MRCI's Scenario Summary

MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com

Scenario^SM Summary Dec 31, 2008

Historical Data

Scenario Data

Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month

Prev
Close

Month
High

Month
Low

Month
Close

Pct
Range

Total
Years

Cond
Years

Action
Years

Pct

Scenario
Objective

Average
Objective

Last
Price

#TRAN

Higher

Dec

3512.20

3639.00

3147.00

3537.20

79%

92%

3639.00

3982.18

3537.20

#NDX

Higher

Dec

1185.80

1251.60

1091.00

1211.70

75%

90%

1251.60

1370.87

1211.70

#COMPX

Higher

Dec

1535.60

1589.90

1398.10

1550.70

80%

100%

Yes

1743.46

1550.70

#RUT

Higher

Dec

473.15

503.25

415.85

499.45

96%

95%

503.25

540.33

499.45

#MID

Higher

Dec

514.55

541.35

457.85

538.30

96%

95%

541.35

569.84

538.30

#VLE

Higher

Dec

1316.70

1414.60

1173.80

1404.80

96%

95%

1414.60

1505.36

1404.80

#SSNI

Higher

Dec

8512

8860

7850

8860

100%

88%

Yes

9361

8860

#SP

Higher

Dec

896.25

918.85

815.70

903.25

85%

94%

918.85

960.26

903.25

SPH9

Higher

Dec

894.00

918.50

814.40

900.10

82%

100%

918.50

962.30

900.10

USH9

Higher

Dec

127~16

141~28

127~10

138~02

74%

100%

141~28

146~20

138~02

TYH9

Higher

Dec

120~310

128~225

120~255

125~240

63%

94%

128~225

132~069

125~240

EDH9

Higher

Dec

98.080

98.990

98.020

98.940

95%

93%

98.990

99.373

98.940

EDM9

Higher

Dec

98.075

98.940

98.020

98.870

92%

100%

98.940

99.418

98.870

BPH9

Lower

Dec

153.83

154.56

143.29

145.57

20%

85%

143.29

137.39

145.57

CDH9

Higher

Dec

80.79

83.40

78.23

82.24

78%

88%

83.40

84.69

82.24

GCG9

Higher

Dec

819.0

886.0

742.0

884.3

99%

88%

886.0

959.4

884.3

PLJ9

Higher

Dec

888.3

950.0

790.0

941.5

95%

84%

950.0

1112.9

941.5

HOJ9

Lower

Dec

177.61

167.36

126.36

148.96

55%

93%

126.36

109.32

148.96

NGJ9

Lower

Dec

6.525

6.586

5.455

5.725

24%

92%

5.455

4.776

5.725

NGK9

Lower

Dec

6.575

6.650

5.520

5.795

24%

92%

5.520

4.948

5.795

SH9

Higher

Dec

891.00

983.50

780.00

980.00

98%

85%

983.50

1048.24

980.00

LCM9

Higher

Dec

84.950

86.600

78.600

86.200

95%

93%

86.600

90.387

86.200

FCH9

Higher

Dec

92.230

94.600

84.200

93.680

91%

95%

94.600

99.663

93.680

FCJ9

Higher

Dec

92.750

95.500

85.385

94.450

90%

95%

95.500

100.308

94.450

FCK9

Higher

Dec

93.500

96.600

86.500

95.600

90%

100%

96.600

100.981

95.600

JOH9

Lower

Dec

78.80

81.90

67.10

67.90

93%

67.10

60.30

67.90

JOK9

Lower

Dec

83.00

83.95

71.95

93%

71.95

64.67

71.95

JON9

Lower

Dec

86.75

89.00

75.85

92%

75.85

68.50

75.85

KCH9

Lower

Dec

116.10

116.00

102.15

112.05

71%

92%

102.15

92.64

112.05

KCK9

Lower

Dec

118.60

118.50

105.00

114.30

69%

100%

105.00

96.78

114.30

KCN9

Lower

Dec

120.80

107.60

116.50

67%

100%

107.60

99.97

116.50

SBN9

Higher

Dec

12.55

12.83

11.35

12.66

89%

86%

12.83

14.84

12.66

Dow Jones Transportation: The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 3512.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 3537.20(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 3147.00(Month Low) to 3639.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 3639.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 3982.18(Average Objective).
NASDAQ 100 Index: The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1185.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1211.70(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 1091.00(Month Low) to 1251.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, the #NDX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 1251.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 1370.87(Average Objective).
NASDAQ Composite Index: The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1535.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1550.70(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 1398.10(Month Low) to 1589.90(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 12 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed higher in December than November in 4(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 4, the #COMPX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should exceed 1589.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move toward 1743.46(Average Objective).
Russell 2000 Index: The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 473.15(Prev Close), the market ended December at 499.45(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 415.85(Month Low) to 503.25(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 503.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 540.33(Average Objective).
S & P Midcap 400 Index: The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 514.55(Prev Close), the market ended December at 538.30(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 457.85(Month Low) to 541.35(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 541.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 569.84(Average Objective).
Value Line Index: The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1316.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1404.80(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 1173.80(Month Low) to 1414.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1414.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 1505.36(Average Objective).
Nikkei 225 Index: The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 8512(Prev Close), the market ended December at 8860(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 7850(Month Low) to 8860(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 8860(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 9361(Average Objective).
S & P 500 Stock Index: The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 896.25(Prev Close), the market ended December at 903.25(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 815.70(Month Low) to 918.85(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 918.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move toward 960.26(Average Objective).
March S & P 500(CME): The SPH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 894.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 900.10(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 814.40(Month Low) to 918.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 918.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 962.30(Average Objective).
March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT): The USH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 127~16(Prev Close), the market ended December at 138~02(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 127~10(Month Low) to 141~28(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, USH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USH should exceed 141~28(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 146~20(Average Objective).
March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT): The TYH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 120~310(Prev Close), the market ended December at 125~240(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 120~255(Month Low) to 128~225(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, TYH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should exceed 128~225(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 132~069(Average Objective).
March Eurodollars(CME): The EDH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 98.080(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.940(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 98.020(Month Low) to 98.990(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, EDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 98.990(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 99.373(Average Objective).
June Eurodollars(CME): The EDM9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 98.075(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.870(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 98.020(Month Low) to 98.940(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, EDM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 98.940(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 99.418(Average Objective).
March British Pound(CME): The BPH9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 153.83(Prev Close), the market ended December at 145.57(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 143.29(Month Low) to 154.56(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March British Pound(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, BPH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPH should penetrate 143.29(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 137.39(Average Objective).
March Canadian Dollar(CME): The CDH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 80.79(Prev Close), the market ended December at 82.24(Month Close), that being 78%(Pct Range) off of 78.23(Month Low) to 83.40(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should exceed 83.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 84.69(Average Objective).
February Gold(CMX): The GCG9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 819.0(Prev Close), the market ended December at 884.3(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 742.0(Month Low) to 886.0(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Gold(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, GCG went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCG should exceed 886.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 959.4(Average Objective).
April Platinum(NYMEX): The PLJ9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 888.3(Prev Close), the market ended December at 941.5(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 790.0(Month Low) to 950.0(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, PLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 950.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 1112.9(Average Objective).
April Heating Oil(NYM): The HOJ9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 177.61(Prev Close), the market ended December at 148.96(Month Close), that being 55%(Pct Range) off of 126.36(Month Low) to 167.36(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, HOJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should penetrate 126.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 109.32(Average Objective).
April Natural Gas(NYM): The NGJ9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 6.525(Prev Close), the market ended December at 5.725(Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 5.455(Month Low) to 6.586(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, NGJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should penetrate 5.455(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 4.776(Average Objective).
May Natural Gas(NYM): The NGK9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 6.575(Prev Close), the market ended December at 5.795(Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 5.520(Month Low) to 6.650(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, NGK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should penetrate 5.520(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 4.948(Average Objective).
March Soybeans(CBOT): The SH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 891.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 980.00(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 780.00(Month Low) to 983.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, SH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should exceed 983.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1048.24(Average Objective).
June Live Cattle(CME): The LCM9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 84.950(Prev Close), the market ended December at 86.200(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 78.600(Month Low) to 86.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 29(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 29, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 86.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move toward 90.387(Average Objective).
March Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCH9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 92.230(Prev Close), the market ended December at 93.680(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 84.200(Month Low) to 94.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 94.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 99.663(Average Objective).
April Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCJ9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 92.750(Prev Close), the market ended December at 94.450(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 85.385(Month Low) to 95.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 95.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 100.308(Average Objective).
May Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCK9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 93.500(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.600(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 86.500(Month Low) to 96.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 96.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 100.981(Average Objective).
March Orange Juice(ICE): The JOH9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 78.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 67.90(Month Close), that being 5%(Pct Range) off of 67.10(Month Low) to 81.90(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, JOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 67.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 60.30(Average Objective).
May Orange Juice(ICE): The JOK9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 83.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 71.95(Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 71.95(Month Low) to 83.95(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, JOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 71.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 64.67(Average Objective).
July Orange Juice(ICE): The JON9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 86.75(Prev Close), the market ended December at 75.85(Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 75.85(Month Low) to 89.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Orange Juice(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, JON went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JON should penetrate 75.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 68.50(Average Objective).
March Coffee "C"(ICE): The KCH9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 116.10(Prev Close), the market ended December at 112.05(Month Close), that being 71%(Pct Range) off of 102.15(Month Low) to 116.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KCH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should penetrate 102.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 92.64(Average Objective).
May Coffee "C"(ICE): The KCK9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 118.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 114.30(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 105.00(Month Low) to 118.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 105.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 96.78(Average Objective).
July Coffee "C"(ICE): The KCN9(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 120.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 116.50(Month Close), that being 67%(Pct Range) off of 107.60(Month Low) to 120.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, KCN went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCN should penetrate 107.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 99.97(Average Objective).
July Sugar #11(ICE): The SBN9(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 12.55(Prev Close), the market ended December at 12.66(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 11.35(Month Low) to 12.83(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SBN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 12.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 14.84(Average Objective).

Moore Research Center, Inc.

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