- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 40843.00(Prev Close), the market ended August at 41563.00(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
38499.00(Month Low) to 41578.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in August than July in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #DJ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 41578.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 43099.52(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 2978.25(Prev Close), the market ended August at 3190.50(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
1058.50(Month Low) to 3554.75(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in August than July in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, the #NQ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 3554.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 3725.66(Average Objective).
- S&P MidCap 400 Index
- The #MZ(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 3098.15(Prev Close), the market ended August at 3091.50(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
2811.10(Month Low) to 3120.65(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 4 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 2(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 2, the #MZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 2 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should penetrate 2811.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 2 years) a potential move
toward 2499.41(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
- The NQZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 3363.25(Prev Close), the market ended August at 3475.00(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
1168.75(Month Low) to 3876.25(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, NQZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQZ should exceed 3876.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 4063.33(Average Objective).
- December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 112~085(Prev Close), the market ended August at 113~180(Month Close),
that being 33%(Pct Range) off of
112~175(Month Low) to 115~190(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, TYZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 115~190(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 118~207(Average Objective).
- December 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The FVZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 108~114(Prev Close), the market ended August at 109~126(Month Close),
that being 36%(Pct Range) off of
108~190(Month Low) to 110~256(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, FVZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FVZ should exceed 110~256(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 112~165(Average Objective).
- December 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TUZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 103~042(Prev Close), the market ended August at 103~246(Month Close),
that being 44%(Pct Range) off of
103~072(Month Low) to 104~147(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, TUZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TUZ should exceed 104~147(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 105~052(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 65.65(Prev Close), the market ended August at 67.80(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
63.62(Month Low) to 68.44(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, ADZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 68.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 70.68(Average Objective).
- December US Dollar Index(ICE)
- The DXZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 103.475(Prev Close), the market ended August at 101.275(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
100.085(Month Low) to 103.845(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed
lower in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, DXZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 100.085(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 96.800(Average Objective).
- December Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 931.20(Prev Close), the market ended August at 962.80(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
820.50(Month Low) to 993.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in August than July in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, PAZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAZ should exceed 993.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 1097.80(Average Objective).
- November Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGX4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 2.635(Prev Close), the market ended August at 2.498(Month Close),
that being 13%(Pct Range) off of
2.450(Month Low) to 2.829(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in August than July in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, NGX went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGX should penetrate 2.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 2.079(Average Objective).
- December Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 3.192(Prev Close), the market ended August at 3.037(Month Close),
that being 5%(Pct Range) off of
3.019(Month Low) to 3.395(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, NGZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGZ should penetrate 3.019(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 2.624(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 315.70(Prev Close), the market ended August at 313.00(Month Close),
that being 40%(Pct Range) off of
298.50(Month Low) to 335.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SMZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should penetrate 298.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 279.45(Average Objective).
- January Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMF5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 316.60(Prev Close), the market ended August at 313.90(Month Close),
that being 39%(Pct Range) off of
300.40(Month Low) to 335.20(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SMF went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMF should penetrate 300.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 280.39(Average Objective).
- October Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEV4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 75.930(Prev Close), the market ended August at 82.230(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
71.330(Month Low) to 83.000(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, HEV went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEV should exceed 83.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 89.197(Average Objective).
- November Orange Juice(ICE)
- The JOX4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 416.60(Prev Close), the market ended August at 460.30(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
411.40(Month Low) to 488.45(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Orange Juice(ICE) also closed
higher in August than July in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, JOX went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOX should exceed 488.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 543.99(Average Objective).
- December Cotton(ICE)
- The CTZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 68.99(Prev Close), the market ended August at 69.99(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
66.26(Month Low) to 71.36(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cotton(ICE) also closed
higher in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, CTZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTZ should exceed 71.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 79.36(Average Objective).
- March Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 19.31(Prev Close), the market ended August at 19.66(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
17.88(Month Low) to 20.19(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in August than July in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SBH went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 20.19(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 22.69(Average Objective).
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