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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com
ScenarioSM Summary Apr 30, 2008
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Apr 12263.00 13010.00 12267.00 12820.00 74% 45 27 23 85% 13010.00 13412.75 12820.00
#SSNI Higher Apr 12526 14003 12522 13850 90% 26 16 14 88% 14003 14450 13850
SPM8 Higher Apr 1324.00 1407.00 1315.80 1386.00 77% 25 15 14 93% 1407.00 1463.80 1386.00
TYM8 Lower Apr 118~305 119~030 114~200 115~260 27% 25 12 11 92% 114~200 111~228 115~260
EDU8 Lower Apr 97.905 97.925 97.005 97.310 33% 26 10 10 100% 97.005 96.600 97.310
ADM8 Higher Apr 90.41 94.82 89.38 94.11 87% 21 14 12 86% 94.82 98.19 94.11
DXM8 Higher Apr 72.165 74.550 71.050 72.720 48% 22 7 6 86% 74.550 76.202 72.720
GCQ8 Lower Apr 925.5 959.5 868.6 869.4 1% 33 19 16 84% 868.6 832.2 869.4
CLQ8 Higher Apr 100.08 117.27 98.20 111.97 72% 25 15 13 87% 117.27 126.35 111.97
CLU8 Higher Apr 99.64 116.61 97.93 111.32 72% 25 16 14 88% 116.61 124.62 111.32
NGQ8 Higher Apr 10.303 11.505 9.550 11.045 76% 17 10 9 90% 11.505 12.975 11.045
NGU8 Higher Apr 10.313 11.655 9.571 11.065 72% 17 10 9 90% 11.655 13.034 11.065
BOZ8 Higher Apr 53.13 64.73 50.16 59.34 63% 45 27 23 85% 64.73 70.98 59.34
CZ8 Higher Apr 581.00 637.50 573.50 628.25 86% 45 19 16 84% 637.50 709.86 628.25
WN8 Lower Apr 937.00 998.00 797.25 801.00 2% 45 26 22 85% 797.25 740.26 801.00
KWN8 Lower Apr 980.00 1050.00 837.50 842.00 2% 31 15 14 93% 837.50 794.28 842.00
KWZ8 Lower Apr 1000.00 1069.00 865.25 873.00 4% 31 16 14 88% 865.25 823.45 873.00
SBN8 Lower Apr 12.12 13.59 11.71 11.81 5% 45 25 21 84% 11.71 9.89 11.81
LBK8 Lower Apr 222.1 246.5 208.3 210.3 5% 34 19 17 89% 208.3 188.5 210.3


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 12263.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 12820.00(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 12267.00(Month Low) to 13010.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in April than March in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, the #DJ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 13010.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 13412.75(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 12526(Prev Close), the market ended April at 13850(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 12522(Month Low) to 14003(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in April than March in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #SSNI went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 14003(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 14450(Average Objective).

June S & P 500(CME)
The SPM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1324.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 1386.00(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 1315.80(Month Low) to 1407.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, SPM went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPM should exceed 1407.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 1463.80(Average Objective).

June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYM8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 118~305(Prev Close), the market ended April at 115~260(Month Close), that being 27%(Pct Range) off of 114~200(Month Low) to 119~030(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, TYM went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYM should penetrate 114~200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 111~228(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 97.905(Prev Close), the market ended April at 97.310(Month Close), that being 33%(Pct Range) off of 97.005(Month Low) to 97.925(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, EDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should penetrate 97.005(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 96.600(Average Objective).

June Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 90.41(Prev Close), the market ended April at 94.11(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 89.38(Month Low) to 94.82(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, ADM went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should exceed 94.82(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 98.19(Average Objective).

June US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 72.165(Prev Close), the market ended April at 72.720(Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 71.050(Month Low) to 74.550(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, DXM went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXM should exceed 74.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 76.202(Average Objective).

August Gold(CMX)
The GCQ8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 925.5(Prev Close), the market ended April at 869.4(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 868.6(Month Low) to 959.5(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Gold(CMX) also closed lower in April than March in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, GCQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCQ should penetrate 868.6(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 832.2(Average Objective).

August Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 100.08(Prev Close), the market ended April at 111.97(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 98.20(Month Low) to 117.27(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CLQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLQ should exceed 117.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 126.35(Average Objective).

September Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 99.64(Prev Close), the market ended April at 111.32(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 97.93(Month Low) to 116.61(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CLU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLU should exceed 116.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 124.62(Average Objective).

August Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 10.303(Prev Close), the market ended April at 11.045(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 9.550(Month Low) to 11.505(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NGQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGQ should exceed 11.505(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 12.975(Average Objective).

September Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 10.313(Prev Close), the market ended April at 11.065(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 9.571(Month Low) to 11.655(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NGU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGU should exceed 11.655(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 13.034(Average Objective).

December Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOZ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 53.13(Prev Close), the market ended April at 59.34(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 50.16(Month Low) to 64.73(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, BOZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should exceed 64.73(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 70.98(Average Objective).

December Corn(CBOT)
The CZ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 581.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 628.25(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 573.50(Month Low) to 637.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, CZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should exceed 637.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 709.86(Average Objective).

July Wheat(CBOT)
The WN8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 937.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 801.00(Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 797.25(Month Low) to 998.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, WN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 797.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 740.26(Average Objective).

July Wheat(KCBT)
The KWN8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 980.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 842.00(Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 837.50(Month Low) to 1050.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, KWN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 837.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 794.28(Average Objective).

December Wheat(KCBT)
The KWZ8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1000.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 873.00(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 865.25(Month Low) to 1069.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in April than March in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, KWZ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should penetrate 865.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 823.45(Average Objective).

July Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBN8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 12.12(Prev Close), the market ended April at 11.81(Month Close), that being 5%(Pct Range) off of 11.71(Month Low) to 13.59(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed lower in April than March in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SBN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should penetrate 11.71(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 9.89(Average Objective).

May Lumber(CME)
The LBK8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 222.1(Prev Close), the market ended April at 210.3(Month Close), that being 5%(Pct Range) off of 208.3(Month Low) to 246.5(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, LBK went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should penetrate 208.3(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 188.5(Average Objective).