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MRCI's Scenario Study

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Study
ScenarioSM Study for S & P 100(OEX) as of Jun 01, 2011
Condition 1: Higher Monthly Close.
Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months.
Tested Month Feb Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
Tested Years 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Closed Higher       1     1   1 1  
Exceeded High             1   1 1  
Scenario Percentage       0%     100%   100% 100%  
Avg Max Increase             4.25%   7.47% 6.60%  
Max Increase             4.25%   7.47% 6.60%  
Avg Days To Max Increase             30   5 29  
Avg Max Decline             -5.76%   -0.64% -1.14%  
Max Decline             -5.76%   -0.64% -1.14%  
Avg Days to Max Decline             27   4 29  
2010 Contract Condition       Yes     Yes   Yes Yes  
Action       No     Yes   Yes Yes  
Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Condition 2: Lower Monthly Close.
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
Tested Month Feb Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
Tested Years 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Closed Lower         1 1   1     1
Penetrated Low         1 1          
Scenario Percentage         100% 100%   0%     0%
Avg Max Decline         6.85% 1.79%          
Max Decline         6.85% 1.79%          
Avg Days To Max Decline         1 1          
Avg Max Increase         -3.57% -0.26%          
Max Increase         -3.57% -0.26%          
Avg Days to Max Increase         21 1          
2010 Contract Condition         Yes Yes   Yes     Yes
Action         Yes Yes   No     Not Yet
High     541.09 554.78 548.50 510.64 508.41 512.78 521.83 539.71 553.09
Low     506.47 535.13 473.58 466.52 459.29 471.72 475.82 511.35 527.01
Close/Last     534.90 540.28 493.06 467.65 500.56 475.73 514.65 533.08 529.73

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