- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 4766.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 4515.50(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
4222.75(Month Low) to 4818.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
lower in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, the #SP went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should penetrate 4222.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 3954.81(Average Objective).
- March EuroFX(CME)
- The EUH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 114.03(Prev Close), the market ended January at 112.54(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
111.31(Month Low) to 114.96(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March EuroFX(CME) also closed
lower in January than December in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, EUH went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUH should penetrate 111.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 108.48(Average Objective).
- April Gold(CMX)
- The GCJ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1831.0(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1796.4(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
1780.6(Month Low) to 1856.7(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed
lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, GCJ went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should penetrate 1780.6(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1697.0(Average Objective).
- April Platinum(NYMEX)
- The PLJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 966.2(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1020.8(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
919.5(Month Low) to 1064.6(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, PLJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1064.6(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 1151.6(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 73.94(Prev Close), the market ended January at 85.11(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
73.19(Month Low) to 86.03(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, CLK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 86.03(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 96.14(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 73.37(Prev Close), the market ended January at 83.85(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
72.68(Month Low) to 84.79(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CLM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 84.79(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 94.11(Average Objective).
- May RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 232.41(Prev Close), the market ended January at 264.22(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
231.12(Month Low) to 266.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, RBK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 266.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 300.78(Average Objective).
- June RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
- The RBM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 230.67(Prev Close), the market ended January at 260.86(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
229.56(Month Low) to 263.14(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, RBM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 263.14(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 297.81(Average Objective).
- May Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 3.525(Prev Close), the market ended January at 4.660(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
3.499(Month Low) to 4.792(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, NGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 4.792(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 5.502(Average Objective).
- June Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 3.579(Prev Close), the market ended January at 4.692(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
3.555(Month Low) to 4.823(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, NGM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should exceed 4.823(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 5.512(Average Objective).
- June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 76.39(Prev Close), the market ended January at 86.64(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
75.72(Month Low) to 87.65(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, CBM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBM should exceed 87.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 97.96(Average Objective).
- July Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
- The CBN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 75.84(Prev Close), the market ended January at 85.57(Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
75.20(Month Low) to 86.63(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, CBN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBN should exceed 86.63(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 96.61(Average Objective).
- May Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1349.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1495.25(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
1351.75(Month Low) to 1501.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should exceed 1501.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 1620.21(Average Objective).
- July Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1355.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1492.50(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
1357.50(Month Low) to 1498.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, SN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SN should exceed 1498.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 1616.08(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 56.57(Prev Close), the market ended January at 64.81(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
56.36(Month Low) to 66.67(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, BOK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should exceed 66.67(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 73.83(Average Objective).
- July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BON2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 56.51(Prev Close), the market ended January at 64.40(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
56.31(Month Low) to 66.15(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, BON went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 66.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 72.79(Average Objective).
- May Corn(CBOT)
- The CK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 595.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 624.50(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
586.75(Month Low) to 640.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, CK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should exceed 640.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 684.22(Average Objective).
- July Corn(CBOT)
- The CN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 593.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 619.25(Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
584.75(Month Low) to 634.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, CN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should exceed 634.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 678.10(Average Objective).
- May Wheat(CBOT)
- The WK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 774.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 766.25(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
738.75(Month Low) to 834.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, WK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WK should penetrate 738.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 680.96(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(CBOT)
- The WN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 764.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 760.50(Month Close),
that being 30%(Pct Range) off of
736.00(Month Low) to 817.75(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, WN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 736.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 684.23(Average Objective).
- May Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 802.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 784.25(Month Close),
that being 36%(Pct Range) off of
747.50(Month Low) to 851.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in January than December in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, KWK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should penetrate 747.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 700.91(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 797.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 784.00(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
751.25(Month Low) to 846.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, KWN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 751.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 702.51(Average Objective).
- July Oats(CBOT)
- The ON2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 605.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 593.25(Month Close),
that being 71%(Pct Range) off of
546.00(Month Low) to 613.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, ON went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ON should penetrate 546.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 498.23(Average Objective).
- April Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 86.730(Prev Close), the market ended January at 95.700(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
83.600(Month Low) to 97.500(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, HEJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEJ should exceed 97.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 105.882(Average Objective).
- May Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 91.500(Prev Close), the market ended January at 99.680(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
89.030(Month Low) to 101.480(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, HEK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEK should exceed 101.480(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 107.787(Average Objective).
- June Lean Hogs(CME)
- The HEM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 97.550(Prev Close), the market ended January at 105.530(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
95.300(Month Low) to 107.250(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, HEM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEM should exceed 107.250(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 115.534(Average Objective).
- May Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCK1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 130.15(Prev Close), the market ended January at 125.00(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
120.85(Month Low) to 133.75(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
lower in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, KCK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 120.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 110.87(Average Objective).
- July Cocoa(ICE)
- The CCN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 2563(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2600(Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
2478(Month Low) to 2742(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, CCN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should exceed 2742(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 3016(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(ICE)
- The CTN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 107.88(Prev Close), the market ended January at 119.66(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
108.36(Month Low) to 120.40(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed
higher in January than December in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CTN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should exceed 120.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 131.73(Average Objective).
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