- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 34935.00(Prev Close), the market ended August at 35361.00(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
34692.00(Month Low) to 35631.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in August than July in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #DJ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 35631.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 36979.52(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 14959.75(Prev Close), the market ended August at 15582.50(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
14774.00(Month Low) to 15620.50(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in August than July in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, the #NQ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 15620.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 16486.64(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #QR(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 2226.25(Prev Close), the market ended August at 2277.15(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
2122.25(Month Low) to 2281.85(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in August than July in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, the #QR went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #QR should exceed 2281.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 2386.25(Average Objective).
- S&P MidCap 400 Index
- The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 2703.65(Prev Close), the market ended August at 2753.15(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
2630.50(Month Low) to 2775.45(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 1 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed
higher in August than July in 1(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 1, the #MZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 1 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 2775.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
- December NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
- The NQZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 14944.25(Prev Close), the market ended August at 15571.25(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
14699.00(Month Low) to 15664.25(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, NQZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQZ should exceed 15664.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 16547.92(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMZ1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 353.90(Prev Close), the market ended August at 345.60(Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
345.10(Month Low) to 367.20(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, SMZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should penetrate 345.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 325.51(Average Objective).
- December Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 132.650(Prev Close), the market ended August at 133.485(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
131.500(Month Low) to 138.235(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, LCZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should exceed 138.235(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 143.928(Average Objective).
- February Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCG2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 137.200(Prev Close), the market ended August at 137.750(Month Close),
that being 39%(Pct Range) off of
135.985(Month Low) to 140.550(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, LCG went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 140.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 145.361(Average Objective).
- January Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCF2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 165.150(Prev Close), the market ended August at 168.985(Month Close),
that being 61%(Pct Range) off of
164.330(Month Low) to 172.000(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FCF went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should exceed 172.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 177.828(Average Objective).
- December Cotton(ICE)
- The CTZ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 89.39(Prev Close), the market ended August at 92.53(Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
89.01(Month Low) to 96.71(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cotton(ICE) also closed
higher in August than July in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, CTZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTZ should exceed 96.71(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 106.66(Average Objective).
- March Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 18.43(Prev Close), the market ended August at 20.55(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
18.31(Month Low) to 20.94(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in August than July in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SBH went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 20.94(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 23.62(Average Objective).
- May Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 17.47(Prev Close), the market ended August at 19.82(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
17.46(Month Low) to 20.05(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in August than July in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, SBK went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBK should exceed 20.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 22.53(Average Objective).
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