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MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Mar 31, 2025
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#UTIL Higher Mar 1005.45 1028.25 967.20 1024.05 93% 45 27 27 100% 1028.25 1077.56 1024.05
ADM5 Higher Mar 62.03 63.97 61.93 62.54 30% 38 20 17 85% 63.97 66.41 62.54
BPM5 Higher Mar 125.70 130.13 125.82 129.11 76% 45 20 17 85% 130.13 134.54 129.11
EUM5 Higher Mar 104.27 110.09 104.49 108.62 74% 26 11 10 91% 110.09 114.95 108.62
DXM5 Lower Mar 107.162 106.980 102.830 103.882 25% 39 18 17 94% 102.830 99.350 103.882
CLN5 Higher Mar 68.38 70.58 64.16 70.32 96% 41 26 24 92% 70.58 77.83 70.32
CLQ5 Higher Mar 67.86 69.90 63.82 69.65 96% 41 28 25 89% 69.90 77.01 69.65
HON5 Higher Mar 221.35 226.19 209.51 225.48 96% 45 29 28 97% 226.19 251.36 225.48
HOQ5 Higher Mar 220.97 226.03 209.53 225.43 96% 45 29 28 97% 226.03 250.33 225.43
RBN5 Higher Mar 219.28 226.63 205.67 225.94 97% 39 30 26 87% 226.63 252.81 225.94
RBQ5 Higher Mar 215.99 223.46 203.45 222.84 97% 39 29 26 90% 223.46 247.62 222.84
NGN5 Higher Mar 4.209 5.233 4.150 4.474 30% 34 21 21 100% 5.233 5.914 4.474
NGQ5 Higher Mar 4.256 5.260 4.200 4.545 33% 34 21 21 100% 5.260 5.944 4.545
CBQ5 Higher Mar 71.30 73.49 67.28 73.25 96% 35 21 19 90% 73.49 81.15 73.25
CBU5 Higher Mar 70.85 72.85 66.96 72.60 96% 35 21 19 90% 72.85 80.14 72.60
SN5 Lower Mar 1040.00 1047.25 1006.00 1028.25 54% 45 21 18 86% 1006.00 957.21 1028.25
SQ5 Lower Mar 1038.25 1043.75 1004.25 1026.00 55% 45 22 19 86% 1004.25 950.81 1026.00
BON5 Higher Mar 44.51 45.93 41.54 45.39 88% 45 21 18 86% 45.93 50.67 45.39
BOQ5 Higher Mar 44.47 46.02 41.58 45.48 88% 45 23 20 87% 46.02 50.70 45.48
CN5 Lower Mar 475.75 483.25 450.50 463.25 39% 45 20 17 85% 450.50 416.85 463.25
CU5 Lower Mar 450.25 454.25 429.25 434.75 22% 45 19 19 100% 429.25 400.94 434.75
LCQ5 Higher Mar 187.930 203.530 184.180 200.030 82% 45 20 17 85% 203.530 212.973 200.030
FCQ5 Higher Mar 274.050 294.780 268.600 289.500 80% 45 19 17 89% 294.780 307.637 289.500
FCU5 Higher Mar 273.350 293.250 268.080 288.400 81% 45 19 18 95% 293.250 305.619 288.400
FCV5 Higher Mar 272.300 291.030 267.200 286.530 81% 45 19 18 95% 291.030 303.170 286.530
SBV5 Higher Mar 18.22 19.76 17.67 18.83 56% 45 19 18 95% 19.76 21.49 18.83
RRU5 Higher Mar 13.67 14.02 13.30 13.74 61% 38 24 22 92% 14.02 15.19 13.74


Dow Jones Utilities
The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 1005.45(Prev Close), the market ended March at 1024.05(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 967.20(Month Low) to 1028.25(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed higher in March than February in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, the #UTIL went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 1028.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 1077.56(Average Objective).

June Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 62.03(Prev Close), the market ended March at 62.54(Month Close), that being 30%(Pct Range) off of 61.93(Month Low) to 63.97(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, ADM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should exceed 63.97(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 66.41(Average Objective).

June British Pound(CME)
The BPM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 125.70(Prev Close), the market ended March at 129.11(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 125.82(Month Low) to 130.13(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June British Pound(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, BPM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPM should exceed 130.13(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 134.54(Average Objective).

June EuroFX(CME)
The EUM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 104.27(Prev Close), the market ended March at 108.62(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 104.49(Month Low) to 110.09(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June EuroFX(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, EUM went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUM should exceed 110.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 114.95(Average Objective).

June US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 107.162(Prev Close), the market ended March at 103.882(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 102.830(Month Low) to 106.980(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed lower in March than February in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, DXM went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXM should penetrate 102.830(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 99.350(Average Objective).

July Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 68.38(Prev Close), the market ended March at 70.32(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 64.16(Month Low) to 70.58(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, CLN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 70.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 77.83(Average Objective).

August Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 67.86(Prev Close), the market ended March at 69.65(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 63.82(Month Low) to 69.90(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, CLQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLQ should exceed 69.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 77.01(Average Objective).

July NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
The HON5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 221.35(Prev Close), the market ended March at 225.48(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 209.51(Month Low) to 226.19(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, HON went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HON should exceed 226.19(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 251.36(Average Objective).

August NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
The HOQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 220.97(Prev Close), the market ended March at 225.43(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 209.53(Month Low) to 226.03(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, HOQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOQ should exceed 226.03(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 250.33(Average Objective).

July RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 219.28(Prev Close), the market ended March at 225.94(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 205.67(Month Low) to 226.63(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 30(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 30, RBN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 226.63(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 252.81(Average Objective).

August RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 215.99(Prev Close), the market ended March at 222.84(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 203.45(Month Low) to 223.46(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, RBQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBQ should exceed 223.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 247.62(Average Objective).

July Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 4.209(Prev Close), the market ended March at 4.474(Month Close), that being 30%(Pct Range) off of 4.150(Month Low) to 5.233(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, NGN went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGN should exceed 5.233(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 5.914(Average Objective).

August Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 4.256(Prev Close), the market ended March at 4.545(Month Close), that being 33%(Pct Range) off of 4.200(Month Low) to 5.260(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, NGQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGQ should exceed 5.260(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 5.944(Average Objective).

August Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 71.30(Prev Close), the market ended March at 73.25(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 67.28(Month Low) to 73.49(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, CBQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBQ should exceed 73.49(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 81.15(Average Objective).

September Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 70.85(Prev Close), the market ended March at 72.60(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 66.96(Month Low) to 72.85(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, CBU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBU should exceed 72.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 80.14(Average Objective).

July Soybeans(CBOT)
The SN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 1040.00(Prev Close), the market ended March at 1028.25(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 1006.00(Month Low) to 1047.25(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, SN went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SN should penetrate 1006.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 957.21(Average Objective).

August Soybeans(CBOT)
The SQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 1038.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 1026.00(Month Close), that being 55%(Pct Range) off of 1004.25(Month Low) to 1043.75(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in March than February in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SQ went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SQ should penetrate 1004.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 950.81(Average Objective).

July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BON5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 44.51(Prev Close), the market ended March at 45.39(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 41.54(Month Low) to 45.93(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in March than February in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, BON went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 45.93(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 50.67(Average Objective).

August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 44.47(Prev Close), the market ended March at 45.48(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 41.58(Month Low) to 46.02(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in March than February in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, BOQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should exceed 46.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 50.70(Average Objective).

July Corn(CBOT)
The CN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 475.75(Prev Close), the market ended March at 463.25(Month Close), that being 39%(Pct Range) off of 450.50(Month Low) to 483.25(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, CN went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 450.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 416.85(Average Objective).

September Corn(CBOT)
The CU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 450.25(Prev Close), the market ended March at 434.75(Month Close), that being 22%(Pct Range) off of 429.25(Month Low) to 454.25(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, CU went on to penetrate the March low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should penetrate 429.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 400.94(Average Objective).

August Live Cattle(CME)
The LCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 187.930(Prev Close), the market ended March at 200.030(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 184.180(Month Low) to 203.530(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, LCQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 203.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 212.973(Average Objective).

August Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 274.050(Prev Close), the market ended March at 289.500(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 268.600(Month Low) to 294.780(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, FCQ went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 294.780(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 307.637(Average Objective).

September Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 273.350(Prev Close), the market ended March at 288.400(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 268.080(Month Low) to 293.250(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, FCU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCU should exceed 293.250(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 305.619(Average Objective).

October Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCV5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 272.300(Prev Close), the market ended March at 286.530(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 267.200(Month Low) to 291.030(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, FCV went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCV should exceed 291.030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 303.170(Average Objective).

October Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBV5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 18.22(Prev Close), the market ended March at 18.83(Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 17.67(Month Low) to 19.76(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in March than February in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SBV went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should exceed 19.76(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 21.49(Average Objective).

September Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for March(Month). Compared to February's 13.67(Prev Close), the market ended March at 13.74(Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 13.30(Month Low) to 14.02(Month High).

In comparing the February/March closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in March than February in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, RRU went on to exceed the March high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRU should exceed 14.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of May. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 15.19(Average Objective).
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Newsflash

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