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MRCI's Scenario Summary

MRCI Logo
MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Dec 31, 2021
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Dec 34484.00 36679.00 34007.00 36338.00 87% 45 32 29 91% 36679.00 38756.62 36338.00
#TRAN Higher Dec 15843.00 16597.00 15423.00 16478.00 90% 45 32 30 94% 16597.00 17943.71 16478.00
#OEX Higher Dec 2117.50 2219.60 2074.95 2194.60 83% 45 31 28 90% 2219.60 2346.28 2194.60
#NQ Higher Dec 16135.75 16360.75 12.00 16320.00 100% 36 19 18 95% 16360.75 17753.57 16320.00
#MZ Higher Dec 2708.65 2864.70 2645.60 2842.00 90% 1 1 1 100% 2864.70   2842.00
#VLE Higher Dec 9462.00 9996.00 9304.00 9921.00 89% 38 32 31 97% 9996.00 10648.27 9921.00
#SSNI Higher Dec 27822 29121 27589 28792 79% 45 32 29 91% Yes 30817 28792
#SP Higher Dec 4567.00 4809.00 4495.00 4766.25 86% 45 34 32 94% 4809.00 5061.54 4766.25
NQH2 Higher Dec 16155.50 16378.50 3.50 16320.75 100% 25 12 11 92% 16378.50 17708.81 16320.75
YMH2 Higher Dec 34377 36572 33855 36226 87% 24 18 16 89% 36572 38239 36226
JYH2 Lower Dec 88.54 88.94 86.73 86.98 11% 45 22 19 86% 86.73 83.71 86.98
GCJ2 Higher Dec 1778.3 1833.6 1755.4 1831.0 97% 45 22 20 91% 1833.6 1987.8 1831.0
SIH2 Higher Dec 2281.5 2348.0 2141.0 2335.2 94% 45 22 21 95% 2348.0 2685.9 2335.2
PLJ2 Higher Dec 929.2 989.9 886.1 966.2 77% 45 20 20 100% 989.9 1130.9 966.2
PAH2 Higher Dec 1705.50 2020.50 1531.00 1912.10 78% 44 27 24 89% 2020.50 2431.74 1912.10
HGH2 Higher Dec 428.00 449.85 411.95 446.35 91% 45 26 23 88% 449.85 488.10 446.35
CLJ2 Higher Dec 65.15 76.58 61.84 74.45 86% 38 19 19 100% 76.58 84.46 74.45
CLK2 Higher Dec 64.81 76.02 61.67 73.94 86% 38 18 18 100% 76.02 83.47 73.94
HOJ2 Higher Dec 202.42 235.12 196.65 228.48 83% 42 22 21 95% 235.12 255.31 228.48
HOK2 Higher Dec 201.27 233.44 195.27 226.87 83% 42 20 18 90% 233.44 254.57 226.87
RBJ2 Higher Dec 205.40 239.72 198.83 233.14 84% 36 21 21 100% 239.72 264.06 233.14
RBK2 Higher Dec 205.70 238.95 199.50 232.41 83% 36 20 20 100% 238.95 263.58 232.41
CBK2 Higher Dec 68.21 79.10 65.10 76.90 84% 31 15 14 93% 79.10 87.83 76.90
CBM2 Higher Dec 67.82 78.56 64.91 76.39 84% 31 15 14 93% 78.56 86.51 76.39
SH2 Higher Dec 1226.50 1384.50 1223.50 1339.25 72% 45 19 16 84% 1384.50 1468.07 1339.25
CH2 Higher Dec 567.50 617.75 567.25 593.25 51% 45 20 17 85% 617.75 660.19 593.25
CK2 Higher Dec 570.00 619.50 569.75 595.00 51% 45 22 19 86% 619.50 663.49 595.00
LCJ2 Higher Dec 141.080 145.850 139.930 144.830 83% 45 29 25 86% 145.850 152.925 144.830
LCM2 Higher Dec 136.250 139.750 135.400 139.200 87% 45 30 29 97% 139.750 144.546 139.200
FCH2 Higher Dec 166.500 170.830 159.900 169.950 92% 45 28 25 89% 170.830 178.378 169.950
FCJ2 Higher Dec 168.830 173.330 163.135 172.750 94% 45 29 26 90% 173.330 180.797 172.750
HEK2 Higher Dec 90.380 93.050 86.500 91.500 76% 20 8 7 88% 93.050 97.594 91.500
HEM2 Higher Dec 96.000 99.180 92.530 97.550 75% 45 22 20 91% 99.180 105.924 97.550
KCK2 Lower Dec 231.65 251.35 223.20 226.00 10% 45 21 18 86% 223.20 205.62 226.00
LBH2 Higher Dec 820.7 1172.2 839.0 1142.9 91% 45 28 24 86% 1172.2 1310.6 1142.9
LBK2 Higher Dec 809.0 1089.5 825.0 1056.5 88% 45 28 25 89% 1089.5 1190.4 1056.5
CTH2 Higher Dec 106.41 115.33 102.50 112.60 79% 45 31 27 87% 115.33 125.82 112.60
CTK2 Higher Dec 104.61 112.33 101.19 110.48 83% 45 31 27 87% 112.33 122.68 110.48


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 34484.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 36338.00(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 34007.00(Month Low) to 36679.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 36679.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 38756.62(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 15843.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 16478.00(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 15423.00(Month Low) to 16597.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 16597.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move toward 17943.71(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2117.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2194.60(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 2074.95(Month Low) to 2219.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #OEX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 2219.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 2346.28(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NQ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 16135.75(Prev Close), the market ended December at 16320.00(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 12.00(Month Low) to 16360.75(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, the #NQ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NQ should exceed 16360.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 17753.57(Average Objective).

S&P MidCap 400 Index
The #MZ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2708.65(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2842.00(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 2645.60(Month Low) to 2864.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 1 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S&P MidCap 400 Index also closed higher in December than November in 1(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 1, the #MZ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 1 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MZ should exceed 2864.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 9462.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 9921.00(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 9304.00(Month Low) to 9996.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 31 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 9996.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 31 years) a potential move toward 10648.27(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 27822(Prev Close), the market ended December at 28792(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 27589(Month Low) to 29121(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 29121(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 30817(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 4567.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4766.25(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 4495.00(Month Low) to 4809.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in December than November in 34(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 34, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 32 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 4809.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 32 years) a potential move toward 5061.54(Average Objective).

March NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME)
The NQH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 16155.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 16320.75(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 3.50(Month Low) to 16378.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NASDAQ 100 E-Mini(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, NQH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NQH should exceed 16378.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 17708.81(Average Objective).

March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT)
The YMH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 34377(Prev Close), the market ended December at 36226(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 33855(Month Low) to 36572(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March E-mini DJIA Index(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, YMH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YMH should exceed 36572(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 38239(Average Objective).

March Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 88.54(Prev Close), the market ended December at 86.98(Month Close), that being 11%(Pct Range) off of 86.73(Month Low) to 88.94(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 86.73(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 83.71(Average Objective).

April Gold(CMX)
The GCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1778.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1831.0(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 1755.4(Month Low) to 1833.6(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, GCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should exceed 1833.6(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 1987.8(Average Objective).

March Silver(CMX)
The SIH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2281.5(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2335.2(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 2141.0(Month Low) to 2348.0(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Silver(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SIH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SIH should exceed 2348.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 2685.9(Average Objective).

April Platinum(NYMEX)
The PLJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 929.2(Prev Close), the market ended December at 966.2(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 886.1(Month Low) to 989.9(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, PLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 989.9(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 1130.9(Average Objective).

March Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1705.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1912.10(Month Close), that being 78%(Pct Range) off of 1531.00(Month Low) to 2020.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, PAH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 2020.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 2431.74(Average Objective).

March Copper(CMX)
The HGH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 428.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 446.35(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 411.95(Month Low) to 449.85(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Copper(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, HGH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGH should exceed 449.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 488.10(Average Objective).

April Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 65.15(Prev Close), the market ended December at 74.45(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 61.84(Month Low) to 76.58(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 76.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 84.46(Average Objective).

May Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 64.81(Prev Close), the market ended December at 73.94(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 61.67(Month Low) to 76.02(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 76.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 83.47(Average Objective).

April NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
The HOJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 202.42(Prev Close), the market ended December at 228.48(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 196.65(Month Low) to 235.12(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 235.12(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 255.31(Average Objective).

May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM)
The HOK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 201.27(Prev Close), the market ended December at 226.87(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 195.27(Month Low) to 233.44(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 233.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 254.57(Average Objective).

April RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 205.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 233.14(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 198.83(Month Low) to 239.72(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 239.72(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 264.06(Average Objective).

May RBOB Gasoline(NYM)
The RBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 205.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 232.41(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 199.50(Month Low) to 238.95(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 238.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 263.58(Average Objective).

May Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 68.21(Prev Close), the market ended December at 76.90(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 65.10(Month Low) to 79.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBK should exceed 79.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 87.83(Average Objective).

June Brent Crude Oil(ICE)
The CBM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 67.82(Prev Close), the market ended December at 76.39(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 64.91(Month Low) to 78.56(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CBM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBM should exceed 78.56(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 86.51(Average Objective).

March Soybeans(CBOT)
The SH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1226.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1339.25(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 1223.50(Month Low) to 1384.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should exceed 1384.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 1468.07(Average Objective).

March Corn(CBOT)
The CH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 567.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 593.25(Month Close), that being 51%(Pct Range) off of 567.25(Month Low) to 617.75(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, CH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CH should exceed 617.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 660.19(Average Objective).

May Corn(CBOT)
The CK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 570.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 595.00(Month Close), that being 51%(Pct Range) off of 569.75(Month Low) to 619.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should exceed 619.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 663.49(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 141.080(Prev Close), the market ended December at 144.830(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 139.930(Month Low) to 145.850(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 145.850(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 152.925(Average Objective).

June Live Cattle(CME)
The LCM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 136.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 139.200(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 135.400(Month Low) to 139.750(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 30(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 30, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 139.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 144.546(Average Objective).

March Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 166.500(Prev Close), the market ended December at 169.950(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 159.900(Month Low) to 170.830(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 170.830(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 178.378(Average Objective).

April Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 168.830(Prev Close), the market ended December at 172.750(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 163.135(Month Low) to 173.330(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 173.330(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 180.797(Average Objective).

May Lean Hogs(CME)
The HEK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 90.380(Prev Close), the market ended December at 91.500(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 86.500(Month Low) to 93.050(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, HEK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEK should exceed 93.050(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 97.594(Average Objective).

June Lean Hogs(CME)
The HEM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 96.000(Prev Close), the market ended December at 97.550(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 92.530(Month Low) to 99.180(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, HEM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEM should exceed 99.180(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 105.924(Average Objective).

May Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 231.65(Prev Close), the market ended December at 226.00(Month Close), that being 10%(Pct Range) off of 223.20(Month Low) to 251.35(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 223.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 205.62(Average Objective).

March Lumber(CME)
The LBH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 820.7(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1142.9(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 839.0(Month Low) to 1172.2(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, LBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 1172.2(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 1310.6(Average Objective).

May Lumber(CME)
The LBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 809.0(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1056.5(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 825.0(Month Low) to 1089.5(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, LBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should exceed 1089.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 1190.4(Average Objective).

March Cotton(ICE)
The CTH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 106.41(Prev Close), the market ended December at 112.60(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 102.50(Month Low) to 115.33(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, CTH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should exceed 115.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 125.82(Average Objective).

May Cotton(ICE)
The CTK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 104.61(Prev Close), the market ended December at 110.48(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 101.19(Month Low) to 112.33(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, CTK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTK should exceed 112.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 122.68(Average Objective).
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