Moore Research Center, Inc.

  • Increase font size
  • Default font size
  • Decrease font size
Home MRCI Online
Print
New Windows

MRCI's Scenario Summary

MRCI Logo
MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Nov 30, 2019
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Nov 27046.00 28175.00 27143.00 28051.00 88% 45 32 28 88% 28175.00 29690.22 28051.00
#TRAN Higher Nov 10499.00 11227.00 10523.00 10858.00 48% 45 34 30 88% 11227.00 12112.43 10858.00
#OEX Higher Nov 39.04 93.91 43.88 87.91 88% 43 29 25 86% 93.91 99.85 87.91
#NQ Higher Nov 8083.75 8445.50 8111.50 8403.50 87% 34 22 21 95% 8445.50 9160.00 8403.50
#QR Higher Nov 1562.45 1608.80 1569.20 1596.45 69% 40 27 25 93% Yes 1712.05 1596.45
#MZ Higher Nov 1955.35 2031.00 1965.50 2010.15 68% 13 10 9 90% 2031.00 2134.92 2010.15
#VLE Higher Nov 6252.10 6490.20 6252.10 6446.10 81% 36 26 24 92% 6490.20 6865.95 6446.10
#SSNI Higher Nov 22927 23608 22706 23294 65% 45 28 24 86% 23608 24822 23294
#SP Higher Nov 3037.55 3154.25 3050.70 3141.00 87% 45 32 28 88% 3154.25 3320.30 3141.00
SPH0 Higher Nov 3037.30 3156.00 3060.00 3145.80 89% 37 27 25 93% 3156.00 3314.03 3145.80
NQH0 Higher Nov 8110.00 8479.25 8107.25 8438.25 89% 23 17 16 94% 8479.25 9122.72 8438.25
YMH0 Higher Nov 26970 28158 26957 28067 92% 22 17 15 88% 28158 29450 28067
JYH0 Lower Nov 93.39 93.48 91.82 92.03 13% 43 25 22 88% 91.82 88.60 92.03
PAH0 Higher Nov 1749.90 1818.00 1642.00 1810.10 96% 41 22 20 91% 1818.00 2110.17 1810.10
HGH0 Higher Nov 264.70 273.85 262.80 266.15 30% 45 22 19 86% 273.85 299.45 266.15
CLH0 Higher Nov 53.92 58.32 53.74 54.98 27% 36 17 15 88% 58.32 65.05 54.98
CLJ0 Higher Nov 53.63 57.94 53.55 54.74 27% 36 17 15 88% 57.94 64.20 54.74
CLK0 Higher Nov 53.31 57.58 53.26 54.45 28% 36 16 14 88% 57.58 63.96 54.45
NGH0 Lower Nov 2.568 2.778 2.190 2.198 1% 29 20 17 85% 2.190 1.804 2.198
NGJ0 Lower Nov 2.340 2.447 2.132 2.136 1% 29 20 17 85% 2.132 1.799 2.136
NGK0 Lower Nov 2.322 2.411 2.144 2.148 1% 29 19 16 84% 2.144 1.843 2.148
CBH0 Higher Nov 58.34 62.86 58.13 59.85 36% 30 15 14 93% 62.86 68.32 59.85
CBJ0 Higher Nov 57.91 62.36 57.72 59.35 35% 30 15 14 93% 62.36 67.59 59.35
CBK0 Higher Nov 57.58 61.94 57.41 58.95 34% 29 14 12 86% 61.94 66.99 58.95
LCG0 Higher Nov 122.350 127.150 122.230 126.200 81% 45 27 23 85% 127.150 134.050 126.200
FCJ0 Higher Nov 144.635 148.680 140.135 144.985 57% 44 25 22 88% 148.680 155.452 144.985


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 27046.00(Prev Close), the market ended November at 28051.00(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 27143.00(Month Low) to 28175.00(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in November than October in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #DJ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 28175.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 29690.22(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 10499.00(Prev Close), the market ended November at 10858.00(Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 10523.00(Month Low) to 11227.00(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in November than October in 34(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 34, the #TRAN went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 11227.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move toward 12112.43(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 39.04(Prev Close), the market ended November at 87.91(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 43.88(Month Low) to 93.91(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in November than October in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, the #OEX went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 93.91(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 99.85(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 8083.75(Prev Close), the market ended November at 8403.50(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 8111.50(Month Low) to 8445.50(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in November than October in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, the #NQ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 8445.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 9160.00(Average Objective).

Russell 2000 Index
The #QR(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 1562.45(Prev Close), the market ended November at 1596.45(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 1569.20(Month Low) to 1608.80(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in November than October in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, the #QR went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #QR should exceed 1608.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 1712.05(Average Objective).

S&P MidCap 400 Index
The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 1955.35(Prev Close), the market ended November at 2010.15(Month Close), that being 68%(Pct Range) off of 1965.50(Month Low) to 2031.00(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed higher in November than October in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, the #MZ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 2031.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 2134.92(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 6252.10(Prev Close), the market ended November at 6446.10(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 6252.10(Month Low) to 6490.20(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in November than October in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, the #VLE went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 6490.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 6865.95(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 22927(Prev Close), the market ended November at 23294(Month Close), that being 65%(Pct Range) off of 22706(Month Low) to 23608(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in November than October in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, the #SSNI went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 23608(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 24822(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 3037.55(Prev Close), the market ended November at 3141.00(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 3050.70(Month Low) to 3154.25(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in November than October in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #SP went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 3154.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 3320.30(Average Objective).

March S & P 500(CME)
The SPH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 3037.30(Prev Close), the market ended November at 3145.80(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 3060.00(Month Low) to 3156.00(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in November than October in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, SPH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 3156.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 3314.03(Average Objective).

March NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
The NQH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 8110.00(Prev Close), the market ended November at 8438.25(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 8107.25(Month Low) to 8479.25(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed higher in November than October in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, NQH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQH should exceed 8479.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 9122.72(Average Objective).

March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
The YMH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 26970(Prev Close), the market ended November at 28067(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 26957(Month Low) to 28158(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed higher in November than October in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, YMH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMH should exceed 28158(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 29450(Average Objective).

March Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYH0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 93.39(Prev Close), the market ended November at 92.03(Month Close), that being 13%(Pct Range) off of 91.82(Month Low) to 93.48(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in November than October in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, JYH went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 91.82(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 88.60(Average Objective).

March Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 1749.90(Prev Close), the market ended November at 1810.10(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 1642.00(Month Low) to 1818.00(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in November than October in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, PAH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 1818.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 2110.17(Average Objective).

March Copper(CMX)
The HGH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 264.70(Prev Close), the market ended November at 266.15(Month Close), that being 30%(Pct Range) off of 262.80(Month Low) to 273.85(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Copper(CMX) also closed higher in November than October in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, HGH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGH should exceed 273.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 299.45(Average Objective).

March Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 53.92(Prev Close), the market ended November at 54.98(Month Close), that being 27%(Pct Range) off of 53.74(Month Low) to 58.32(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in November than October in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, CLH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLH should exceed 58.32(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 65.05(Average Objective).

April Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLJ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 53.63(Prev Close), the market ended November at 54.74(Month Close), that being 27%(Pct Range) off of 53.55(Month Low) to 57.94(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in November than October in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, CLJ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 57.94(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 64.20(Average Objective).

May Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 53.31(Prev Close), the market ended November at 54.45(Month Close), that being 28%(Pct Range) off of 53.26(Month Low) to 57.58(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in November than October in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CLK went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 57.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 63.96(Average Objective).

March Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGH0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 2.568(Prev Close), the market ended November at 2.198(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 2.190(Month Low) to 2.778(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in November than October in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, NGH went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGH should penetrate 2.190(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1.804(Average Objective).

April Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGJ0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 2.340(Prev Close), the market ended November at 2.136(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 2.132(Month Low) to 2.447(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in November than October in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, NGJ went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should penetrate 2.132(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1.799(Average Objective).

May Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGK0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 2.322(Prev Close), the market ended November at 2.148(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 2.144(Month Low) to 2.411(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in November than October in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, NGK went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should penetrate 2.144(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 1.843(Average Objective).

March Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBH0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 58.34(Prev Close), the market ended November at 59.85(Month Close), that being 36%(Pct Range) off of 58.13(Month Low) to 62.86(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in November than October in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CBH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBH should exceed 62.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 68.32(Average Objective).

April Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBJ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 57.91(Prev Close), the market ended November at 59.35(Month Close), that being 35%(Pct Range) off of 57.72(Month Low) to 62.36(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in November than October in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CBJ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBJ should exceed 62.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 67.59(Average Objective).

May Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 57.58(Prev Close), the market ended November at 58.95(Month Close), that being 34%(Pct Range) off of 57.41(Month Low) to 61.94(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in November than October in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CBK went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBK should exceed 61.94(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 66.99(Average Objective).

February Live Cattle(CME)
The LCG0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 122.350(Prev Close), the market ended November at 126.200(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 122.230(Month Low) to 127.150(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in November than October in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, LCG went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 127.150(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 134.050(Average Objective).

April Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCJ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for November(Month). Compared to October's 144.635(Prev Close), the market ended November at 144.985(Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 140.135(Month Low) to 148.680(Month High).

In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in November than October in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, FCJ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 148.680(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 155.452(Average Objective).
Banner

Login

Newsflash

Quotes and Charts! https://www.mrci.com/ohlc/ohlc-all.php

MRCI is delighted to provide our new Futures SuperCharts via End-of-Day Commodity Quotes pages.

There are now links not only to the Nearby Weekly and Monthly charts for each particular commodity but also to the daily Superchart for each delivery month --- over which you can even hover!

No more toggling from one section to another.  Now MRCI's tables of daily OHLC, volume, and open interest data offer you immediate access to the relevant charts

--- all in one place and at your fingertips.  Try it --- you'll like it!

To learn more about the features of Futures SuperCharts, please visit: https://www.mrci.com/tutorials/supercharts.pdf