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MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Dec 31, 2024
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#NQ Higher Dec 4546.25 5749.00 4531.75 4628.00 8% 39 20 18 90% 5749.00 6143.97 4628.00
#MZ Higher Dec 89.40 3266.65 7.55 3120.95 96% 43 31 30 97% 3266.65 3432.80 3120.95
YMH5 Lower Dec 45520 45642 42496 42873 12% 27 7 6 86% 42496 39348 42873
BPH5 Lower Dec 127.21 128.05 124.67 125.03 11% 45 22 19 86% 124.67 119.62 125.03
EUH5 Lower Dec 106.21 106.78 103.78 103.89 4% 26 8 7 88% 103.78 99.95 103.89
JYH5 Lower Dec 67.72 68.13 63.79 64.10 7% 45 23 20 87% 63.79 61.64 64.10
SFH5 Lower Dec 114.88 115.80 111.01 111.03 0% 45 19 18 95% 111.01 105.29 111.03
DXH5 Higher Dec 105.473 108.380 105.035 108.295 97% 39 13 12 92% 108.380 111.439 108.295
CLJ5 Higher Dec 67.31 71.11 66.41 70.86 95% 41 20 20 100% 71.11 79.52 70.86
CLK5 Higher Dec 67.17 70.75 66.29 70.50 94% 41 19 19 100% 70.75 78.65 70.50
HOJ5 Higher Dec 216.30 227.58 211.12 226.11 91% 45 23 22 96% 227.58 250.01 226.11
HOK5 Higher Dec 215.26 225.48 210.54 224.08 91% 45 21 19 90% 225.48 248.88 224.08
RBJ5 Higher Dec 211.87 223.22 211.74 222.75 96% 39 23 23 100% 223.22 248.44 222.75
RBK5 Higher Dec 212.24 223.35 211.47 222.88 96% 39 22 22 100% 223.35 248.66 222.88
CBK5 Higher Dec 71.08 74.09 70.09 73.88 95% 34 16 15 94% 74.09 83.41 73.88
CBM5 Higher Dec 70.93 73.76 69.96 73.56 95% 34 16 15 94% 73.76 82.35 73.56
SH5 Higher Dec 996.00 1012.00 947.00 1010.50 98% 45 19 17 89% 1012.00 1080.60 1010.50
SK5 Higher Dec 1008.50 1023.25 955.50 1022.25 99% 45 20 17 85% 1023.25 1099.41 1022.25
BOH5 Lower Dec 42.07 43.74 39.50 40.36 20% 45 29 26 90% 39.50 37.26 40.36
BOK5 Lower Dec 42.37 43.98 39.86 40.69 20% 45 25 21 84% 39.86 37.70 40.69
CH5 Higher Dec 433.00 459.00 428.25 458.50 98% 45 21 18 86% 459.00 494.57 458.50
CK5 Higher Dec 439.75 466.50 434.25 465.75 98% 45 23 20 87% 466.50 503.34 465.75
KWK5 Higher Dec 548.50 578.50 542.50 567.75 70% 45 19 16 84% 578.50 625.28 567.75
LCJ5 Higher Dec 190.780 194.450 188.130 194.280 97% 45 28 25 89% 194.450 202.414 194.280
LCM5 Higher Dec 186.700 189.750 183.400 189.630 98% 45 29 29 100% 189.750 195.344 189.630
LCQ5 Higher Dec 185.450 187.750 181.800 187.600 97% 45 31 29 94% 187.750 193.343 187.600
FCJ5 Higher Dec 259.630 263.900 254.280 263.550 96% 45 30 27 90% 263.900 273.779 263.550
FCK5 Higher Dec 259.770 263.500 254.500 263.230 97% 45 29 29 100% 263.500 272.262 263.230
FCQ5 Higher Dec 263.580 267.600 259.000 267.380 97% 45 29 28 97% 267.600 277.100 267.380
KCK5 Lower Dec 315.50 345.70 288.25 314.85 46% 45 23 20 87% 288.25 263.57 314.85


NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 4546.25(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4628.00(Month Close), that being 8%(Pct Range) off of 4531.75(Month Low) to 5749.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, the #NQ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 5749.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 6143.97(Average Objective).

S&P MidCap 400 Index
The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 89.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3120.95(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 7.55(Month Low) to 3266.65(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #MZ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 3266.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move toward 3432.80(Average Objective).

March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
The YMH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 45520(Prev Close), the market ended December at 42873(Month Close), that being 12%(Pct Range) off of 42496(Month Low) to 45642(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, YMH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMH should penetrate 42496(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 39348(Average Objective).

March British Pound(CME)
The BPH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 127.21(Prev Close), the market ended December at 125.03(Month Close), that being 11%(Pct Range) off of 124.67(Month Low) to 128.05(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March British Pound(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, BPH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPH should penetrate 124.67(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 119.62(Average Objective).

March EuroFX(CME)
The EUH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 106.21(Prev Close), the market ended December at 103.89(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 103.78(Month Low) to 106.78(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March EuroFX(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, EUH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUH should penetrate 103.78(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 99.95(Average Objective).

March Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 67.72(Prev Close), the market ended December at 64.10(Month Close), that being 7%(Pct Range) off of 63.79(Month Low) to 68.13(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 63.79(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 61.64(Average Objective).

March Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 114.88(Prev Close), the market ended December at 111.03(Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 111.01(Month Low) to 115.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SFH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 111.01(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 105.29(Average Objective).

March US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 105.473(Prev Close), the market ended December at 108.295(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 105.035(Month Low) to 108.380(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, DXH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should exceed 108.380(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 111.439(Average Objective).

April Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 67.31(Prev Close), the market ended December at 70.86(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 66.41(Month Low) to 71.11(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 71.11(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 79.52(Average Objective).

May Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 67.17(Prev Close), the market ended December at 70.50(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 66.29(Month Low) to 70.75(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 70.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 78.65(Average Objective).

April NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
The HOJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 216.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at 226.11(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 211.12(Month Low) to 227.58(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 227.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 250.01(Average Objective).

May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
The HOK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 215.26(Prev Close), the market ended December at 224.08(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 210.54(Month Low) to 225.48(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 225.48(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 248.88(Average Objective).

April RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 211.87(Prev Close), the market ended December at 222.75(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 211.74(Month Low) to 223.22(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 223.22(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 248.44(Average Objective).

May RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 212.24(Prev Close), the market ended December at 222.88(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 211.47(Month Low) to 223.35(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 223.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 248.66(Average Objective).

May Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 71.08(Prev Close), the market ended December at 73.88(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 70.09(Month Low) to 74.09(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBK should exceed 74.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 83.41(Average Objective).

June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 70.93(Prev Close), the market ended December at 73.56(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 69.96(Month Low) to 73.76(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CBM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBM should exceed 73.76(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 82.35(Average Objective).

March Soybeans(CBOT)
The SH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 996.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1010.50(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 947.00(Month Low) to 1012.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should exceed 1012.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1080.60(Average Objective).

May Soybeans(CBOT)
The SK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1008.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1022.25(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 955.50(Month Low) to 1023.25(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, SK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should exceed 1023.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1099.41(Average Objective).

March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 42.07(Prev Close), the market ended December at 40.36(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 39.50(Month Low) to 43.74(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, BOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should penetrate 39.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 37.26(Average Objective).

May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 42.37(Prev Close), the market ended December at 40.69(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 39.86(Month Low) to 43.98(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, BOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 39.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 37.70(Average Objective).

March Corn(CBOT)
The CH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 433.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 458.50(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 428.25(Month Low) to 459.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, CH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CH should exceed 459.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 494.57(Average Objective).

May Corn(CBOT)
The CK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 439.75(Prev Close), the market ended December at 465.75(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 434.25(Month Low) to 466.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should exceed 466.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 503.34(Average Objective).

May Wheat(KCBT)
The KWK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 548.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 567.75(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 542.50(Month Low) to 578.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KWK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should exceed 578.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 625.28(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 190.780(Prev Close), the market ended December at 194.280(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 188.130(Month Low) to 194.450(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 194.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 202.414(Average Objective).

June Live Cattle(CME)
The LCM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 186.700(Prev Close), the market ended December at 189.630(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 183.400(Month Low) to 189.750(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 189.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 195.344(Average Objective).

August Live Cattle(CME)
The LCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 185.450(Prev Close), the market ended December at 187.600(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 181.800(Month Low) to 187.750(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, LCQ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 187.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 193.343(Average Objective).

April Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 259.630(Prev Close), the market ended December at 263.550(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 254.280(Month Low) to 263.900(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 30(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 30, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 263.900(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 273.779(Average Objective).

May Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 259.770(Prev Close), the market ended December at 263.230(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 254.500(Month Low) to 263.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 263.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 272.262(Average Objective).

August Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCQ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 263.580(Prev Close), the market ended December at 267.380(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 259.000(Month Low) to 267.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, FCQ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 267.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 277.100(Average Objective).

May Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 315.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 314.85(Month Close), that being 46%(Pct Range) off of 288.25(Month Low) to 345.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 288.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 263.57(Average Objective).
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