|
MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary |
|
ScenarioSM Summary Dec 31, 2013 |
Historical Data |
Scenario Data |
Current Market Data |
Mkt |
Cond |
Month |
Prev Close |
Month High |
Month Low |
Month Close |
Pct Range |
Total Years |
Cond Years |
Action Years |
Pct |
Scenario Objective |
Average Objective |
Last Price |
#DJ |
Higher |
Dec |
13026.00 |
13366.00 |
12884.00 |
13104.00 |
46% |
45 |
31 |
29 |
94% |
13366.00 |
14113.68 |
14579.00 |
#TRAN |
Higher |
Dec |
5119.00 |
5358.00 |
5042.00 |
5307.00 |
84% |
43 |
31 |
29 |
94% |
5358.00 |
5842.64 |
6255.00 |
#OEX |
Higher |
Dec |
646.40 |
658.20 |
633.95 |
646.60 |
52% |
37 |
26 |
24 |
92% |
658.20 |
695.18 |
704.55 |
#RUT |
Higher |
Dec |
821.90 |
852.50 |
816.10 |
849.35 |
91% |
34 |
27 |
26 |
96% |
852.50 |
915.46 |
951.55 |
#MID |
Higher |
Dec |
1000.15 |
1030.15 |
991.90 |
1020.45 |
75% |
32 |
23 |
22 |
96% |
1030.15 |
1087.15 |
1153.70 |
#VLE |
Higher |
Dec |
3072.80 |
3187.30 |
3047.40 |
3164.70 |
84% |
30 |
26 |
25 |
96% |
3187.30 |
3405.39 |
3548.80 |
#SSNI |
Higher |
Dec |
9446 |
10434 |
9377 |
10395 |
96% |
31 |
22 |
20 |
91% |
10434 |
11103 |
12398 |
#SP |
Higher |
Dec |
1416.20 |
1448.00 |
1398.10 |
1426.20 |
56% |
45 |
33 |
31 |
94% |
1448.00 |
1521.59 |
1569.20 |
SPH4 |
Higher |
Dec |
1797.70 |
1846.50 |
1754.40 |
1841.10 |
94% |
31 |
24 |
24 |
100% |
1846.50 |
1942.73 |
1841.10 |
JYH4 |
Lower |
Dec |
97.67 |
98.45 |
94.89 |
95.03 |
4% |
37 |
18 |
17 |
94% |
94.89 |
91.29 |
95.03 |
CDH4 |
Higher |
Dec |
93.86 |
94.46 |
92.93 |
93.92 |
65% |
37 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
94.46 |
96.21 |
93.92 |
GCG4 |
Lower |
Dec |
1250.4 |
1267.5 |
1181.4 |
1202.3 |
24% |
38 |
20 |
17 |
85% |
1181.4 |
1110.0 |
1202.3 |
GCJ4 |
Lower |
Dec |
1251.3 |
1266.7 |
1182.3 |
1203.0 |
25% |
38 |
20 |
17 |
85% |
1182.3 |
1107.2 |
1203.0 |
PLJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
1372.3 |
1402.8 |
1315.8 |
1373.8 |
67% |
45 |
22 |
19 |
86% |
1402.8 |
1629.5 |
1373.8 |
HGH4 |
Higher |
Dec |
320.50 |
342.00 |
315.80 |
339.65 |
91% |
45 |
26 |
24 |
92% |
342.00 |
373.30 |
339.65 |
HGK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
320.60 |
341.35 |
316.00 |
338.50 |
89% |
45 |
25 |
25 |
100% |
341.35 |
371.53 |
338.50 |
CLJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
93.32 |
100.33 |
92.86 |
98.44 |
75% |
30 |
14 |
14 |
100% |
100.33 |
110.48 |
98.44 |
CLK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
93.29 |
99.53 |
93.17 |
97.99 |
76% |
30 |
13 |
13 |
100% |
99.53 |
109.30 |
97.99 |
CLM4 |
Higher |
Dec |
93.12 |
98.60 |
92.95 |
97.28 |
77% |
30 |
13 |
13 |
100% |
98.60 |
107.91 |
97.28 |
CLN4 |
Higher |
Dec |
92.83 |
97.59 |
93.15 |
96.45 |
74% |
29 |
13 |
13 |
100% |
97.59 |
106.52 |
96.45 |
HOJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
301.19 |
308.24 |
294.33 |
304.35 |
72% |
34 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
308.24 |
335.49 |
304.35 |
HOK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
299.90 |
307.00 |
293.64 |
303.39 |
73% |
34 |
15 |
14 |
93% |
307.00 |
334.57 |
303.39 |
HOM4 |
Higher |
Dec |
298.70 |
305.91 |
293.10 |
302.46 |
73% |
34 |
16 |
14 |
88% |
305.91 |
332.07 |
302.46 |
HON4 |
Higher |
Dec |
297.94 |
304.83 |
292.85 |
301.82 |
75% |
33 |
13 |
12 |
92% |
304.83 |
332.06 |
301.82 |
RBJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
286.39 |
300.27 |
283.22 |
296.10 |
76% |
28 |
16 |
16 |
100% |
300.27 |
332.38 |
296.10 |
RBK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
286.24 |
300.12 |
283.40 |
295.35 |
71% |
28 |
15 |
15 |
100% |
300.12 |
333.67 |
295.35 |
RBM4 |
Higher |
Dec |
284.53 |
297.31 |
281.46 |
292.54 |
70% |
28 |
16 |
16 |
100% |
297.31 |
326.93 |
292.54 |
RBN4 |
Higher |
Dec |
282.03 |
294.10 |
279.26 |
289.21 |
67% |
28 |
15 |
14 |
93% |
294.10 |
321.77 |
289.21 |
NGJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
3.902 |
4.259 |
3.849 |
4.105 |
62% |
23 |
8 |
7 |
88% |
4.259 |
4.958 |
4.105 |
NGK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
3.915 |
4.229 |
3.860 |
4.095 |
64% |
23 |
8 |
8 |
100% |
4.229 |
4.829 |
4.095 |
NGM4 |
Higher |
Dec |
3.940 |
4.244 |
3.889 |
4.114 |
63% |
23 |
9 |
8 |
89% |
4.244 |
4.808 |
4.114 |
ITCOJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
108.76 |
112.07 |
107.17 |
110.27 |
63% |
24 |
12 |
12 |
100% |
112.07 |
124.90 |
110.27 |
ITCOK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
108.54 |
111.63 |
106.95 |
109.92 |
63% |
23 |
10 |
10 |
100% |
111.63 |
124.48 |
109.92 |
ITCOM4 |
Higher |
Dec |
108.29 |
111.17 |
106.74 |
109.50 |
62% |
23 |
10 |
10 |
100% |
111.17 |
122.66 |
109.50 |
ITCON4 |
Higher |
Dec |
107.98 |
110.66 |
106.54 |
109.02 |
60% |
22 |
9 |
9 |
100% |
110.66 |
122.01 |
109.02 |
RRH4 |
Lower |
Dec |
16.14 |
16.18 |
15.21 |
15.28 |
7% |
27 |
14 |
12 |
86% |
15.21 |
13.82 |
15.28 |
LCG4 |
Higher |
Dec |
134.250 |
135.600 |
132.100 |
134.635 |
72% |
45 |
27 |
24 |
89% |
135.600 |
145.015 |
134.635 |
LCJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
134.985 |
136.030 |
133.235 |
135.300 |
74% |
45 |
29 |
27 |
93% |
136.030 |
143.826 |
135.300 |
FCH4 |
Higher |
Dec |
165.680 |
168.500 |
163.825 |
167.400 |
76% |
41 |
24 |
22 |
92% |
168.500 |
177.803 |
167.400 |
FCJ4 |
Higher |
Dec |
166.400 |
169.200 |
164.830 |
168.100 |
75% |
41 |
25 |
23 |
92% |
169.200 |
178.159 |
168.100 |
FCK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
167.180 |
169.700 |
165.330 |
168.680 |
77% |
42 |
24 |
24 |
100% |
169.700 |
177.703 |
168.680 |
JOH4 |
Lower |
Dec |
141.05 |
147.30 |
135.10 |
139.20 |
34% |
45 |
31 |
28 |
90% |
135.10 |
121.58 |
139.20 |
JOK4 |
Lower |
Dec |
142.95 |
148.70 |
137.65 |
140.45 |
25% |
45 |
31 |
28 |
90% |
137.65 |
123.60 |
140.45 |
KCH4 |
Lower |
Dec |
110.85 |
118.40 |
105.65 |
110.70 |
40% |
40 |
17 |
15 |
88% |
105.65 |
96.21 |
110.70 |
KCK4 |
Lower |
Dec |
113.10 |
120.60 |
108.00 |
112.95 |
39% |
40 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
108.00 |
99.48 |
112.95 |
CTH4 |
Higher |
Dec |
79.35 |
85.29 |
78.20 |
84.64 |
91% |
45 |
29 |
25 |
86% |
85.29 |
92.76 |
84.64 |
CTK4 |
Higher |
Dec |
79.85 |
84.83 |
78.73 |
84.40 |
93% |
45 |
29 |
25 |
86% |
84.83 |
92.42 |
84.40 |
- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 13026.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 13104.00(Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
12884.00(Month Low) to 13366.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 31, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 13366.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move
toward 14113.68(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 5119.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 5307.00(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
5042.00(Month Low) to 5358.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 31, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 5358.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move
toward 5842.64(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 646.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 646.60(Month Close),
that being 52%(Pct Range) off of
633.95(Month Low) to 658.20(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #OEX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 658.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 695.18(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 821.90(Prev Close), the market ended December at 849.35(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
816.10(Month Low) to 852.50(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 852.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 915.46(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1000.15(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1020.45(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
991.90(Month Low) to 1030.15(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 1030.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 1087.15(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 3072.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3164.70(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
3047.40(Month Low) to 3187.30(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 3187.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 3405.39(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 9446(Prev Close), the market ended December at 10395(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
9377(Month Low) to 10434(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 10434(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 11103(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1416.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1426.20(Month Close),
that being 56%(Pct Range) off of
1398.10(Month Low) to 1448.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in December than November in 33(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 33, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 31 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1448.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 31 years) a potential move
toward 1521.59(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500(CME)
- The SPH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1797.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1841.10(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
1754.40(Month Low) to 1846.50(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1846.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 1942.73(Average Objective).
- March Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 97.67(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.03(Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
94.89(Month Low) to 98.45(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
lower in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 94.89(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 91.29(Average Objective).
- March Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 93.86(Prev Close), the market ended December at 93.92(Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
92.93(Month Low) to 94.46(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should exceed 94.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 96.21(Average Objective).
- February Gold(CMX)
- The GCG4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1250.4(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1202.3(Month Close),
that being 24%(Pct Range) off of
1181.4(Month Low) to 1267.5(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, GCG went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCG should penetrate 1181.4(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 1110.0(Average Objective).
- April Gold(CMX)
- The GCJ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1251.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1203.0(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
1182.3(Month Low) to 1266.7(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, GCJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should penetrate 1182.3(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 1107.2(Average Objective).
- April Platinum(NYMEX)
- The PLJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1372.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1373.8(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
1315.8(Month Low) to 1402.8(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, PLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1402.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1629.5(Average Objective).
- March Copper(CMX)
- The HGH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 320.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 339.65(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
315.80(Month Low) to 342.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, HGH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGH should exceed 342.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 373.30(Average Objective).
- May Copper(CMX)
- The HGK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 320.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 338.50(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
316.00(Month Low) to 341.35(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, HGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 341.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 371.53(Average Objective).
- April Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 93.32(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.44(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
92.86(Month Low) to 100.33(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 100.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 110.48(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 93.29(Prev Close), the market ended December at 97.99(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
93.17(Month Low) to 99.53(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 99.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 109.30(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 93.12(Prev Close), the market ended December at 97.28(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
92.95(Month Low) to 98.60(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, CLM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 98.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 107.91(Average Objective).
- July Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 92.83(Prev Close), the market ended December at 96.45(Month Close),
that being 74%(Pct Range) off of
93.15(Month Low) to 97.59(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, CLN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 97.59(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 106.52(Average Objective).
- April Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 301.19(Prev Close), the market ended December at 304.35(Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
294.33(Month Low) to 308.24(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 308.24(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 335.49(Average Objective).
- May Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 299.90(Prev Close), the market ended December at 303.39(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
293.64(Month Low) to 307.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 307.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 334.57(Average Objective).
- June Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 298.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 302.46(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
293.10(Month Low) to 305.91(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, HOM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOM should exceed 305.91(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 332.07(Average Objective).
- July Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 297.94(Prev Close), the market ended December at 301.82(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
292.85(Month Low) to 304.83(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HON went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HON should exceed 304.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 332.06(Average Objective).
- April Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 286.39(Prev Close), the market ended December at 296.10(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
283.22(Month Low) to 300.27(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 300.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 332.38(Average Objective).
- May Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 286.24(Prev Close), the market ended December at 295.35(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
283.40(Month Low) to 300.12(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 300.12(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 333.67(Average Objective).
- June Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 284.53(Prev Close), the market ended December at 292.54(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
281.46(Month Low) to 297.31(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, RBM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 297.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 326.93(Average Objective).
- July Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 282.03(Prev Close), the market ended December at 289.21(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
279.26(Month Low) to 294.10(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, RBN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 294.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 321.77(Average Objective).
- April Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 3.902(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.105(Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
3.849(Month Low) to 4.259(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, NGJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should exceed 4.259(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 4.958(Average Objective).
- May Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 3.915(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.095(Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
3.860(Month Low) to 4.229(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, NGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 4.229(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 4.829(Average Objective).
- June Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 3.940(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4.114(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
3.889(Month Low) to 4.244(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, NGM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should exceed 4.244(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 4.808(Average Objective).
- April Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The ITCOJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 108.76(Prev Close), the market ended December at 110.27(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
107.17(Month Low) to 112.07(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, ITCOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOJ should exceed 112.07(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 124.90(Average Objective).
- May Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The ITCOK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 108.54(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.92(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
106.95(Month Low) to 111.63(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, ITCOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOK should exceed 111.63(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 124.48(Average Objective).
- June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The ITCOM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 108.29(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.50(Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
106.74(Month Low) to 111.17(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, ITCOM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOM should exceed 111.17(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 122.66(Average Objective).
- July Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The ITCON4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 107.98(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.02(Month Close),
that being 60%(Pct Range) off of
106.54(Month Low) to 110.66(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, ITCON went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCON should exceed 110.66(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 122.01(Average Objective).
- March Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 16.14(Prev Close), the market ended December at 15.28(Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
15.21(Month Low) to 16.18(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, RRH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should penetrate 15.21(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 13.82(Average Objective).
- February Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCG4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 134.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 134.635(Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
132.100(Month Low) to 135.600(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, LCG went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 135.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 145.015(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 134.985(Prev Close), the market ended December at 135.300(Month Close),
that being 74%(Pct Range) off of
133.235(Month Low) to 136.030(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 136.030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 143.826(Average Objective).
- March Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 165.680(Prev Close), the market ended December at 167.400(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
163.825(Month Low) to 168.500(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 168.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 177.803(Average Objective).
- April Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 166.400(Prev Close), the market ended December at 168.100(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
164.830(Month Low) to 169.200(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 169.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 178.159(Average Objective).
- May Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 167.180(Prev Close), the market ended December at 168.680(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
165.330(Month Low) to 169.700(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 169.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 177.703(Average Objective).
- March Orange Juice(ICE)
- The JOH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 141.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at 139.20(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
135.10(Month Low) to 147.30(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(ICE) also closed
lower in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 31, JOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 135.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move
toward 121.58(Average Objective).
- May Orange Juice(ICE)
- The JOK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 142.95(Prev Close), the market ended December at 140.45(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
137.65(Month Low) to 148.70(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(ICE) also closed
lower in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 31, JOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 137.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move
toward 123.60(Average Objective).
- March Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 110.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at 110.70(Month Close),
that being 40%(Pct Range) off of
105.65(Month Low) to 118.40(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, KCH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should penetrate 105.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 96.21(Average Objective).
- May Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 113.10(Prev Close), the market ended December at 112.95(Month Close),
that being 39%(Pct Range) off of
108.00(Month Low) to 120.60(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 108.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 99.48(Average Objective).
- March Cotton(ICE)
- The CTH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 79.35(Prev Close), the market ended December at 84.64(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
78.20(Month Low) to 85.29(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, CTH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should exceed 85.29(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 92.76(Average Objective).
- May Cotton(ICE)
- The CTK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 79.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at 84.40(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
78.73(Month Low) to 84.83(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cotton(ICE) also closed
higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 29, CTK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTK should exceed 84.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 92.42(Average Objective).
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