- September 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The FVU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 114~146(Prev Close), the market ended April at 112~092(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
111~160(Month Low) to 113~296(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, FVU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FVU should penetrate 111~160(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 109~306(Average Objective).
- September 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TUU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 105~243(Prev Close), the market ended April at 105~000(Month Close),
that being 28%(Pct Range) off of
104~245(Month Low) to 105~185(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, TUU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TUU should penetrate 104~245(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 104~066(Average Objective).
- September Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 75.12(Prev Close), the market ended April at 70.97(Month Close),
that being 5%(Pct Range) off of
70.68(Month Low) to 76.81(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, ADU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should penetrate 70.68(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 67.62(Average Objective).
- September British Pound(CME)
- The BPU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 131.35(Prev Close), the market ended April at 126.11(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
124.23(Month Low) to 131.69(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September British Pound(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, BPU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPU should penetrate 124.23(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 118.68(Average Objective).
- September Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 80.07(Prev Close), the market ended April at 77.88(Month Close),
that being 9%(Pct Range) off of
77.60(Month Low) to 80.57(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, CDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDU should penetrate 77.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 76.42(Average Objective).
- September US Dollar Index(ICE)
- The DXU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 98.115(Prev Close), the market ended April at 102.708(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
98.135(Month Low) to 103.640(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed
higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, DXU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXU should exceed 103.640(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 106.955(Average Objective).
- August Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLQ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 95.08(Prev Close), the market ended April at 100.88(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
91.61(Month Low) to 106.23(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CLQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLQ should exceed 106.23(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 114.80(Average Objective).
- September Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 93.32(Prev Close), the market ended April at 98.69(Month Close),
that being 57%(Pct Range) off of
91.10(Month Low) to 104.37(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in April than March in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CLU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLU should exceed 104.37(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 112.29(Average Objective).
- August RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBQ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 295.26(Prev Close), the market ended April at 327.11(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
287.72(Month Low) to 332.62(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in April than March in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, RBQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBQ should exceed 332.62(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 367.14(Average Objective).
- September RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 287.25(Prev Close), the market ended April at 316.07(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
281.59(Month Low) to 322.20(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in April than March in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, RBU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBU should exceed 322.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 352.40(Average Objective).
- August Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGQ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 5.757(Prev Close), the market ended April at 7.354(Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
5.630(Month Low) to 8.262(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in April than March in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, NGQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGQ should exceed 8.262(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 9.215(Average Objective).
- September Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 5.731(Prev Close), the market ended April at 7.299(Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
5.608(Month Low) to 8.228(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, NGU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGU should exceed 8.228(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 9.170(Average Objective).
- September Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 99.43(Prev Close), the market ended April at 103.48(Month Close),
that being 53%(Pct Range) off of
95.92(Month Low) to 110.16(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CBU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBU should exceed 110.16(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 119.08(Average Objective).
- October Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBV2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 98.04(Prev Close), the market ended April at 101.54(Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
95.27(Month Low) to 108.46(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CBV went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBV should exceed 108.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 117.14(Average Objective).
- July Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 120.880(Prev Close), the market ended April at 110.030(Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
109.850(Month Low) to 123.550(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, HEN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEN should penetrate 109.850(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 101.587(Average Objective).
- August Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEQ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 118.450(Prev Close), the market ended April at 109.650(Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
109.400(Month Low) to 121.250(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, HEQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEQ should penetrate 109.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 100.792(Average Objective).
- October Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEV2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 97.800(Prev Close), the market ended April at 93.450(Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
93.250(Month Low) to 100.380(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, HEV went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEV should penetrate 93.250(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 87.071(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 225.70(Prev Close), the market ended April at 221.90(Month Close),
that being 33%(Pct Range) off of
214.25(Month Low) to 237.15(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, KCU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 214.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 187.70(Average Objective).
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