- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 42544.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 44545.00(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
41864.00(Month Low) to 45054.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in January than December in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #DJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 45054.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 47316.78(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 15896.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 16307.00(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
15732.00(Month Low) to 16901.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #TRAN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 16901.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 18146.72(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 2890.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2951.05(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
2828.00(Month Low) to 2997.65(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, the #OEX went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 2997.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 3145.03(Average Objective).
- S&P MidCap 400 Index
- The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 3120.95(Prev Close), the market ended January at 3239.05(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
3075.25(Month Low) to 3265.35(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #MZ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 3265.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 3447.12(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 11031.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 11432.00(Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
10844.00(Month Low) to 11582.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, the #VLE went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 11582.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 12249.79(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 5881.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 6040.50(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
5774.50(Month Low) to 6128.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in January than December in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #SP went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 6128.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 6460.93(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500 E-Mini(CME)
- The ESH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 5935.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 6067.25(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
5809.00(Month Low) to 6162.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500 E-Mini(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, ESH went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ESH should exceed 6162.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 6419.00(Average Objective).
- March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
- The YMH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 42873(Prev Close), the market ended January at 44698(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
41967(Month Low) to 45227(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, YMH went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMH should exceed 45227(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 47003(Average Objective).
- June 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TUM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 103~004(Prev Close), the market ended January at 102~314(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
102~192(Month Low) to 103~033(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, TUM went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TUM should penetrate 102~192(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 102~003(Average Objective).
- March EuroFX(CME)
- The EUH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 103.89(Prev Close), the market ended January at 103.97(Month Close),
that being 54%(Pct Range) off of
102.05(Month Low) to 105.58(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March EuroFX(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, EUH went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUH should exceed 105.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 107.46(Average Objective).
- April Platinum(NYMEX)
- The PLJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 910.5(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1043.7(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
909.4(Month Low) to 1045.6(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, PLJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1045.6(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 1136.5(Average Objective).
- June Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 918.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1083.00(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
913.50(Month Low) to 1087.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 32(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 32, PAM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAM should exceed 1087.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move
toward 1269.49(Average Objective).
- May Copper(CMX)
- The HGK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 405.95(Prev Close), the market ended January at 432.10(Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
403.85(Month Low) to 449.65(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, HGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 449.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 487.22(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 70.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 71.38(Month Close),
that being 14%(Pct Range) off of
70.55(Month Low) to 76.57(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, CLK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 76.57(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 85.72(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 70.17(Prev Close), the market ended January at 70.78(Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
70.15(Month Low) to 75.51(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, CLM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 75.51(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 83.99(Average Objective).
- May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
- The HOK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 224.08(Prev Close), the market ended January at 231.79(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
223.79(Month Low) to 247.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, HOK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 247.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 276.15(Average Objective).
- May RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 222.88(Prev Close), the market ended January at 228.68(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
223.31(Month Low) to 240.34(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, RBK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 240.34(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 271.88(Average Objective).
- June RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 221.22(Prev Close), the market ended January at 227.34(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
221.63(Month Low) to 238.46(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, RBM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 238.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 270.55(Average Objective).
- May Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 3.157(Prev Close), the market ended January at 3.171(Month Close),
that being 18%(Pct Range) off of
3.035(Month Low) to 3.789(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, NGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 3.789(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 4.298(Average Objective).
- June Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 3.335(Prev Close), the market ended January at 3.378(Month Close),
that being 20%(Pct Range) off of
3.232(Month Low) to 3.964(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, NGM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should exceed 3.964(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 4.488(Average Objective).
- June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 73.56(Prev Close), the market ended January at 74.24(Month Close),
that being 13%(Pct Range) off of
73.55(Month Low) to 78.96(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, CBM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBM should exceed 78.96(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 88.50(Average Objective).
- July Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 73.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 73.67(Month Close),
that being 13%(Pct Range) off of
73.02(Month Low) to 78.10(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, CBN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBN should exceed 78.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 87.36(Average Objective).
- May Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1022.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1057.50(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
996.25(Month Low) to 1088.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should exceed 1088.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1162.86(Average Objective).
- July Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1034.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1072.25(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
1007.75(Month Low) to 1098.75(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SN should exceed 1098.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1177.59(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 40.69(Prev Close), the market ended January at 46.52(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
39.99(Month Low) to 47.48(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, BOK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should exceed 47.48(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 52.30(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BON5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 40.94(Prev Close), the market ended January at 46.70(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
40.25(Month Low) to 47.61(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, BON went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 47.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 51.97(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 322.70(Prev Close), the market ended January at 309.60(Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
301.20(Month Low) to 328.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SMK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMK should penetrate 301.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 284.18(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 327.60(Prev Close), the market ended January at 317.40(Month Close),
that being 37%(Pct Range) off of
307.80(Month Low) to 334.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SMN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMN should penetrate 307.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 289.75(Average Objective).
- May Corn(CBOT)
- The CK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 465.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 493.00(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
456.75(Month Low) to 508.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should exceed 508.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 544.46(Average Objective).
- July Corn(CBOT)
- The CN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 468.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 496.75(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
460.00(Month Low) to 509.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, CN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should exceed 509.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 546.29(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 194.280(Prev Close), the market ended January at 202.300(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
194.450(Month Low) to 207.730(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, LCJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 207.730(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 218.615(Average Objective).
- June Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 189.630(Prev Close), the market ended January at 196.700(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
189.700(Month Low) to 201.650(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, LCM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 201.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 210.973(Average Objective).
- August Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 187.600(Prev Close), the market ended January at 193.330(Month Close),
that being 58%(Pct Range) off of
187.050(Month Low) to 197.900(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, LCQ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 197.900(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 204.013(Average Objective).
- April Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 263.550(Prev Close), the market ended January at 275.130(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
263.400(Month Low) to 279.030(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, FCJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 279.030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 291.202(Average Objective).
- May Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 263.230(Prev Close), the market ended January at 273.130(Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
262.730(Month Low) to 277.230(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, FCK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 277.230(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 288.925(Average Objective).
- August Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 267.380(Prev Close), the market ended January at 273.900(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
265.900(Month Low) to 277.930(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, FCQ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 277.930(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 288.348(Average Objective).
- April Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 86.580(Prev Close), the market ended January at 90.350(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
84.500(Month Low) to 92.750(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, HEJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEJ should exceed 92.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 100.916(Average Objective).
- May Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 90.980(Prev Close), the market ended January at 94.530(Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
89.500(Month Low) to 96.450(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, HEK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEK should exceed 96.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 103.483(Average Objective).
- June Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 99.180(Prev Close), the market ended January at 103.000(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
97.950(Month Low) to 104.650(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, HEM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEM should exceed 104.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 112.797(Average Objective).
- July Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 10421(Prev Close), the market ended January at 10570(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
9367(Month Low) to 11170(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, CCN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should exceed 11170(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 12373(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(ICE)
- The CTN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 70.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 68.23(Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
68.13(Month Low) to 71.45(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed
lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, CTN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 68.13(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 63.71(Average Objective).
- July Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 17.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 17.54(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
16.43(Month Low) to 18.05(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SBN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 18.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 20.05(Average Objective).
- May Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 14.31(Prev Close), the market ended January at 14.01(Month Close),
that being 11%(Pct Range) off of
13.86(Month Low) to 15.12(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, RRK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should penetrate 13.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 12.47(Average Objective).
- July Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 14.55(Prev Close), the market ended January at 14.14(Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
14.05(Month Low) to 15.20(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, RRN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRN should penetrate 14.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 12.79(Average Objective).
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