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MRCI's Historical Limit Report

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MRCI's Historical Limit Report

Soybeans(CBOT)
Last 200 Days Limit Statistics(1974-2014 Contracts)

Limit
Up		 Tot Pct
Exceed		 Limit
Down		 Tot Pct
Exceed
Total Limits 464   530  
Exceed Day 1 279(60%) 60% 361(68%) 68%
Exceed Day 2 17(4%) 64% 19(4%) 72%
Exceed Day 3 57(12%) 76% 40(8%) 79%
Exceed Days 4-7 22(5%) 81% 46(9%) 88%
Exceed Days 8-20 27(6%) 87% 23(4%) 92%
Exceed Days 21-50 11(2%) 89% 21(4%) 96%
Exceed Days 51-100 8(2%) 91% 6(1%) 97%
Exceed > Day 100 43(9%) 100% 14(3%) 100%
Exceed by
Later Contracts		 55(12%)   23(4%)  
Limits by Month
Type Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Up 19 12 30 40 42 67 106 76 26 32 8 6
Down 27 8 54 49 38 71 123 63 28 26 24 19
Total 46 20 84 89 80 138 229 139 54 58 32 25
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Newsflash

MRCI seasonal pattern alert: Copper loves to correct hard right after new ATHs.

We're in that window now! Could see more chop into end-Jan before the seasonal spring higher. But the macro? Demand outrunning supply for YEARS. Don't fight the tape...

Read the analysis from a professional trader leveraging 20-plus years of MRCI’s seasonal research – here