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MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Apr 30, 2018
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Apr 24103.00 24859.00 23345.00 24163.00 54% 45 29 26 90% 24859.00 25892.41 24163.00
#TRAN Higher Apr 10397.00 10839.00 10037.00 10424.00 48% 45 25 21 84% 10839.00 11452.56 10424.00
#OEX Higher Apr 502.01 536.86 463.33 505.37 57% 42 26 23 88% 536.86 566.16 505.37
#NDX Higher Apr 27.55 3263.95 21.30 51.95 1% 32 18 16 89% 3263.95 3268.30 51.95
#VLE Higher Apr 5991.30 6218.80 5815.80 6040.20 56% 35 21 19 90% 6218.80 6557.49 6040.20
#SSNI Higher Apr 21454 22496 21056 22468 98% 45 29 25 86% Yes 23619 22468
#SP Higher Apr 2640.85 2717.50 2553.80 2648.05 58% 45 31 28 90% 2717.50 2838.74 2648.05
SPU8 Higher Apr 2647.80 2721.30 2579.10 2651.50 51% 35 24 23 96% 2721.30 2834.09 2651.50
USU8 Lower Apr 145~210 146~050 140~230 143~000 42% 40 20 17 85% 140~230 134~296 143~000
EDU8 Lower Apr 97.625 97.650 97.475 97.510 20% 36 14 14 100% 97.475 97.079 97.510
EDU8 Lower Apr 97.625 97.650 97.475 97.510 20% 36 14 14 100% 97.475 97.079 97.510
JYU8 Lower Apr 95.06 95.68 92.20 92.40 6% 41 20 17 85% 92.20 88.58 92.40
BPU8 Lower Apr 141.12 144.63 138.08 138.37 4% 43 15 15 100% 138.08 131.68 138.37
CDU8 Higher Apr 77.76 80.00 77.50 78.09 24% 41 27 23 85% 80.00 81.51 78.09
ADU8 Lower Apr 76.81 78.14 75.33 75.35 1% 31 10 10 100% 75.33 71.85 75.35
DXU8 Higher Apr 89.392 91.270 88.515 91.180 97% 32 9 8 89% 91.270 94.330 91.180
SIN8 Higher Apr 1635.4 1742.5 1622.5 1640.1 15% 45 16 14 88% 1742.5 1881.5 1640.1
CLQ8 Higher Apr 64.04 68.93 61.43 68.17 90% 35 21 19 90% 68.93 74.34 68.17
CLU8 Higher Apr 63.48 68.44 61.00 67.68 90% 35 22 19 86% 68.44 73.53 67.68
CLV8 Higher Apr 62.92 67.84 60.55 67.09 90% 35 22 19 86% 67.84 72.55 67.09
ITCOU8 Higher Apr 67.91 74.47 65.46 73.60 90% 28 18 17 94% 74.47 80.50 73.60
ITCOV8 Higher Apr 67.49 73.89 65.11 73.04 90% 28 18 17 94% 73.89 79.83 73.04
ITCOX8 Higher Apr 67.09 73.36 64.77 72.54 90% 26 17 16 94% 73.36 79.17 72.54
RBQ8 Higher Apr 200.34 213.25 192.40 211.27 91% 32 22 19 86% 213.25 232.13 211.27
RBU8 Higher Apr 197.97 211.08 190.23 209.13 91% 33 24 21 88% 211.08 227.83 209.13
CBQ8 Higher Apr 68.36 75.06 65.87 74.17 90% 28 17 16 94% 75.06 80.03 74.17
CBU8 Higher Apr 67.91 74.47 65.46 73.60 90% 28 18 17 94% 74.47 80.50 73.60
CBV8 Higher Apr 67.49 73.89 65.11 73.04 90% 28 18 17 94% 73.89 79.83 73.04
BON8 Lower Apr 32.13 33.00 30.55 30.62 3% 45 18 17 94% 30.55 28.45 30.62
BOQ8 Lower Apr 32.26 33.12 30.66 30.76 4% 45 18 17 94% 30.66 28.57 30.76
CZ8 Higher Apr 411.50 418.50 396.00 416.00 89% 45 21 19 90% 418.50 467.98 416.00
HEQ8 Lower Apr 77.280 81.000 72.450 75.880 40% 45 14 13 93% 72.450 66.493 75.880
HEV8 Lower Apr 65.880 68.930 62.500 64.530 32% 45 14 13 93% 62.500 57.963 64.530
SBV8 Lower Apr 12.87 13.01 11.23 11.99 43% 45 25 21 84% 11.23 9.72 11.99


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 24103.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 24163.00(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 23345.00(Month Low) to 24859.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in April than March in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, the #DJ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 24859.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 25892.41(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 10397.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at 10424.00(Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 10037.00(Month Low) to 10839.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in April than March in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, the #TRAN went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 10839.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 11452.56(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 502.01(Prev Close), the market ended April at 505.37(Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 463.33(Month Low) to 536.86(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in April than March in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, the #OEX went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 536.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 566.16(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 27.55(Prev Close), the market ended April at 51.95(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 21.30(Month Low) to 3263.95(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, the #NDX went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 3263.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 3268.30(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 5991.30(Prev Close), the market ended April at 6040.20(Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 5815.80(Month Low) to 6218.80(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, the #VLE went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 6218.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 6557.49(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 21454(Prev Close), the market ended April at 22468(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 21056(Month Low) to 22496(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in April than March in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, the #SSNI went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 22496(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 23619(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 2640.85(Prev Close), the market ended April at 2648.05(Month Close), that being 58%(Pct Range) off of 2553.80(Month Low) to 2717.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in April than March in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #SP went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 2717.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 2838.74(Average Objective).

September S & P 500(CME)
The SPU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 2647.80(Prev Close), the market ended April at 2651.50(Month Close), that being 51%(Pct Range) off of 2579.10(Month Low) to 2721.30(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SPU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPU should exceed 2721.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 2834.09(Average Objective).

September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
The USU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 145~210(Prev Close), the market ended April at 143~000(Month Close), that being 42%(Pct Range) off of 140~230(Month Low) to 146~050(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, USU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USU should penetrate 140~230(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 134~296(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 97.625(Prev Close), the market ended April at 97.510(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 97.475(Month Low) to 97.650(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, EDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should penetrate 97.475(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 97.079(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 97.625(Prev Close), the market ended April at 97.510(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 97.475(Month Low) to 97.650(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, EDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should penetrate 97.475(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 97.079(Average Objective).

September Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 95.06(Prev Close), the market ended April at 92.40(Month Close), that being 6%(Pct Range) off of 92.20(Month Low) to 95.68(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, JYU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYU should penetrate 92.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 88.58(Average Objective).

September British Pound(CME)
The BPU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 141.12(Prev Close), the market ended April at 138.37(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 138.08(Month Low) to 144.63(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September British Pound(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, BPU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPU should penetrate 138.08(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 131.68(Average Objective).

September Canadian Dollar(CME)
The CDU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 77.76(Prev Close), the market ended April at 78.09(Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 77.50(Month Low) to 80.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, CDU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDU should exceed 80.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 81.51(Average Objective).

September Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADU8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 76.81(Prev Close), the market ended April at 75.35(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 75.33(Month Low) to 78.14(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, ADU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should penetrate 75.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 71.85(Average Objective).

September US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 89.392(Prev Close), the market ended April at 91.180(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 88.515(Month Low) to 91.270(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, DXU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXU should exceed 91.270(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 94.330(Average Objective).

July Silver(CMX)
The SIN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1635.4(Prev Close), the market ended April at 1640.1(Month Close), that being 15%(Pct Range) off of 1622.5(Month Low) to 1742.5(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Silver(CMX) also closed higher in April than March in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, SIN went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SIN should exceed 1742.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 1881.5(Average Objective).

August Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 64.04(Prev Close), the market ended April at 68.17(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 61.43(Month Low) to 68.93(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, CLQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLQ should exceed 68.93(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 74.34(Average Objective).

September Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 63.48(Prev Close), the market ended April at 67.68(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 61.00(Month Low) to 68.44(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CLU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLU should exceed 68.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 73.53(Average Objective).

October Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLV8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 62.92(Prev Close), the market ended April at 67.09(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 60.55(Month Low) to 67.84(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CLV went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLV should exceed 67.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 72.55(Average Objective).

September Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCOU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 67.91(Prev Close), the market ended April at 73.60(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 65.46(Month Low) to 74.47(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, ITCOU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOU should exceed 74.47(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 80.50(Average Objective).

October Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCOV8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 67.49(Prev Close), the market ended April at 73.04(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 65.11(Month Low) to 73.89(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, ITCOV went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOV should exceed 73.89(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 79.83(Average Objective).

November Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The ITCOX8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 67.09(Prev Close), the market ended April at 72.54(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 64.77(Month Low) to 73.36(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, ITCOX went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOX should exceed 73.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 79.17(Average Objective).

August RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 200.34(Prev Close), the market ended April at 211.27(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 192.40(Month Low) to 213.25(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, RBQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBQ should exceed 213.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 232.13(Average Objective).

September RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 197.97(Prev Close), the market ended April at 209.13(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 190.23(Month Low) to 211.08(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, RBU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBU should exceed 211.08(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 227.83(Average Objective).

August Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBQ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 68.36(Prev Close), the market ended April at 74.17(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 65.87(Month Low) to 75.06(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, CBQ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBQ should exceed 75.06(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 80.03(Average Objective).

September Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBU8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 67.91(Prev Close), the market ended April at 73.60(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 65.46(Month Low) to 74.47(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, CBU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBU should exceed 74.47(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 80.50(Average Objective).

October Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBV8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 67.49(Prev Close), the market ended April at 73.04(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 65.11(Month Low) to 73.89(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, CBV went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBV should exceed 73.89(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 79.83(Average Objective).

July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BON8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 32.13(Prev Close), the market ended April at 30.62(Month Close), that being 3%(Pct Range) off of 30.55(Month Low) to 33.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, BON went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should penetrate 30.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 28.45(Average Objective).

August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOQ8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 32.26(Prev Close), the market ended April at 30.76(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 30.66(Month Low) to 33.12(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, BOQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should penetrate 30.66(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 28.57(Average Objective).

December Corn(CBOT)
The CZ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 411.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at 416.00(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 396.00(Month Low) to 418.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, CZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should exceed 418.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 467.98(Average Objective).

August Lean Hogs(CME)
The HEQ8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 77.280(Prev Close), the market ended April at 75.880(Month Close), that being 40%(Pct Range) off of 72.450(Month Low) to 81.000(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, HEQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEQ should penetrate 72.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 66.493(Average Objective).

October Lean Hogs(CME)
The HEV8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 65.880(Prev Close), the market ended April at 64.530(Month Close), that being 32%(Pct Range) off of 62.500(Month Low) to 68.930(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, HEV went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEV should penetrate 62.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 57.963(Average Objective).

October Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBV8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 12.87(Prev Close), the market ended April at 11.99(Month Close), that being 43%(Pct Range) off of 11.23(Month Low) to 13.01(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(ICE) also closed lower in April than March in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SBV went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should penetrate 11.23(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 9.72(Average Objective).
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