MRCI's Scenario Summary

MRCI Logo

MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Scenario^SM Summary Dec 31, 2016

Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt
Cond
Month Prev
Close Month
High Month
Low Month
Close Pct
Range Total
Years Cond
Years Action
Years
Pct Scenario
Objective Average
Objective Last
Price

#DJ Higher Dec 19124.00 19988.00 19139.00 19763.00 73% 45 31 28 90% 19988.00 21105.91 19763.00

#TRAN Higher Dec 8982.00 9490.00 8977.00 9044.00 13% 45 31 29 94% 9490.00 10273.49 9044.00

#OEX Higher Dec 968.85 1007.00 964.70 991.45 63% 40 27 24 89% 1007.00 1063.71 991.45

#NDX Higher Dec 4810.80 4992.10 4721.40 4863.60 53% 30 14 13 93% 4992.10 5393.14 4863.60

#RUT Higher Dec 1322.35 1392.70 1308.85 1357.15 58% 37 29 28 97% 1392.70 1488.60 1357.15

#MID Higher Dec 1627.50 1698.70 1618.95 1660.60 52% 35 25 24 96% 1698.70 1788.90 1660.60

#VLE Higher Dec 5172.40 5392.80 5136.60 5262.00 49% 33 28 27 96% 5392.80 5739.75 5262.00

#SSNI Higher Dec 18308 19593 18227 19114 65% 34 23 20 87% 19593 20824 19114

#SP Higher Dec 2198.80 2277.55 2187.45 2238.85 57% 45 33 31 94% 2277.55 2388.47 2238.85

SPH7 Higher Dec 2193.70 2272.50 2181.40 2236.20 60% 34 25 25 100% 2272.50 2385.78 2236.20

SPM7 Higher Dec 2188.40 2264.60 2176.10 2230.50 61% 34 25 24 96% 2264.60 2381.91 2230.50

SFH7 Lower Dec 99.01 100.35 97.23 98.66 46% 41 18 17 94% 97.23 91.92 98.66

EUH7 Lower Dec 106.52 109.24 103.98 105.74 33% 18 7 6 86% 103.98 99.70 105.74

JYH7 Lower Dec 87.92 88.93 84.62 85.97 31% 40 20 18 90% 84.62 81.54 85.97

BPH7 Lower Dec 125.37 128.05 122.27 123.58 23% 41 18 16 89% 122.27 116.85 123.58

CDH7 Lower Dec 74.59 76.55 73.61 74.42 28% 40 19 16 84% 73.61 71.75 74.42

DXH7 Higher Dec 101.445 103.625 99.250 102.285 69% 31 12 11 92% 103.625 106.650 102.285

CLJ7 Higher Dec 51.89 56.72 51.52 55.43 75% 33 15 15 100% 56.72 62.23 55.43

CLK7 Higher Dec 52.39 57.10 52.00 56.05 79% 33 14 14 100% 57.10 62.47 56.05

CLM7 Higher Dec 52.73 57.35 52.29 56.49 83% 33 14 14 100% 57.35 62.54 56.49

ITCOK7 Higher Dec 53.52 59.09 53.12 58.04 82% 26 11 10 91% 59.09 65.88 58.04

ITCOM7 Higher Dec 53.88 59.26 53.44 58.44 86% 26 11 10 91% 59.26 65.39 58.44

ITCON7 Higher Dec 54.15 59.31 53.67 58.70 89% 25 10 9 90% 59.31 65.42 58.70

HOJ7 Higher Dec 159.75 174.68 158.93 173.95 95% 37 18 17 94% 174.68 189.44 173.95

HOK7 Higher Dec 160.39 175.02 160.67 174.41 96% 37 16 14 88% 175.02 190.87 174.41

RBJ7 Higher Dec 171.05 187.84 170.42 186.10 90% 31 17 17 100% 187.84 207.07 186.10

RBK7 Higher Dec 172.37 188.48 171.40 187.01 91% 31 16 16 100% 188.48 208.60 187.01

RBM7 Higher Dec 172.12 187.71 171.40 186.45 92% 31 17 17 100% 187.71 205.66 186.45

NGJ7 Higher Dec 3.230 3.652 3.207 3.566 81% 26 10 9 90% 3.652 4.251 3.566

NGK7 Higher Dec 3.217 3.603 3.189 3.543 86% 26 10 10 100% 3.603 4.104 3.543

NGM7 Higher Dec 3.242 3.617 3.213 3.560 86% 26 11 10 91% 3.617 4.092 3.560

CBH7 Higher Dec 52.53 58.53 52.20 56.82 73% 27 12 11 92% 58.53 62.75 56.82

CBJ7 Higher Dec 53.08 58.78 52.72 57.49 79% 27 13 12 92% 58.78 65.43 57.49

CBK7 Higher Dec 53.52 59.09 53.12 58.04 82% 26 11 10 91% 59.09 65.88 58.04

CBM7 Higher Dec 53.88 59.26 53.44 58.44 86% 26 11 10 91% 59.26 65.39 58.44

SH7 Lower Dec 1041.25 1071.25 997.00 1004.00 9% 45 26 22 85% 997.00 941.90 1004.00

SK7 Lower Dec 1049.00 1077.50 1006.00 1012.50 9% 45 24 21 88% 1006.00 951.04 1012.50

BOH7 Lower Dec 37.25 38.62 34.57 34.66 2% 45 30 26 87% 34.57 32.50 34.66

BOK7 Lower Dec 37.38 38.73 34.82 34.92 3% 45 25 22 88% 34.82 32.74 34.92

LCG7 Higher Dec 111.950 118.500 108.180 116.050 76% 45 27 24 89% 118.500 126.146 116.050

LCJ7 Higher Dec 111.730 116.430 108.400 114.585 77% 45 28 25 89% 116.430 122.728 114.585

LCM7 Higher Dec 102.900 105.750 100.030 104.680 81% 45 29 28 97% 105.750 109.964 104.680

FCH7 Higher Dec 124.450 127.900 120.000 125.100 65% 44 26 24 92% 127.900 134.529 125.100

FCJ7 Higher Dec 124.130 127.335 119.750 124.650 65% 44 27 25 93% 127.335 133.727 124.650

HEK7 Higher Dec 68.950 73.980 67.630 72.900 83% 15 4 4 100% 73.980 76.964 72.900

HEM7 Higher Dec 73.030 78.000 71.750 76.500 76% 45 22 21 95% 78.000 83.842 76.500

JOH7 Lower Dec 214.45 220.10 186.10 193.85 23% 45 32 28 88% 186.10 167.10 193.85

JOK7 Lower Dec 211.45 215.70 185.10 191.70 22% 45 32 28 88% 185.10 165.67 191.70

KCH7 Lower Dec 150.60 151.25 132.85 137.05 23% 43 19 16 84% 132.85 120.29 137.05

KCK7 Lower Dec 152.90 153.50 135.20 139.40 23% 43 19 17 89% 135.20 123.84 139.40

DJIA Index: The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 19124.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 19763.00(Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 19139.00(Month Low) to 19988.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 19988.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 21105.91(Average Objective).
Dow Jones Transportation: The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 8982.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 9044.00(Month Close), that being 13%(Pct Range) off of 8977.00(Month Low) to 9490.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 9490.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 10273.49(Average Objective).
S & P 100(OEX): The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 968.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at 991.45(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 964.70(Month Low) to 1007.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, the #OEX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 1007.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 1063.71(Average Objective).
NASDAQ 100 Index: The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 4810.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4863.60(Month Close), that being 53%(Pct Range) off of 4721.40(Month Low) to 4992.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, the #NDX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 4992.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 5393.14(Average Objective).
Russell 2000 Index: The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1322.35(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1357.15(Month Close), that being 58%(Pct Range) off of 1308.85(Month Low) to 1392.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 1392.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 1488.60(Average Objective).
S & P Midcap 400 Index: The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1627.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1660.60(Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 1618.95(Month Low) to 1698.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 1698.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 1788.90(Average Objective).
Value Line Index: The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 5172.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 5262.00(Month Close), that being 49%(Pct Range) off of 5136.60(Month Low) to 5392.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 5392.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 5739.75(Average Objective).
Nikkei 225 Index: The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 18308(Prev Close), the market ended December at 19114(Month Close), that being 65%(Pct Range) off of 18227(Month Low) to 19593(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 19593(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 20824(Average Objective).
S & P 500 Stock Index: The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2198.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2238.85(Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 2187.45(Month Low) to 2277.55(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in December than November in 33(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 33, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 31 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 2277.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 31 years) a potential move toward 2388.47(Average Objective).
March S & P 500(CME): The SPH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2193.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2236.20(Month Close), that being 60%(Pct Range) off of 2181.40(Month Low) to 2272.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 2272.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 2385.78(Average Objective).
June S & P 500(CME): The SPM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2188.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2230.50(Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 2176.10(Month Low) to 2264.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SPM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPM should exceed 2264.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 2381.91(Average Objective).
March Swiss Franc(CME): The SFH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 99.01(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.66(Month Close), that being 46%(Pct Range) off of 97.23(Month Low) to 100.35(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, SFH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 97.23(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 91.92(Average Objective).
March EuroFX(CME): The EUH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 106.52(Prev Close), the market ended December at 105.74(Month Close), that being 33%(Pct Range) off of 103.98(Month Low) to 109.24(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March EuroFX(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, EUH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUH should penetrate 103.98(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 99.70(Average Objective).
March Japanese Yen(CME): The JYH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 87.92(Prev Close), the market ended December at 85.97(Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 84.62(Month Low) to 88.93(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 84.62(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 81.54(Average Objective).
March British Pound(CME): The BPH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 125.37(Prev Close), the market ended December at 123.58(Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 122.27(Month Low) to 128.05(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March British Pound(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, BPH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPH should penetrate 122.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 116.85(Average Objective).
March Canadian Dollar(CME): The CDH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 74.59(Prev Close), the market ended December at 74.42(Month Close), that being 28%(Pct Range) off of 73.61(Month Low) to 76.55(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, CDH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should penetrate 73.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 71.75(Average Objective).
March US Dollar Index(ICE): The DXH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 101.445(Prev Close), the market ended December at 102.285(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 99.250(Month Low) to 103.625(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, DXH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should exceed 103.625(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 106.650(Average Objective).
April Crude Oil(NYM): The CLJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 51.89(Prev Close), the market ended December at 55.43(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 51.52(Month Low) to 56.72(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 56.72(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 62.23(Average Objective).
May Crude Oil(NYM): The CLK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 52.39(Prev Close), the market ended December at 56.05(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 52.00(Month Low) to 57.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 57.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 62.47(Average Objective).
June Crude Oil(NYM): The CLM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 52.73(Prev Close), the market ended December at 56.49(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 52.29(Month Low) to 57.35(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CLM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 57.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 62.54(Average Objective).
May Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The ITCOK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 53.52(Prev Close), the market ended December at 58.04(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 53.12(Month Low) to 59.09(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, ITCOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOK should exceed 59.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 65.88(Average Objective).
June Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The ITCOM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 53.88(Prev Close), the market ended December at 58.44(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 53.44(Month Low) to 59.26(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, ITCOM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCOM should exceed 59.26(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 65.39(Average Objective).
July Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The ITCON7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 54.15(Prev Close), the market ended December at 58.70(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 53.67(Month Low) to 59.31(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, ITCON went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ITCON should exceed 59.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 65.42(Average Objective).
April NY Harbor ULSD(NYM): The HOJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 159.75(Prev Close), the market ended December at 173.95(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 158.93(Month Low) to 174.68(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 174.68(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 189.44(Average Objective).
May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM): The HOK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 160.39(Prev Close), the market ended December at 174.41(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 160.67(Month Low) to 175.02(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May NY Harbor ULSD(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 175.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 190.87(Average Objective).
April RBOB Gasoline(NYM): The RBJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 171.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at 186.10(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 170.42(Month Low) to 187.84(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 187.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 207.07(Average Objective).
May RBOB Gasoline(NYM): The RBK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 172.37(Prev Close), the market ended December at 187.01(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 171.40(Month Low) to 188.48(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 188.48(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 208.60(Average Objective).
June RBOB Gasoline(NYM): The RBM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 172.12(Prev Close), the market ended December at 186.45(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 171.40(Month Low) to 187.71(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June RBOB Gasoline(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, RBM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 187.71(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 205.66(Average Objective).
April Natural Gas(NYM): The NGJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3.230(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3.566(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 3.207(Month Low) to 3.652(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NGJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should exceed 3.652(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 4.251(Average Objective).
May Natural Gas(NYM): The NGK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3.217(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3.543(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 3.189(Month Low) to 3.603(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 3.603(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 4.104(Average Objective).
June Natural Gas(NYM): The NGM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3.242(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3.560(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 3.213(Month Low) to 3.617(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, NGM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should exceed 3.617(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 4.092(Average Objective).
March Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The CBH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 52.53(Prev Close), the market ended December at 56.82(Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 52.20(Month Low) to 58.53(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, CBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBH should exceed 58.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 62.75(Average Objective).
April Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The CBJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 53.08(Prev Close), the market ended December at 57.49(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 52.72(Month Low) to 58.78(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBJ should exceed 58.78(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 65.43(Average Objective).
May Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The CBK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 53.52(Prev Close), the market ended December at 58.04(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 53.12(Month Low) to 59.09(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, CBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBK should exceed 59.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 65.88(Average Objective).
June Brent Crude Oil(ICE): The CBM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 53.88(Prev Close), the market ended December at 58.44(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 53.44(Month Low) to 59.26(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Brent Crude Oil(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, CBM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CBM should exceed 59.26(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 65.39(Average Objective).
March Soybeans(CBOT): The SH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1041.25(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1004.00(Month Close), that being 9%(Pct Range) off of 997.00(Month Low) to 1071.25(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, SH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should penetrate 997.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 941.90(Average Objective).
May Soybeans(CBOT): The SK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1049.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1012.50(Month Close), that being 9%(Pct Range) off of 1006.00(Month Low) to 1077.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should penetrate 1006.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 951.04(Average Objective).
March Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 37.25(Prev Close), the market ended December at 34.66(Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 34.57(Month Low) to 38.62(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 30(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 30, BOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should penetrate 34.57(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 32.50(Average Objective).
May Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 37.38(Prev Close), the market ended December at 34.92(Month Close), that being 3%(Pct Range) off of 34.82(Month Low) to 38.73(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, BOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 34.82(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 32.74(Average Objective).
February Live Cattle(CME): The LCG7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 111.950(Prev Close), the market ended December at 116.050(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 108.180(Month Low) to 118.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, LCG went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 118.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 126.146(Average Objective).
April Live Cattle(CME): The LCJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 111.730(Prev Close), the market ended December at 114.585(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 108.400(Month Low) to 116.430(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 116.430(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 122.728(Average Objective).
June Live Cattle(CME): The LCM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 102.900(Prev Close), the market ended December at 104.680(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 100.030(Month Low) to 105.750(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 97%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 105.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 109.964(Average Objective).
March Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 124.450(Prev Close), the market ended December at 125.100(Month Close), that being 65%(Pct Range) off of 120.000(Month Low) to 127.900(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 127.900(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 134.529(Average Objective).
April Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 124.130(Prev Close), the market ended December at 124.650(Month Close), that being 65%(Pct Range) off of 119.750(Month Low) to 127.335(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 127.335(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 133.727(Average Objective).
May Lean Hogs(CME): The HEK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 68.950(Prev Close), the market ended December at 72.900(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 67.630(Month Low) to 73.980(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 4(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 4, HEK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEK should exceed 73.980(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move toward 76.964(Average Objective).
June Lean Hogs(CME): The HEM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 73.030(Prev Close), the market ended December at 76.500(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 71.750(Month Low) to 78.000(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, HEM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HEM should exceed 78.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 83.842(Average Objective).
March Orange Juice(ICE): The JOH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 214.45(Prev Close), the market ended December at 193.85(Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 186.10(Month Low) to 220.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, JOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 186.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 167.10(Average Objective).
May Orange Juice(ICE): The JOK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 211.45(Prev Close), the market ended December at 191.70(Month Close), that being 22%(Pct Range) off of 185.10(Month Low) to 215.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, JOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 185.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 165.67(Average Objective).
March Coffee "C"(ICE): The KCH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 150.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 137.05(Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 132.85(Month Low) to 151.25(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KCH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should penetrate 132.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 120.29(Average Objective).
May Coffee "C"(ICE): The KCK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 152.90(Prev Close), the market ended December at 139.40(Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 135.20(Month Low) to 153.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 135.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 123.84(Average Objective).

Copyright © 2024 Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
www.mrci.com	sales@mrci.com
Phone: 541-525-0521