- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 2894.25(Prev Close), the market ended April at 3187.00(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
171.50(Month Low) to 3323.25(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, the #NQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 3323.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 3597.29(Average Objective).
- September NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
- The NQU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 3242.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at 3460.25(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
224.00(Month Low) to 3844.25(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, NQU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQU should exceed 3844.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 4122.98(Average Objective).
- September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 111~090(Prev Close), the market ended April at 112~110(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
109~095(Month Low) to 114~140(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in April than March in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, TYU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYU should exceed 114~140(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 117~271(Average Objective).
- September 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The FVU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 108~064(Prev Close), the market ended April at 109~102(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
107~054(Month Low) to 110~180(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, FVU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FVU should exceed 110~180(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 112~216(Average Objective).
- September 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TUU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 103~242(Prev Close), the market ended April at 104~117(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
103~166(Month Low) to 104~307(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, TUU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TUU should exceed 104~307(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 105~136(Average Objective).
- September Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 62.59(Prev Close), the market ended April at 64.15(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
59.31(Month Low) to 64.59(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, ADU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should exceed 64.59(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 67.10(Average Objective).
- September Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 70.13(Prev Close), the market ended April at 73.03(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
69.95(Month Low) to 73.07(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, CDU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDU should exceed 73.07(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 74.62(Average Objective).
- September Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 115.25(Prev Close), the market ended April at 123.50(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
115.22(Month Low) to 126.54(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SFU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFU should exceed 126.54(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 129.89(Average Objective).
- July Silver(CMX)
- The SIN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 3493.4(Prev Close), the market ended April at 3282.8(Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
2784.5(Month Low) to 3546.5(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Silver(CMX) also closed
lower in April than March in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, SIN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SIN should penetrate 2784.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 2480.1(Average Objective).
- September Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 1008.60(Prev Close), the market ended April at 944.50(Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
883.50(Month Low) to 1015.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
lower in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, PAU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAU should penetrate 883.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 794.70(Average Objective).
- December Corn(CBOT)
- The CZ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 442.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 446.25(Month Close),
that being 22%(Pct Range) off of
439.75(Month Low) to 469.50(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should exceed 469.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 509.83(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 570.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 529.50(Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
527.25(Month Low) to 589.50(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, KWN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 527.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 493.73(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 585.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 544.25(Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
543.00(Month Low) to 603.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, KWU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWU should penetrate 543.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 508.00(Average Objective).
- August Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 200.030(Prev Close), the market ended April at 204.050(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
188.680(Month Low) to 206.630(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, LCQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 206.630(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 216.273(Average Objective).
- August Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 289.500(Prev Close), the market ended April at 295.030(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
273.350(Month Low) to 297.800(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, FCQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 297.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 311.468(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(ICE)
- The CTN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 67.99(Prev Close), the market ended April at 66.02(Month Close),
that being 52%(Pct Range) off of
62.05(Month Low) to 69.75(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed
lower in April than March in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CTN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 62.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 54.72(Average Objective).
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