|
MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary |
|
ScenarioSM Summary Jan 31, 2012 |
Historical Data |
Scenario Data |
Current Market Data |
Mkt |
Cond |
Month |
Prev Close |
Month High |
Month Low |
Month Close |
Pct Range |
Total Years |
Cond Years |
Action Years |
Pct |
Scenario Objective |
Average Objective |
Last Price |
#DJ |
Higher |
Jan |
12218.00 |
12842.00 |
12221.00 |
12633.00 |
66% |
45 |
28 |
26 |
93% |
12842.00 |
13518.54 |
12633.00 |
#TRAN |
Higher |
Jan |
5019.70 |
5359.00 |
5003.60 |
5319.10 |
89% |
41 |
25 |
23 |
92% |
5359.00 |
5767.16 |
5319.10 |
#MID |
Higher |
Jan |
879.15 |
949.60 |
872.75 |
936.50 |
83% |
30 |
18 |
17 |
94% |
949.60 |
997.72 |
936.50 |
#VLE |
Higher |
Jan |
2695.60 |
2937.10 |
2694.90 |
2893.20 |
82% |
28 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
2937.10 |
3096.15 |
2893.20 |
#SSNI |
Higher |
Jan |
8455 |
8912 |
8349 |
8803 |
81% |
29 |
17 |
15 |
88% |
8912 |
9493 |
8803 |
#SP |
Higher |
Jan |
1257.60 |
1333.45 |
1258.85 |
1312.40 |
72% |
45 |
26 |
24 |
92% |
1333.45 |
1403.88 |
1312.40 |
SPM2 |
Higher |
Jan |
1247.20 |
1323.60 |
1256.60 |
1302.50 |
69% |
29 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
1323.60 |
1393.21 |
1302.50 |
CDM2 |
Higher |
Jan |
98.04 |
100.00 |
96.64 |
99.42 |
83% |
34 |
11 |
10 |
91% |
100.00 |
101.90 |
99.42 |
PLJ2 |
Higher |
Jan |
1404.9 |
1633.0 |
1391.3 |
1588.1 |
81% |
43 |
26 |
24 |
92% |
1633.0 |
1789.8 |
1588.1 |
PAM2 |
Higher |
Jan |
2.24 |
654.80 |
1.69 |
32.69 |
5% |
32 |
28 |
24 |
86% |
654.80 |
660.22 |
32.69 |
HGK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
344.75 |
394.05 |
339.70 |
380.10 |
74% |
45 |
26 |
24 |
92% |
394.05 |
439.78 |
380.10 |
HGN2 |
Higher |
Jan |
345.50 |
396.00 |
340.60 |
381.15 |
73% |
45 |
26 |
24 |
92% |
396.00 |
439.97 |
381.15 |
CLM2 |
Higher |
Jan |
99.48 |
104.32 |
98.56 |
99.64 |
19% |
28 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
104.32 |
115.22 |
99.64 |
HOK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
286.33 |
308.46 |
290.14 |
300.74 |
58% |
32 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
308.46 |
344.38 |
300.74 |
RBK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
276.26 |
304.88 |
279.58 |
298.79 |
76% |
26 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
304.88 |
340.15 |
298.79 |
RBM2 |
Higher |
Jan |
274.10 |
301.27 |
278.01 |
295.62 |
76% |
26 |
18 |
16 |
89% |
301.27 |
338.12 |
295.62 |
CK2 |
Lower |
Jan |
654.75 |
672.50 |
599.00 |
645.25 |
63% |
45 |
24 |
23 |
96% |
599.00 |
565.67 |
645.25 |
CN2 |
Lower |
Jan |
661.25 |
679.00 |
604.00 |
648.75 |
60% |
45 |
24 |
23 |
96% |
604.00 |
572.00 |
648.75 |
CU2 |
Lower |
Jan |
613.25 |
624.25 |
568.75 |
593.50 |
45% |
45 |
23 |
23 |
100% |
568.75 |
543.19 |
593.50 |
WK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
671.25 |
689.25 |
612.50 |
680.25 |
88% |
45 |
19 |
16 |
84% |
689.25 |
738.23 |
680.25 |
WN2 |
Higher |
Jan |
686.25 |
702.75 |
628.50 |
691.00 |
84% |
45 |
20 |
17 |
85% |
702.75 |
758.22 |
691.00 |
KWK2 |
Lower |
Jan |
725.00 |
739.50 |
656.00 |
723.75 |
81% |
35 |
17 |
16 |
94% |
656.00 |
616.97 |
723.75 |
KWN2 |
Lower |
Jan |
732.00 |
747.00 |
668.25 |
731.50 |
80% |
35 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
668.25 |
626.05 |
731.50 |
OK2 |
Lower |
Jan |
313.25 |
318.00 |
281.50 |
292.75 |
31% |
37 |
22 |
20 |
91% |
281.50 |
253.78 |
292.75 |
ON2 |
Lower |
Jan |
318.50 |
320.00 |
284.25 |
297.00 |
36% |
37 |
23 |
20 |
87% |
284.25 |
259.30 |
297.00 |
RRK2 |
Lower |
Jan |
15.13 |
15.44 |
14.26 |
14.28 |
1% |
25 |
12 |
11 |
92% |
14.26 |
12.72 |
14.28 |
RRN2 |
Lower |
Jan |
15.37 |
15.60 |
14.54 |
14.54 |
0% |
22 |
12 |
11 |
92% |
14.54 |
13.04 |
14.54 |
FCJ2 |
Higher |
Jan |
150.180 |
157.700 |
150.550 |
157.635 |
99% |
39 |
25 |
21 |
84% |
157.700 |
166.350 |
157.635 |
FCK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
151.135 |
158.500 |
151.385 |
158.325 |
98% |
40 |
26 |
22 |
85% |
158.500 |
167.237 |
158.325 |
LEK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
94.835 |
96.980 |
93.400 |
96.850 |
96% |
10 |
6 |
6 |
100% |
96.980 |
99.964 |
96.850 |
KCK2 |
Lower |
Jan |
229.65 |
241.10 |
216.00 |
218.00 |
8% |
38 |
20 |
19 |
95% |
216.00 |
200.30 |
218.00 |
KCN2 |
Lower |
Jan |
232.20 |
243.60 |
219.00 |
220.90 |
8% |
38 |
18 |
17 |
94% |
219.00 |
203.15 |
220.90 |
SBN2 |
Higher |
Jan |
22.56 |
23.83 |
22.12 |
22.64 |
30% |
45 |
22 |
19 |
86% |
23.83 |
27.35 |
22.64 |
CCK2 |
Higher |
Jan |
2131 |
2499 |
2030 |
2324 |
63% |
45 |
16 |
16 |
100% |
2499 |
2730 |
2324 |
CCN2 |
Higher |
Jan |
2148 |
2519 |
2048 |
2350 |
64% |
45 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
2519 |
2741 |
2350 |
LBN2 |
Lower |
Jan |
286.8 |
290.7 |
260.2 |
271.0 |
35% |
38 |
16 |
15 |
94% |
260.2 |
242.8 |
271.0 |
- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 12218.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 12633.00(Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
12221.00(Month Low) to 12842.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, the #DJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 12842.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 13518.54(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 5019.70(Prev Close), the market ended January at 5319.10(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
5003.60(Month Low) to 5359.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #TRAN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 5359.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 5767.16(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 879.15(Prev Close), the market ended January at 936.50(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
872.75(Month Low) to 949.60(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, the #MID went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 949.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 997.72(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 2695.60(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2893.20(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
2694.90(Month Low) to 2937.10(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, the #VLE went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2937.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 3096.15(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 8455(Prev Close), the market ended January at 8803(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
8349(Month Low) to 8912(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, the #SSNI went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 8912(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 9493(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1257.60(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1312.40(Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
1258.85(Month Low) to 1333.45(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, the #SP went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1333.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 1403.88(Average Objective).
- June S & P 500(CME)
- The SPM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1247.20(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1302.50(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
1256.60(Month Low) to 1323.60(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SPM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPM should exceed 1323.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 1393.21(Average Objective).
- June Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 98.04(Prev Close), the market ended January at 99.42(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
96.64(Month Low) to 100.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, CDM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDM should exceed 100.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 101.90(Average Objective).
- April Platinum(NYMEX)
- The PLJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1404.9(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1588.1(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
1391.3(Month Low) to 1633.0(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, PLJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1633.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 1789.8(Average Objective).
- June Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 2.24(Prev Close), the market ended January at 32.69(Month Close),
that being 5%(Pct Range) off of
1.69(Month Low) to 654.80(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, PAM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAM should exceed 654.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 660.22(Average Objective).
- May Copper(CMX)
- The HGK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 344.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 380.10(Month Close),
that being 74%(Pct Range) off of
339.70(Month Low) to 394.05(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, HGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 394.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 439.78(Average Objective).
- July Copper(CMX)
- The HGN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 345.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 381.15(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
340.60(Month Low) to 396.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, HGN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 396.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 439.97(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 99.48(Prev Close), the market ended January at 99.64(Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
98.56(Month Low) to 104.32(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, CLM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 104.32(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 115.22(Average Objective).
- May Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 286.33(Prev Close), the market ended January at 300.74(Month Close),
that being 58%(Pct Range) off of
290.14(Month Low) to 308.46(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HOK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 308.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 344.38(Average Objective).
- May Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 276.26(Prev Close), the market ended January at 298.79(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
279.58(Month Low) to 304.88(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, RBK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 304.88(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 340.15(Average Objective).
- June Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 274.10(Prev Close), the market ended January at 295.62(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
278.01(Month Low) to 301.27(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, RBM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 301.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 338.12(Average Objective).
- May Corn(CBOT)
- The CK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 654.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 645.25(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
599.00(Month Low) to 672.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should penetrate 599.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 565.67(Average Objective).
- July Corn(CBOT)
- The CN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 661.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 648.75(Month Close),
that being 60%(Pct Range) off of
604.00(Month Low) to 679.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 604.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 572.00(Average Objective).
- September Corn(CBOT)
- The CU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 613.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 593.50(Month Close),
that being 45%(Pct Range) off of
568.75(Month Low) to 624.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, CU went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should penetrate 568.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 543.19(Average Objective).
- May Wheat(CBOT)
- The WK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 671.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 680.25(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
612.50(Month Low) to 689.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, WK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WK should exceed 689.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 738.23(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(CBOT)
- The WN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 686.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 691.00(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
628.50(Month Low) to 702.75(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, WN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should exceed 702.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 758.22(Average Objective).
- May Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 725.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 723.75(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
656.00(Month Low) to 739.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, KWK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should penetrate 656.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 616.97(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 732.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 731.50(Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
668.25(Month Low) to 747.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, KWN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 668.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 626.05(Average Objective).
- May Oats(CBOT)
- The OK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 313.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 292.75(Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
281.50(Month Low) to 318.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, OK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OK should penetrate 281.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 253.78(Average Objective).
- July Oats(CBOT)
- The ON2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 318.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 297.00(Month Close),
that being 36%(Pct Range) off of
284.25(Month Low) to 320.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, ON went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ON should penetrate 284.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 259.30(Average Objective).
- May Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 15.13(Prev Close), the market ended January at 14.28(Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
14.26(Month Low) to 15.44(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, RRK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should penetrate 14.26(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 12.72(Average Objective).
- July Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 15.37(Prev Close), the market ended January at 14.54(Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
14.54(Month Low) to 15.60(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, RRN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRN should penetrate 14.54(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 13.04(Average Objective).
- April Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 150.180(Prev Close), the market ended January at 157.635(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
150.550(Month Low) to 157.700(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, FCJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 157.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 166.350(Average Objective).
- May Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 151.135(Prev Close), the market ended January at 158.325(Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
151.385(Month Low) to 158.500(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, FCK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 158.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 167.237(Average Objective).
- May Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 94.835(Prev Close), the market ended January at 96.850(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
93.400(Month Low) to 96.980(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 10 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 6(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 6, LEK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEK should exceed 96.980(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 99.964(Average Objective).
- May Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 229.65(Prev Close), the market ended January at 218.00(Month Close),
that being 8%(Pct Range) off of
216.00(Month Low) to 241.10(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, KCK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 216.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 200.30(Average Objective).
- July Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 232.20(Prev Close), the market ended January at 220.90(Month Close),
that being 8%(Pct Range) off of
219.00(Month Low) to 243.60(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, KCN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCN should penetrate 219.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 203.15(Average Objective).
- July Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 22.56(Prev Close), the market ended January at 22.64(Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
22.12(Month Low) to 23.83(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SBN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 23.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 27.35(Average Objective).
- May Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 2131(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2324(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
2030(Month Low) to 2499(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cocoa(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, CCK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCK should exceed 2499(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 2730(Average Objective).
- July Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 2148(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2350(Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
2048(Month Low) to 2519(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, CCN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should exceed 2519(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 2741(Average Objective).
- July Lumber(CME)
- The LBN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 286.8(Prev Close), the market ended January at 271.0(Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
260.2(Month Low) to 290.7(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, LBN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBN should penetrate 260.2(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 242.8(Average Objective).
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