- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 999.55(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1005.45(Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
986.15(Month Low) to 1026.15(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, the #UTIL went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 1026.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 1077.14(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 5094.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 4500.25(Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
4031.00(Month Low) to 5838.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
lower in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, the #NQ went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should penetrate 4031.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 3689.13(Average Objective).
- June NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
- The NQM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 5442.25(Prev Close), the market ended February at 4762.50(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
4301.00(Month Low) to 6175.25(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, NQM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQM should penetrate 4301.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 3936.08(Average Objective).
- June 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The FVM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 106~146(Prev Close), the market ended February at 107~300(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
105~270(Month Low) to 108~012(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, FVM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FVM should exceed 108~012(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 109~102(Average Objective).
- June 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TUM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 102~314(Prev Close), the market ended February at 103~154(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
102~211(Month Low) to 103~163(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, TUM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TUM should exceed 103~163(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 104~006(Average Objective).
- June Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 62.21(Prev Close), the market ended February at 62.03(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
60.95(Month Low) to 64.14(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, ADM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should penetrate 60.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 58.79(Average Objective).
- June Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 69.35(Prev Close), the market ended February at 69.50(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
68.03(Month Low) to 71.04(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in February than January in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CDM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDM should exceed 71.04(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 72.96(Average Objective).
- June EuroFX(CME)
- The EUM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 104.48(Prev Close), the market ended February at 104.27(Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
102.85(Month Low) to 105.91(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June EuroFX(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, EUM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUM should penetrate 102.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 99.33(Average Objective).
- July Copper(CMX)
- The HGN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 435.75(Prev Close), the market ended February at 459.15(Month Close),
that being 50%(Pct Range) off of
426.60(Month Low) to 491.65(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in February than January in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, HGN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 491.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 532.53(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(CBOT)
- The WN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 584.25(Prev Close), the market ended February at 569.25(Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
568.50(Month Low) to 633.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, WN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 568.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 526.67(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(CBOT)
- The WU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 598.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 584.50(Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
583.75(Month Low) to 646.75(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, WU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WU should penetrate 583.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 546.98(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 598.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 586.00(Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
585.50(Month Low) to 653.00(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in February than January in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, KWN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 585.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 548.57(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 610.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 600.50(Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
600.25(Month Low) to 665.50(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in February than January in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, KWU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWU should penetrate 600.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 566.20(Average Objective).
- May Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 94.530(Prev Close), the market ended February at 87.430(Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
87.300(Month Low) to 98.230(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in February than January in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, HEK went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEK should penetrate 87.300(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 75.483(Average Objective).
- July Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 10570(Prev Close), the market ended February at 8991(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
8207(Month Low) to 10875(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed
lower in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, CCN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should penetrate 8207(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 7333(Average Objective).
- September Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 10217(Prev Close), the market ended February at 8756(Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
8015(Month Low) to 10500(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Cocoa(ICE) also closed
lower in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, CCU went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCU should penetrate 8015(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 7202(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(ICE)
- The CTN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 68.23(Prev Close), the market ended February at 66.39(Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
66.31(Month Low) to 70.06(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed
lower in February than January in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CTN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 66.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 62.03(Average Objective).
- October Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBV5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
February(Month). Compared to January's 17.64(Prev Close), the market ended February at 18.22(Month Close),
that being 39%(Pct Range) off of
17.35(Month Low) to 19.56(Month High).
In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SBV went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should exceed 19.56(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 21.50(Average Objective).
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