Moore Research Center, Inc.

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Home Editors Comments July 2018 Editors Comments

July 2018 Editors Comments

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Special Historical Reports


MRCI publishes a new round of volumes in its series of special reports each year.

Hottest off the press:

2018 Historical Softs : this 154-page volume contains seasonal analysis for cocoa, coffee, cotton, sugar, orange juice, and rice; with 84 seasonal and spread strategies for year-round trading.

Recently published:

2018 Historical Grains: this 174-page volume contains seasonal analysis for corn, oats, and wheat (W, KW, MW); with seasonal patterns and weekly charts for each delivery month, several intra-market, and inter-market spreads; some cash studies and charts; and 122 seasonal and spread strategies for year-round ideas.

2018 Historical Lumber: this 60-page volume presents seasonal analysis of lumber futures; with seasonal patterns for each delivery month and some spreads, volatility studies, historical daily charts; and 22 seasonal and spread strategies suggest especially reliable seasonal movements throughout the year.

2018 Historical Live Cattle/Feeder Cattle:
this 148-page volume presents seasonal analysis of the cattle complex; with seasonal patterns for each delivery month, spreads against each, live/feeder cattle spreads; includes 16 years of historical daily charts; 66 seasonal and spread strategies for year-round trading ideas.

2018 Historical Lean Hogs & Cattle/Hog Spreads:
this 126-page volume contains seasonal analysis for lean hogs and for cattle/hog spreads; includes 16 years of historical daily charts for both; with 76 seasonal and spread strategies.


Next up:

2018 Historical Energy


CRB & Physical Commodities


The last reaction/corrective low in the CRB Index came April 4 at
190.42.  The Index then broke out above double-top resistance near
197 and charged higher to close the month at 201.98.  But it was not
done, for it went even higher in May, up to 206.95 - breaking
out and closing for 5 weeks above the 200-week moving average (wma).  The
decline during the last few days of May - driven by an abrupt
10% ($7/bbl) drop in crude oil - simply returned the CRB to retest
from above its 200-wma, now near 200.  It then closed the month of
May at 202.84 - still higher than April

Will it continue to hold - and then resume its trend higher?   Because
energies make up such a large proportion of the Index, much will depend
on how they behave.  What about the grains & soybean complex?  Winter
wheat harvest is ready to begin with questions about how much the
crop was damaged.  Corn, soybeans, and spring wheat are subject to
weather for the next several weeks.  Cotton has been on a tear,
trading from 84 up to 96 in just three weeks.

What about the US dollar?  Is the rally about over?  How will it affect
gold, silver, copper?  Will the economy continue to perform well?  Does
the CRB suggest inflation is rearing its head?

Maybe we better be ready to ...


Trade 'em,


Jerry Toepke

Last Updated on Friday, 01 June 2018 08:54  
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