|
MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary |
|
ScenarioSM Summary Sep 30, 2010 |
Historical Data |
Scenario Data |
Current Market Data |
Mkt |
Cond |
Month |
Prev Close |
Month High |
Month Low |
Month Close |
Pct Range |
Total Years |
Cond Years |
Action Years |
Pct |
Scenario Objective |
Average Objective |
Last Price |
#TRAN |
Higher |
Sep |
4122.60 |
4614.00 |
4122.00 |
4522.30 |
81% |
40 |
15 |
15 |
100% |
4614.00 |
4981.47 |
4522.30 |
#UTIL |
Higher |
Sep |
388.97 |
402.40 |
389.07 |
398.23 |
69% |
40 |
21 |
19 |
90% |
402.40 |
423.87 |
398.23 |
#NDX |
Higher |
Sep |
1767.40 |
2029.70 |
1791.40 |
1998.00 |
87% |
24 |
15 |
15 |
100% |
2029.70 |
2195.02 |
1998.00 |
#MID |
Higher |
Sep |
721.65 |
811.70 |
721.55 |
802.10 |
89% |
29 |
15 |
13 |
87% |
811.70 |
857.32 |
802.10 |
#VLE |
Higher |
Sep |
2240.00 |
2535.80 |
2256.80 |
2504.80 |
89% |
27 |
13 |
12 |
92% |
2535.80 |
2654.12 |
2504.80 |
#SP |
Higher |
Sep |
1049.35 |
1157.15 |
1049.70 |
1141.20 |
85% |
45 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
1157.15 |
1224.20 |
1141.20 |
SPZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
1043.30 |
1153.50 |
1056.50 |
1136.70 |
83% |
28 |
12 |
12 |
100% |
1153.50 |
1208.30 |
1136.70 |
NDZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
1763.80 |
2032.00 |
1817.50 |
1995.50 |
83% |
14 |
9 |
9 |
100% |
2032.00 |
2228.82 |
1995.50 |
TYZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
125~200 |
126~155 |
122~300 |
126~015 |
88% |
28 |
22 |
21 |
95% |
126~155 |
129~231 |
126~015 |
EDZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
99.585 |
99.650 |
99.500 |
99.640 |
93% |
28 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
99.650 |
100.068 |
99.640 |
EDH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
99.525 |
99.600 |
99.435 |
99.590 |
94% |
28 |
20 |
19 |
95% |
99.600 |
100.100 |
99.590 |
JYZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
119.09 |
120.77 |
116.48 |
120.01 |
82% |
33 |
18 |
16 |
89% |
120.77 |
128.20 |
120.01 |
ADZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
87.73 |
96.50 |
88.08 |
95.86 |
92% |
23 |
12 |
11 |
92% |
96.50 |
100.38 |
95.86 |
DXZ0 |
Lower |
Sep |
83.595 |
83.530 |
78.620 |
78.938 |
6% |
24 |
15 |
14 |
93% |
78.620 |
75.747 |
78.938 |
PAZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
501.85 |
582.65 |
500.55 |
571.25 |
86% |
33 |
16 |
14 |
88% |
582.65 |
653.29 |
571.25 |
RBF1 |
Higher |
Sep |
189.54 |
206.55 |
190.10 |
206.36 |
99% |
25 |
15 |
14 |
93% |
206.55 |
218.58 |
206.36 |
NGF1 |
Lower |
Sep |
4.654 |
4.681 |
4.219 |
4.294 |
16% |
20 |
7 |
6 |
86% |
4.219 |
3.640 |
4.294 |
NGG1 |
Lower |
Sep |
4.647 |
4.678 |
4.246 |
4.313 |
16% |
20 |
8 |
7 |
88% |
4.246 |
3.818 |
4.313 |
BOF1 |
Higher |
Sep |
40.34 |
45.77 |
40.12 |
45.39 |
93% |
45 |
19 |
16 |
84% |
45.77 |
50.56 |
45.39 |
BOH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
40.61 |
46.02 |
40.40 |
45.60 |
93% |
45 |
19 |
16 |
84% |
46.02 |
50.59 |
45.60 |
CH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
452.25 |
541.00 |
451.00 |
508.25 |
64% |
45 |
15 |
13 |
87% |
541.00 |
587.15 |
508.25 |
KWZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
702.50 |
782.75 |
687.25 |
707.75 |
21% |
34 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
782.75 |
828.73 |
707.75 |
KWH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
713.50 |
795.00 |
702.25 |
722.25 |
22% |
34 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
795.00 |
840.80 |
722.25 |
MWZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
703.50 |
790.00 |
698.50 |
721.00 |
25% |
29 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
790.00 |
838.65 |
721.00 |
MWH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
712.50 |
800.00 |
712.50 |
735.75 |
27% |
29 |
13 |
12 |
92% |
800.00 |
840.74 |
735.75 |
OH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
287.75 |
371.50 |
287.75 |
351.25 |
76% |
36 |
19 |
17 |
89% |
371.50 |
409.64 |
351.25 |
RRF1 |
Higher |
Sep |
11.60 |
12.91 |
11.53 |
12.84 |
95% |
24 |
11 |
10 |
91% |
12.91 |
14.01 |
12.84 |
RRH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
11.87 |
13.15 |
11.84 |
13.11 |
97% |
24 |
11 |
10 |
91% |
13.15 |
14.27 |
13.11 |
LCZ0 |
Lower |
Sep |
100.050 |
102.650 |
97.800 |
99.600 |
37% |
45 |
20 |
18 |
90% |
97.800 |
92.778 |
99.600 |
LCG1 |
Higher |
Sep |
100.600 |
103.550 |
99.700 |
101.750 |
53% |
45 |
25 |
23 |
92% |
103.550 |
107.792 |
101.750 |
LCJ1 |
Higher |
Sep |
102.100 |
104.500 |
101.250 |
102.885 |
50% |
43 |
21 |
20 |
95% |
104.500 |
107.909 |
102.885 |
FCF1 |
Lower |
Sep |
114.850 |
115.835 |
109.100 |
112.950 |
57% |
33 |
14 |
14 |
100% |
109.100 |
103.227 |
112.950 |
FCH1 |
Lower |
Sep |
114.450 |
115.000 |
109.100 |
112.700 |
61% |
36 |
16 |
14 |
88% |
109.100 |
103.954 |
112.700 |
LEZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
73.280 |
78.000 |
72.100 |
74.885 |
47% |
41 |
25 |
23 |
92% |
78.000 |
84.153 |
74.885 |
LEG1 |
Higher |
Sep |
75.800 |
81.385 |
74.930 |
77.850 |
45% |
41 |
26 |
22 |
85% |
81.385 |
88.185 |
77.850 |
KCZ0 |
Higher |
Sep |
178.45 |
198.65 |
178.25 |
183.05 |
24% |
37 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
198.65 |
222.58 |
183.05 |
KCH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
178.50 |
198.95 |
179.70 |
184.55 |
25% |
37 |
13 |
11 |
85% |
198.95 |
223.33 |
184.55 |
SBH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
19.32 |
25.35 |
19.32 |
23.48 |
69% |
45 |
21 |
19 |
90% |
25.35 |
28.67 |
23.48 |
SBK1 |
Higher |
Sep |
18.26 |
23.36 |
18.24 |
21.78 |
69% |
45 |
24 |
22 |
92% |
23.36 |
26.35 |
21.78 |
LBF1 |
Higher |
Sep |
225.5 |
263.8 |
224.4 |
253.4 |
74% |
37 |
10 |
9 |
90% |
263.8 |
286.8 |
253.4 |
LBH1 |
Higher |
Sep |
242.4 |
272.8 |
238.9 |
266.5 |
81% |
37 |
11 |
11 |
100% |
272.8 |
291.4 |
266.5 |
- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 4122.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 4522.30(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
4122.00(Month Low) to 4614.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, the #TRAN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 4614.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 4981.47(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 388.97(Prev Close), the market ended September at 398.23(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
389.07(Month Low) to 402.40(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, the #UTIL went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 402.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 423.87(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1767.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1998.00(Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
1791.40(Month Low) to 2029.70(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, the #NDX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 2029.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 2195.02(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 721.65(Prev Close), the market ended September at 802.10(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
721.55(Month Low) to 811.70(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, the #MID went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 811.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 857.32(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 2240.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2504.80(Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
2256.80(Month Low) to 2535.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #VLE went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2535.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 2654.12(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1049.35(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1141.20(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
1049.70(Month Low) to 1157.15(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, the #SP went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1157.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 1224.20(Average Objective).
- December S & P 500(CME)
- The SPZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1043.30(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1136.70(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
1056.50(Month Low) to 1153.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, SPZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1153.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 1208.30(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1763.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1995.50(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
1817.50(Month Low) to 2032.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, NDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should exceed 2032.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 2228.82(Average Objective).
- December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 125~200(Prev Close), the market ended September at 126~015(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
122~300(Month Low) to 126~155(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, TYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 126~155(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 129~231(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 99.585(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.640(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
99.500(Month Low) to 99.650(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, EDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 99.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 100.068(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 99.525(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.590(Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
99.435(Month Low) to 99.600(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, EDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 100.100(Average Objective).
- December Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 119.09(Prev Close), the market ended September at 120.01(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
116.48(Month Low) to 120.77(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, JYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should exceed 120.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 128.20(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 87.73(Prev Close), the market ended September at 95.86(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
88.08(Month Low) to 96.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, ADZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 96.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 100.38(Average Objective).
- December US Dollar Index(ICE)
- The DXZ0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 83.595(Prev Close), the market ended September at 78.938(Month Close),
that being 6%(Pct Range) off of
78.620(Month Low) to 83.530(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed
lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, DXZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 78.620(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 75.747(Average Objective).
- December Palladium(NYMEX)
- The PAZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 501.85(Prev Close), the market ended September at 571.25(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
500.55(Month Low) to 582.65(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Palladium(NYMEX) also closed
higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, PAZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAZ should exceed 582.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 653.29(Average Objective).
- January Gasoline(NYMEX)
- The RBF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 189.54(Prev Close), the market ended September at 206.36(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
190.10(Month Low) to 206.55(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed
higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, RBF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBF should exceed 206.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 218.58(Average Objective).
- January Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGF1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 4.654(Prev Close), the market ended September at 4.294(Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
4.219(Month Low) to 4.681(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, NGF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGF should penetrate 4.219(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 3.640(Average Objective).
- February Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGG1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 4.647(Prev Close), the market ended September at 4.313(Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
4.246(Month Low) to 4.678(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, NGG went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGG should penetrate 4.246(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 3.818(Average Objective).
- January Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 40.34(Prev Close), the market ended September at 45.39(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
40.12(Month Low) to 45.77(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, BOF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOF should exceed 45.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 50.56(Average Objective).
- March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 40.61(Prev Close), the market ended September at 45.60(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
40.40(Month Low) to 46.02(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, BOH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should exceed 46.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 50.59(Average Objective).
- March Corn(CBOT)
- The CH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 452.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 508.25(Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
451.00(Month Low) to 541.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, CH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CH should exceed 541.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 587.15(Average Objective).
- December Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 702.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 707.75(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
687.25(Month Low) to 782.75(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, KWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should exceed 782.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 828.73(Average Objective).
- March Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 713.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 722.25(Month Close),
that being 22%(Pct Range) off of
702.25(Month Low) to 795.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, KWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 795.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 840.80(Average Objective).
- December Wheat(MGE)
- The MWZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 703.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 721.00(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
698.50(Month Low) to 790.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(MGE) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, MWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWZ should exceed 790.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 838.65(Average Objective).
- March Wheat(MGE)
- The MWH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 712.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 735.75(Month Close),
that being 27%(Pct Range) off of
712.50(Month Low) to 800.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(MGE) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, MWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWH should exceed 800.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 840.74(Average Objective).
- March Oats(CBOT)
- The OH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 287.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at 351.25(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
287.75(Month Low) to 371.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Oats(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, OH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OH should exceed 371.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 409.64(Average Objective).
- January Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 11.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 12.84(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
11.53(Month Low) to 12.91(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, RRF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRF should exceed 12.91(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 14.01(Average Objective).
- March Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 11.87(Prev Close), the market ended September at 13.11(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
11.84(Month Low) to 13.15(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, RRH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should exceed 13.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 14.27(Average Objective).
- December Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCZ0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 100.050(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.600(Month Close),
that being 37%(Pct Range) off of
97.800(Month Low) to 102.650(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, LCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should penetrate 97.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 92.778(Average Objective).
- February Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCG1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 100.600(Prev Close), the market ended September at 101.750(Month Close),
that being 53%(Pct Range) off of
99.700(Month Low) to 103.550(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, LCG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 103.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 107.792(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 102.100(Prev Close), the market ended September at 102.885(Month Close),
that being 50%(Pct Range) off of
101.250(Month Low) to 104.500(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, LCJ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 104.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 107.909(Average Objective).
- January Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCF1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 114.850(Prev Close), the market ended September at 112.950(Month Close),
that being 57%(Pct Range) off of
109.100(Month Low) to 115.835(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, FCF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should penetrate 109.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 103.227(Average Objective).
- March Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCH1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 114.450(Prev Close), the market ended September at 112.700(Month Close),
that being 61%(Pct Range) off of
109.100(Month Low) to 115.000(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, FCH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should penetrate 109.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 103.954(Average Objective).
- December Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 73.280(Prev Close), the market ended September at 74.885(Month Close),
that being 47%(Pct Range) off of
72.100(Month Low) to 78.000(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, LEZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should exceed 78.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 84.153(Average Objective).
- February Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEG1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 75.800(Prev Close), the market ended September at 77.850(Month Close),
that being 45%(Pct Range) off of
74.930(Month Low) to 81.385(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, LEG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEG should exceed 81.385(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 88.185(Average Objective).
- December Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 178.45(Prev Close), the market ended September at 183.05(Month Close),
that being 24%(Pct Range) off of
178.25(Month Low) to 198.65(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, KCZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCZ should exceed 198.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 222.58(Average Objective).
- March Coffee "C"(ICE)
- The KCH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 178.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 184.55(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
179.70(Month Low) to 198.95(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed
higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, KCH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should exceed 198.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 223.33(Average Objective).
- March Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 19.32(Prev Close), the market ended September at 23.48(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
19.32(Month Low) to 25.35(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, SBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 25.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 28.67(Average Objective).
- May Sugar #11(ICE)
- The SBK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 18.26(Prev Close), the market ended September at 21.78(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
18.24(Month Low) to 23.36(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Sugar #11(ICE) also closed
higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SBK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBK should exceed 23.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 26.35(Average Objective).
- January Lumber(CME)
- The LBF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 225.5(Prev Close), the market ended September at 253.4(Month Close),
that being 74%(Pct Range) off of
224.4(Month Low) to 263.8(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, LBF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBF should exceed 263.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 286.8(Average Objective).
- March Lumber(CME)
- The LBH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 242.4(Prev Close), the market ended September at 266.5(Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
238.9(Month Low) to 272.8(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, LBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 272.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 291.4(Average Objective).
|
|
|