 |
MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary |
|
ScenarioSM Summary Sep 30, 2012 |
Historical Data |
Scenario Data |
Current Market Data |
Mkt |
Cond |
Month |
Prev Close |
Month High |
Month Low |
Month Close |
Pct Range |
Total Years |
Cond Years |
Action Years |
Pct |
Scenario Objective |
Average Objective |
Last Price |
#UTIL |
Higher |
Sep |
468.21 |
478.48 |
466.37 |
475.75 |
77% |
42 |
22 |
20 |
91% |
478.48 |
503.76 |
475.75 |
#OEX |
Higher |
Sep |
646.40 |
676.65 |
641.90 |
663.80 |
63% |
36 |
13 |
12 |
92% |
676.65 |
715.32 |
663.80 |
#NDX |
Higher |
Sep |
2772.20 |
2878.40 |
2744.30 |
2799.20 |
41% |
26 |
16 |
16 |
100% |
2878.40 |
3114.78 |
2799.20 |
#MID |
Higher |
Sep |
971.55 |
1030.00 |
965.35 |
989.00 |
37% |
31 |
16 |
14 |
88% |
1030.00 |
1087.80 |
989.00 |
#VLE |
Higher |
Sep |
2973.00 |
3171.80 |
2949.40 |
3058.00 |
49% |
29 |
14 |
13 |
93% |
3171.80 |
3325.96 |
3058.00 |
#SSNI |
Higher |
Sep |
8840 |
9289 |
8646 |
8870 |
35% |
30 |
10 |
10 |
100% |
9289 |
9752 |
8870 |
#SP |
Higher |
Sep |
1406.60 |
1474.50 |
1396.55 |
1440.65 |
57% |
45 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
1474.50 |
1562.97 |
1440.65 |
SPZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
1398.00 |
1467.50 |
1390.00 |
1434.20 |
57% |
30 |
13 |
13 |
100% |
1467.50 |
1540.31 |
1434.20 |
SPH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
1391.10 |
1458.50 |
1384.10 |
1427.40 |
58% |
30 |
14 |
14 |
100% |
1458.50 |
1528.51 |
1427.40 |
NDZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
2763.50 |
2872.00 |
2738.00 |
2792.00 |
40% |
16 |
10 |
10 |
100% |
2872.00 |
3148.40 |
2792.00 |
NDH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
2758.00 |
2860.00 |
2755.00 |
2785.30 |
29% |
16 |
10 |
10 |
100% |
2860.00 |
3125.72 |
2785.30 |
TYH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
132~280 |
133~000 |
130~105 |
132~285 |
96% |
30 |
24 |
22 |
92% |
133~000 |
136~116 |
132~285 |
EDZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
99.645 |
99.690 |
99.620 |
99.680 |
86% |
30 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
99.690 |
100.087 |
99.680 |
EDH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
99.645 |
99.690 |
99.600 |
99.675 |
83% |
30 |
21 |
20 |
95% |
99.690 |
100.167 |
99.675 |
EDM3 |
Higher |
Sep |
99.635 |
99.675 |
99.575 |
99.660 |
85% |
30 |
23 |
21 |
91% |
99.675 |
100.287 |
99.660 |
SFZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
105.01 |
108.38 |
104.30 |
106.49 |
54% |
37 |
25 |
21 |
84% |
108.38 |
112.71 |
106.49 |
SFH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
105.26 |
108.18 |
105.10 |
106.67 |
51% |
37 |
25 |
22 |
88% |
108.18 |
112.55 |
106.67 |
EUZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
125.96 |
131.83 |
125.20 |
128.62 |
52% |
13 |
8 |
7 |
88% |
131.83 |
136.42 |
128.62 |
EUH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
126.12 |
131.88 |
125.88 |
128.75 |
48% |
13 |
7 |
7 |
100% |
131.88 |
136.37 |
128.75 |
JYZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
127.78 |
129.77 |
126.31 |
128.32 |
58% |
35 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
129.77 |
137.56 |
128.32 |
JYH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
127.93 |
129.50 |
126.46 |
128.47 |
66% |
36 |
20 |
17 |
85% |
129.50 |
137.33 |
128.47 |
ADZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
102.28 |
105.37 |
100.77 |
103.03 |
49% |
25 |
13 |
12 |
92% |
105.37 |
109.71 |
103.03 |
ADH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
101.52 |
104.70 |
100.10 |
102.29 |
48% |
23 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
104.70 |
109.19 |
102.29 |
DXZ2 |
Lower |
Sep |
81.530 |
81.950 |
78.725 |
80.025 |
40% |
26 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
78.725 |
75.752 |
80.025 |
DXH3 |
Lower |
Sep |
81.920 |
82.035 |
78.945 |
80.225 |
41% |
26 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
78.945 |
76.159 |
80.225 |
PAZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
629.40 |
705.80 |
617.45 |
640.80 |
26% |
35 |
17 |
15 |
88% |
705.80 |
793.18 |
640.80 |
PAH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
630.90 |
704.15 |
619.35 |
642.05 |
27% |
32 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
704.15 |
796.94 |
642.05 |
HOJ3 |
Lower |
Sep |
309.98 |
318.00 |
294.20 |
304.76 |
44% |
32 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
294.20 |
275.03 |
304.76 |
NGF3 |
Higher |
Sep |
3.357 |
3.777 |
3.200 |
3.767 |
98% |
22 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
3.777 |
4.249 |
3.767 |
SF3 |
Lower |
Sep |
1751.00 |
1781.50 |
1558.75 |
1602.75 |
20% |
45 |
27 |
23 |
85% |
1558.75 |
1450.19 |
1602.75 |
SH3 |
Lower |
Sep |
1684.25 |
1728.25 |
1508.50 |
1564.25 |
25% |
45 |
25 |
22 |
88% |
1508.50 |
1406.25 |
1564.25 |
SK3 |
Lower |
Sep |
1590.00 |
1639.50 |
1464.50 |
1521.50 |
33% |
45 |
25 |
22 |
88% |
1464.50 |
1368.13 |
1521.50 |
BOZ2 |
Lower |
Sep |
57.08 |
58.60 |
51.69 |
52.66 |
14% |
45 |
27 |
24 |
89% |
51.69 |
47.86 |
52.66 |
BOF3 |
Lower |
Sep |
57.32 |
58.69 |
52.03 |
53.00 |
15% |
45 |
26 |
22 |
85% |
52.03 |
48.03 |
53.00 |
BOH3 |
Lower |
Sep |
57.48 |
58.89 |
52.44 |
53.42 |
15% |
45 |
26 |
23 |
88% |
52.44 |
48.69 |
53.42 |
BOK3 |
Lower |
Sep |
57.24 |
58.54 |
52.70 |
53.70 |
17% |
45 |
27 |
23 |
85% |
52.70 |
48.68 |
53.70 |
BON3 |
Lower |
Sep |
57.02 |
58.42 |
52.87 |
53.88 |
18% |
45 |
26 |
22 |
85% |
52.87 |
49.08 |
53.88 |
SMZ2 |
Lower |
Sep |
533.40 |
541.80 |
470.90 |
486.90 |
23% |
45 |
26 |
23 |
88% |
470.90 |
441.74 |
486.90 |
SMF3 |
Lower |
Sep |
526.80 |
535.80 |
466.90 |
483.90 |
25% |
45 |
27 |
23 |
85% |
466.90 |
437.95 |
483.90 |
SMH3 |
Lower |
Sep |
500.70 |
518.00 |
447.30 |
468.40 |
30% |
45 |
27 |
23 |
85% |
447.30 |
419.11 |
468.40 |
SMK3 |
Lower |
Sep |
460.40 |
480.00 |
425.00 |
447.00 |
40% |
45 |
26 |
22 |
85% |
425.00 |
396.41 |
447.00 |
SMN3 |
Lower |
Sep |
446.90 |
465.70 |
416.60 |
435.40 |
38% |
44 |
25 |
23 |
92% |
416.60 |
388.17 |
435.40 |
KWZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
906.00 |
950.75 |
872.50 |
927.50 |
70% |
36 |
21 |
19 |
90% |
950.75 |
1015.90 |
927.50 |
KWH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
918.25 |
962.00 |
885.00 |
939.50 |
71% |
36 |
21 |
19 |
90% |
962.00 |
1025.05 |
939.50 |
KWK3 |
Higher |
Sep |
911.00 |
956.50 |
888.00 |
935.75 |
70% |
36 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
956.50 |
1013.97 |
935.75 |
KWN3 |
Higher |
Sep |
880.25 |
915.25 |
851.00 |
894.50 |
68% |
36 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
915.25 |
973.45 |
894.50 |
OZ2 |
Lower |
Sep |
397.50 |
414.00 |
361.50 |
370.50 |
17% |
38 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
361.50 |
331.59 |
370.50 |
RRX2 |
Higher |
Sep |
15.28 |
15.49 |
14.54 |
15.48 |
98% |
26 |
12 |
11 |
92% |
15.49 |
17.02 |
15.48 |
RRF3 |
Higher |
Sep |
15.60 |
15.80 |
14.85 |
15.79 |
98% |
26 |
12 |
11 |
92% |
15.80 |
17.36 |
15.79 |
LCZ2 |
Lower |
Sep |
128.650 |
131.325 |
123.950 |
124.700 |
10% |
45 |
19 |
18 |
95% |
123.950 |
118.205 |
124.700 |
FCF3 |
Lower |
Sep |
149.735 |
151.550 |
147.000 |
147.385 |
8% |
35 |
15 |
15 |
100% |
147.000 |
139.297 |
147.385 |
LEZ2 |
Higher |
Sep |
72.400 |
75.885 |
70.050 |
73.750 |
63% |
43 |
27 |
24 |
89% |
75.885 |
81.816 |
73.750 |
LEG3 |
Lower |
Sep |
80.335 |
81.700 |
76.885 |
80.250 |
70% |
43 |
15 |
13 |
87% |
76.885 |
70.631 |
80.250 |
LEJ3 |
Lower |
Sep |
88.385 |
88.600 |
84.030 |
87.550 |
77% |
42 |
17 |
15 |
88% |
84.030 |
78.797 |
87.550 |
LEM3 |
Lower |
Sep |
100.150 |
100.400 |
96.050 |
98.230 |
50% |
43 |
15 |
13 |
87% |
96.050 |
90.886 |
98.230 |
KCH3 |
Higher |
Sep |
168.45 |
187.25 |
160.40 |
177.50 |
64% |
39 |
14 |
12 |
86% |
187.25 |
211.80 |
177.50 |
SBN3 |
Higher |
Sep |
20.48 |
21.11 |
19.75 |
20.49 |
54% |
45 |
24 |
22 |
92% |
21.11 |
23.99 |
20.49 |
CCH3 |
Lower |
Sep |
2617 |
2710 |
2452 |
2530 |
30% |
45 |
23 |
20 |
87% |
2452 |
2232 |
2530 |
CCK3 |
Lower |
Sep |
2620 |
2714 |
2468 |
2538 |
28% |
45 |
23 |
20 |
87% |
2468 |
2251 |
2538 |
CTH3 |
Lower |
Sep |
77.98 |
78.00 |
71.50 |
71.68 |
3% |
45 |
27 |
24 |
89% |
71.50 |
66.66 |
71.68 |
CTN3 |
Lower |
Sep |
79.33 |
79.85 |
73.64 |
73.91 |
4% |
45 |
25 |
21 |
84% |
73.64 |
68.63 |
73.91 |
- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 468.21(Prev Close), the market ended September at 475.75(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
466.37(Month Low) to 478.48(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, the #UTIL went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 478.48(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 503.76(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 646.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 663.80(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
641.90(Month Low) to 676.65(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #OEX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 676.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 715.32(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2772.20(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2799.20(Month Close),
that being 41%(Pct Range) off of
2744.30(Month Low) to 2878.40(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, the #NDX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 2878.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 3114.78(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 971.55(Prev Close), the market ended September at 989.00(Month Close),
that being 37%(Pct Range) off of
965.35(Month Low) to 1030.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, the #MID went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 1030.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 1087.80(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2973.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 3058.00(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
2949.40(Month Low) to 3171.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, the #VLE went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 3171.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 3325.96(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 8840(Prev Close), the market ended September at 8870(Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
8646(Month Low) to 9289(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #SSNI went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 9289(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 9752(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1406.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1440.65(Month Close),
that being 57%(Pct Range) off of
1396.55(Month Low) to 1474.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, the #SP went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1474.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 1562.97(Average Objective).
- December S & P 500(CME)
- The SPZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1398.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1434.20(Month Close),
that being 57%(Pct Range) off of
1390.00(Month Low) to 1467.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, SPZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1467.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 1540.31(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500(CME)
- The SPH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1391.10(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1427.40(Month Close),
that being 58%(Pct Range) off of
1384.10(Month Low) to 1458.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, SPH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1458.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 1528.51(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2763.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2792.00(Month Close),
that being 40%(Pct Range) off of
2738.00(Month Low) to 2872.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, NDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should exceed 2872.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 3148.40(Average Objective).
- March NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2758.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2785.30(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
2755.00(Month Low) to 2860.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, NDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDH should exceed 2860.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 3125.72(Average Objective).
- March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 132~280(Prev Close), the market ended September at 132~285(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
130~105(Month Low) to 133~000(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, TYH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should exceed 133~000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 136~116(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 99.645(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.680(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
99.620(Month Low) to 99.690(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, EDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 99.690(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 100.087(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 99.645(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.675(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
99.600(Month Low) to 99.690(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, EDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.690(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 100.167(Average Objective).
- June Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDM3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 99.635(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.660(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
99.575(Month Low) to 99.675(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, EDM went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 99.675(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 100.287(Average Objective).
- December Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 105.01(Prev Close), the market ended September at 106.49(Month Close),
that being 54%(Pct Range) off of
104.30(Month Low) to 108.38(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SFZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFZ should exceed 108.38(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 112.71(Average Objective).
- March Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 105.26(Prev Close), the market ended September at 106.67(Month Close),
that being 51%(Pct Range) off of
105.10(Month Low) to 108.18(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SFH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should exceed 108.18(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 112.55(Average Objective).
- December EuroFX(CME)
- The EUZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 125.96(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.62(Month Close),
that being 52%(Pct Range) off of
125.20(Month Low) to 131.83(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December EuroFX(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, EUZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUZ should exceed 131.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 136.42(Average Objective).
- March EuroFX(CME)
- The EUH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 126.12(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.75(Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
125.88(Month Low) to 131.88(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March EuroFX(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, EUH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUH should exceed 131.88(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 136.37(Average Objective).
- December Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 127.78(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.32(Month Close),
that being 58%(Pct Range) off of
126.31(Month Low) to 129.77(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, JYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should exceed 129.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 137.56(Average Objective).
- March Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 127.93(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.47(Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
126.46(Month Low) to 129.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, JYH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should exceed 129.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 137.33(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 102.28(Prev Close), the market ended September at 103.03(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
100.77(Month Low) to 105.37(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, ADZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 105.37(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 109.71(Average Objective).
- March Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 101.52(Prev Close), the market ended September at 102.29(Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
100.10(Month Low) to 104.70(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, ADH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADH should exceed 104.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 109.19(Average Objective).
- December US Dollar Index(ICE)
- The DXZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 81.530(Prev Close), the market ended September at 80.025(Month Close),
that being 40%(Pct Range) off of
78.725(Month Low) to 81.950(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, DXZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 78.725(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 75.752(Average Objective).
- March US Dollar Index(ICE)
- The DXH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 81.920(Prev Close), the market ended September at 80.225(Month Close),
that being 41%(Pct Range) off of
78.945(Month Low) to 82.035(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, DXH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should penetrate 78.945(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 76.159(Average Objective).
- December Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 629.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 640.80(Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
617.45(Month Low) to 705.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, PAZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAZ should exceed 705.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 793.18(Average Objective).
- March Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 630.90(Prev Close), the market ended September at 642.05(Month Close),
that being 27%(Pct Range) off of
619.35(Month Low) to 704.15(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, PAH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 704.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 796.94(Average Objective).
- April Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOJ3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 309.98(Prev Close), the market ended September at 304.76(Month Close),
that being 44%(Pct Range) off of
294.20(Month Low) to 318.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
lower in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HOJ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should penetrate 294.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 275.03(Average Objective).
- January Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGF3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 3.357(Prev Close), the market ended September at 3.767(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
3.200(Month Low) to 3.777(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, NGF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGF should exceed 3.777(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 4.249(Average Objective).
- January Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1751.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1602.75(Month Close),
that being 20%(Pct Range) off of
1558.75(Month Low) to 1781.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, SF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SF should penetrate 1558.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 1450.19(Average Objective).
- March Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1684.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1564.25(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
1508.50(Month Low) to 1728.25(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should penetrate 1508.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 1406.25(Average Objective).
- May Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1590.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1521.50(Month Close),
that being 33%(Pct Range) off of
1464.50(Month Low) to 1639.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should penetrate 1464.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 1368.13(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 57.08(Prev Close), the market ended September at 52.66(Month Close),
that being 14%(Pct Range) off of
51.69(Month Low) to 58.60(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, BOZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should penetrate 51.69(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 47.86(Average Objective).
- January Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 57.32(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.00(Month Close),
that being 15%(Pct Range) off of
52.03(Month Low) to 58.69(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, BOF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOF should penetrate 52.03(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 48.03(Average Objective).
- March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 57.48(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.42(Month Close),
that being 15%(Pct Range) off of
52.44(Month Low) to 58.89(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, BOH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should penetrate 52.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 48.69(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 57.24(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.70(Month Close),
that being 17%(Pct Range) off of
52.70(Month Low) to 58.54(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, BOK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 52.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 48.68(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BON3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 57.02(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.88(Month Close),
that being 18%(Pct Range) off of
52.87(Month Low) to 58.42(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, BON went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should penetrate 52.87(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 49.08(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 533.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 486.90(Month Close),
that being 23%(Pct Range) off of
470.90(Month Low) to 541.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, SMZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should penetrate 470.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 441.74(Average Objective).
- January Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 526.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at 483.90(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
466.90(Month Low) to 535.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, SMF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMF should penetrate 466.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 437.95(Average Objective).
- March Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 500.70(Prev Close), the market ended September at 468.40(Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
447.30(Month Low) to 518.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, SMH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMH should penetrate 447.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 419.11(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 460.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 447.00(Month Close),
that being 40%(Pct Range) off of
425.00(Month Low) to 480.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, SMK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMK should penetrate 425.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 396.41(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMN3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 446.90(Prev Close), the market ended September at 435.40(Month Close),
that being 38%(Pct Range) off of
416.60(Month Low) to 465.70(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SMN went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMN should penetrate 416.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 388.17(Average Objective).
- December Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 906.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 927.50(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
872.50(Month Low) to 950.75(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, KWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should exceed 950.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1015.90(Average Objective).
- March Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 918.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 939.50(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
885.00(Month Low) to 962.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, KWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 962.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1025.05(Average Objective).
- May Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 911.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 935.75(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
888.00(Month Low) to 956.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, KWK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should exceed 956.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 1013.97(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 880.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 894.50(Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
851.00(Month Low) to 915.25(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, KWN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should exceed 915.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 973.45(Average Objective).
- December Oats(CBOT)
- The OZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 397.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 370.50(Month Close),
that being 17%(Pct Range) off of
361.50(Month Low) to 414.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, OZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OZ should penetrate 361.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 331.59(Average Objective).
- November Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRX2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 15.28(Prev Close), the market ended September at 15.48(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
14.54(Month Low) to 15.49(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, RRX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRX should exceed 15.49(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 17.02(Average Objective).
- January Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRF3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 15.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 15.79(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
14.85(Month Low) to 15.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, RRF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRF should exceed 15.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 17.36(Average Objective).
- December Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 128.650(Prev Close), the market ended September at 124.700(Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
123.950(Month Low) to 131.325(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, LCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should penetrate 123.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 118.205(Average Objective).
- January Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 149.735(Prev Close), the market ended September at 147.385(Month Close),
that being 8%(Pct Range) off of
147.000(Month Low) to 151.550(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, FCF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should penetrate 147.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 139.297(Average Objective).
- December Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 72.400(Prev Close), the market ended September at 73.750(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
70.050(Month Low) to 75.885(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, LEZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should exceed 75.885(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 81.816(Average Objective).
- February Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEG3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 80.335(Prev Close), the market ended September at 80.250(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
76.885(Month Low) to 81.700(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LEG went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEG should penetrate 76.885(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 70.631(Average Objective).
- April Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEJ3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 88.385(Prev Close), the market ended September at 87.550(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
84.030(Month Low) to 88.600(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, LEJ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEJ should penetrate 84.030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 78.797(Average Objective).
- June Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEM3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 100.150(Prev Close), the market ended September at 98.230(Month Close),
that being 50%(Pct Range) off of
96.050(Month Low) to 100.400(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LEM went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEM should penetrate 96.050(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 90.886(Average Objective).
- March Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 168.45(Prev Close), the market ended September at 177.50(Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
160.40(Month Low) to 187.25(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, KCH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should exceed 187.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 211.80(Average Objective).
- July Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBN3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 20.48(Prev Close), the market ended September at 20.49(Month Close),
that being 54%(Pct Range) off of
19.75(Month Low) to 21.11(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SBN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 21.11(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 23.99(Average Objective).
- March Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2617(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2530(Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
2452(Month Low) to 2710(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cocoa(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, CCH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCH should penetrate 2452(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 2232(Average Objective).
- May Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2620(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2538(Month Close),
that being 28%(Pct Range) off of
2468(Month Low) to 2714(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cocoa(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, CCK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCK should penetrate 2468(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 2251(Average Objective).
- March Cotton(ICE)
- The CTH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 77.98(Prev Close), the market ended September at 71.68(Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
71.50(Month Low) to 78.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, CTH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should penetrate 71.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 66.66(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(ICE)
- The CTN3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 79.33(Prev Close), the market ended September at 73.91(Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
73.64(Month Low) to 79.85(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CTN went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 73.64(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 68.63(Average Objective).
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