 84.83(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, CTK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTK should exceed 84.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 92.42(Average Objective).

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