MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for February Gold(CMX) as of May 08, 2024 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 18 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 22 | |
| Exceeded High | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 19 | 16 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 72% | 73% | 76% | 75% | 77% | 79% | 70% | 78% | 88% | 86% | 73% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 7.85% | 6.05% | 6.41% | 6.42% | 12.33% | 9.52% | 7.72% | 6.93% | 10.84% | 10.92% | 4.74% | |
| Max Increase | 24.03% | 13.38% | 26.39% | 14.87% | 42.74% | 36.10% | 18.44% | 17.86% | 102.79% | 61.37% | 12.93% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 13 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 14 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -0.79% | -1.49% | -1.24% | -1.19% | -1.67% | -0.71% | -1.60% | -1.57% | -1.85% | -1.04% | -1.58% | |
| Max Decline | -1.91% | -6.79% | -4.28% | -3.92% | -3.97% | -3.70% | -6.39% | -3.39% | -9.50% | -9.36% | -4.33% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
| 2024 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | ||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
