- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 33844.00(Prev Close), the market ended October at 35820.00(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
33786.00(Month Low) to 35893.00(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in October than September in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #DJ went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 35893.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 37921.45(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 14002.00(Prev Close), the market ended October at 15907.00(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
13982.00(Month Low) to 16113.00(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in October than September in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, the #TRAN went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 16113.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 17265.55(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 1977.50(Prev Close), the market ended October at 2121.95(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
1962.15(Month Low) to 2123.05(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in October than September in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #OEX went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 2123.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 2257.25(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 14689.50(Prev Close), the market ended October at 15850.25(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
14384.75(Month Low) to 15854.75(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in October than September in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, the #NQ went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 15854.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 17329.66(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #QR(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 2204.35(Prev Close), the market ended October at 2265.65(Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
2188.70(Month Low) to 2306.25(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in October than September in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, the #QR went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #QR should exceed 2306.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 2486.35(Average Objective).
- S&P MidCap 400 Index
- The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 2640.55(Prev Close), the market ended October at 2794.10(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
2622.35(Month Low) to 2820.55(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 1 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed
higher in October than September in 1(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 1, the #MZ went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 1 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 2820.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 4307.50(Prev Close), the market ended October at 4605.50(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
4279.00(Month Low) to 4608.00(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in October than September in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #SP went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 4608.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 4901.41(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
- The NQZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 14682.50(Prev Close), the market ended October at 15838.50(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
14367.75(Month Low) to 15864.75(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed
higher in October than September in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, NQZ went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQZ should exceed 15864.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 17201.27(Average Objective).
- December E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
- The YMZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 33722(Prev Close), the market ended October at 35704(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
33383(Month Low) to 35777(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed
higher in October than September in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, YMZ went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMZ should exceed 35777(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 37509(Average Objective).
- December 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The FVZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 122~236(Prev Close), the market ended October at 121~240(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
121~124(Month Low) to 123~042(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 5-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in October than September in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, FVZ went on to penetrate the October low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FVZ should penetrate 121~124(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 119~286(Average Objective).
- December 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TUZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 110~007(Prev Close), the market ended October at 109~200(Month Close),
that being 43%(Pct Range) off of
109~085(Month Low) to 110~030(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 2 Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
lower in October than September in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, TUZ went on to penetrate the October low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TUZ should penetrate 109~085(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 108~253(Average Objective).
- December Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 89.81(Prev Close), the market ended October at 87.80(Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
87.22(Month Low) to 90.28(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
lower in October than September in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, JYZ went on to penetrate the October low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should penetrate 87.22(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 84.36(Average Objective).
- March Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCH1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 112.70(Prev Close), the market ended October at 106.85(Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
105.70(Month Low) to 115.60(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in October than September in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, KCH went on to penetrate the October low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should penetrate 105.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 96.61(Average Objective).
- March Lumber(CME)
- The LBH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
October(Month). Compared to September's 642.1(Prev Close), the market ended October at 645.0(Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
645.0(Month Low) to 824.7(Month High).
In comparing the September/October closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in October than September in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, LBH went on to exceed the October high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 824.7(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of December.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 884.6(Average Objective).
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