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MRCI's Seasonal Strategy #6112 - Natural Gas(NYM)-September
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MRCI's Seasonal Strategy #6112
MRCI encourages all traders to employ appropriate money-management techniques at all times.
HELPFUL HINTS......
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2. CLICK the link immediately above the daily chart to apply technical studies.
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4. CLICK the year on each detail line in the strategy for a daily chart of that year.
Nat. Gas
Quotes
Daily Chart
w/Studies
Daily
Continuation
Weekly
Continuation
Monthly
Continuation
15-Year/
Results
Weekly Nearby
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Monthly Nearby
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Full Daily
History
Related
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Daily
Volatility
Natural Gas(NYM)-September
Buy on approximately 04/01 - Exit on approximately 05/18 Contract Size: 10,000 MBtu

Cont
Year

Buy
Date

Buy
Price

Exit
Date

Exit
Price


Profit

Profit
Amount
Best
Equity
Date
Best
Equity
Amount
Worst
Equity
Date
Worst
Equity
Amount
2023 04/03/23 2.616 05/18/23 2.770 0.154 1540.00 05/18/23 1540.00 05/04/23 -2500.00
2022 04/01/22 5.838 05/18/22 8.402 2.564 25640.00 05/05/22 29350.00    
2021 04/01/21 2.769 05/18/21 3.082 0.313 3130.00 05/17/21 3880.00 04/06/21 -1270.00
2020 04/01/20 1.990 05/18/20 2.110 0.120 1200.00 05/05/20 4400.00 04/02/20 -380.00
2019 04/01/19 2.814 05/17/19 2.675 -0.139 -1390.00 04/08/19 140.00 05/06/19 -2390.00
2018 04/02/18 2.794 05/18/18 2.875 0.081 810.00 05/17/18 830.00 05/04/18 -650.00
2017 04/03/17 3.287 05/18/17 3.307 0.020 200.00 05/12/17 2110.00 04/24/17 -220.00
2016 04/01/16 2.239 05/18/16 2.245 0.006 60.00 04/22/16 2410.00 04/06/16 -410.00
2015 04/01/15 2.754 05/18/15 3.080 0.326 3260.00 05/15/15 3310.00 04/27/15 -1370.00
2014 04/01/14 4.327 05/16/14 4.388 0.061 610.00 04/29/14 4930.00    
2013 04/01/13 4.121 05/17/13 4.124 0.003 30.00 04/19/13 3620.00 05/10/13 -1390.00
2012 04/02/12 2.544 05/18/12 2.896 0.352 3520.00 05/18/12 3520.00 04/19/12 -3110.00
2011 04/01/11 4.562 05/18/11 4.344 -0.218 -2180.00 05/02/11 2570.00 04/08/11 -3030.00
2010 04/01/10 4.416 05/18/10 4.561 0.145 1450.00 04/28/10 2070.00 04/30/10 -2010.00
2009 04/01/09 4.139 05/18/09 4.465 0.326 3260.00 05/12/09 5890.00 04/30/09 -4220.00
2008 04/01/08 9.949 05/16/08 11.384 1.435 14350.00 05/14/08 19010.00 04/04/08 -3660.00
2007 04/02/07 8.096 05/18/07 8.325 0.229 2290.00 05/17/07 3300.00 04/03/07 -2400.00
2006 04/03/06 7.959 05/18/06 6.975 -0.984 -9840.00 04/19/06 10810.00 05/18/06 -9840.00
2005 04/01/05 8.010 05/18/05 6.555 -1.455 -14550.00     05/18/05 -14550.00
2004 04/01/04 5.868 05/18/04 6.260 0.392 3920.00 05/13/04 6720.00 04/19/04 -1760.00
2003 04/01/03 5.150 05/16/03 6.222 1.072 10720.00 05/13/03 12350.00 04/04/03 -1670.00
2002 04/01/02 3.598 05/17/02 3.755 0.157 1570.00 05/14/02 3570.00 04/11/02 -3830.00
2001 04/02/01 5.190 05/18/01 4.473 -0.717 -7170.00 04/10/01 4820.00 05/09/01 -8210.00
2000 04/03/00 2.938 05/18/00 3.720 0.782 7820.00 05/18/00 7820.00 04/04/00 -590.00
1999 04/01/99 2.105 05/18/99 2.328 0.223 2230.00 05/05/99 2980.00 04/06/99 -100.00
1998 04/01/98 2.548 05/18/98 2.285 -0.263 -2630.00 04/08/98 1580.00 05/06/98 -2730.00
1997 04/01/97 1.990 05/16/97 2.230 0.240 2400.00 05/07/97 3450.00 04/02/97 -50.00
1996 04/01/96 2.129 05/17/96 2.287 0.158 1580.00 04/22/96 1670.00 05/03/96 -60.00
1995 04/03/95 1.799 05/18/95 1.870 0.071 710.00 05/18/95 710.00 04/27/95 -830.00
1994 04/04/94 2.154 05/18/94 2.086 -0.068 -680.00 04/21/94 390.00 05/16/94 -930.00
Percentage Correct 77      
Average Profit on Winning Trades 0.401 4013.04   Winners 23
Average Loss on Trades -0.549 -5491.43   Losers 7
Average Net Profit Per Trade 0.180 1795.33   Total trades 30
SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.
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