MRCI's Scenario Summary

MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com

Scenario^SM Summary Dec 31, 2007

Historical Data

Scenario Data

Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month

Prev
Close

Month
High

Month
Low

Month
Close

Pct
Range

Total
Years

Cond
Years

Action
Years

Pct

Scenario
Objective

Average
Objective

Last
Price

NDH8

Lower

Dec

2115.00

2173.00

2022.00

2104.80

55%

86%

2022.00

1898.15

2104.80

TYH8

Higher

Dec

113~065

114~105

111~160

113~125

67%

94%

114~105

117~099

113~125

EDM8

Lower

Dec

96.270

96.350

95.870

96.255

80%

89%

95.870

95.517

96.255

SFH8

Lower

Dec

89.04

90.13

86.80

88.38

47%

100%

86.80

81.67

88.38

JYH8

Lower

Dec

91.06

92.27

87.97

90.13

50%

100%

87.97

84.64

90.13

CDH8

Higher

Dec

99.99

102.47

97.76

100.99

69%

87%

102.47

104.02

100.99

DXH8

Higher

Dec

76.160

77.880

75.625

76.700

48%

100%

77.880

79.834

76.700

GCJ8

Higher

Dec

795.2

853.2

798.0

844.5

84%

87%

853.2

919.7

844.5

PAH8

Higher

Dec

353.35

379.80

347.65

378.20

95%

88%

379.80

462.51

378.20

CLJ8

Higher

Dec

87.43

96.60

86.70

95.24

86%

100%

96.60

106.91

95.24

CLK8

Higher

Dec

87.05

95.85

86.50

94.65

87%

100%

95.85

105.59

94.65

HOJ8

Higher

Dec

240.50

261.40

239.50

259.59

92%

93%

261.40

282.87

259.59

HOK8

Higher

Dec

236.05

256.63

237.00

255.59

95%

92%

256.63

277.94

255.59

RBJ8

Higher

Dec

242.16

267.75

239.59

263.53

85%

100%

267.75

294.19

263.53

RBK8

Higher

Dec

242.96

267.60

240.25

263.73

86%

100%

267.60

294.31

263.73

NGJ8

Higher

Dec

7.202

7.580

7.070

7.546

93%

100%

7.580

8.848

7.546

NGK8

Higher

Dec

7.269

7.639

7.185

7.613

94%

100%

7.639

8.803

7.613

SH8

Higher

Dec

1097.50

1248.00

1086.00

1214.25

79%

85%

1248.00

1319.20

1214.25

KWN8

Higher

Dec

789.25

856.00

776.00

820.25

55%

85%

856.00

919.72

820.25

LCJ8

Higher

Dec

97.100

99.135

96.550

98.500

75%

96%

99.135

105.164

98.500

LCM8

Higher

Dec

93.030

95.200

92.900

95.025

92%

93%

95.200

99.489

95.025

SBN8

Higher

Dec

10.23

11.50

10.18

11.28

83%

86%

11.50

13.29

11.28

March NASDAQ 100(CME): The NDH8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2115.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2104.80(Month Close), that being 55%(Pct Range) off of 2022.00(Month Low) to 2173.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 11 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, NDH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDH should penetrate 2022.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 1898.15(Average Objective).
March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT): The TYH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 113~065(Prev Close), the market ended December at 113~125(Month Close), that being 67%(Pct Range) off of 111~160(Month Low) to 114~105(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, TYH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should exceed 114~105(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 117~099(Average Objective).
June Eurodollars(CME): The EDM8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 96.270(Prev Close), the market ended December at 96.255(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 95.870(Month Low) to 96.350(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, EDM went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should penetrate 95.870(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 95.517(Average Objective).
March Swiss Franc(CME): The SFH8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 89.04(Prev Close), the market ended December at 88.38(Month Close), that being 47%(Pct Range) off of 86.80(Month Low) to 90.13(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, SFH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 86.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 81.67(Average Objective).
March Japanese Yen(CME): The JYH8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 91.06(Prev Close), the market ended December at 90.13(Month Close), that being 50%(Pct Range) off of 87.97(Month Low) to 92.27(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 87.97(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 84.64(Average Objective).
March Canadian Dollar(CME): The CDH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 99.99(Prev Close), the market ended December at 100.99(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 97.76(Month Low) to 102.47(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should exceed 102.47(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 104.02(Average Objective).
March US Dollar Index(ICE): The DXH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 76.160(Prev Close), the market ended December at 76.700(Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 75.625(Month Low) to 77.880(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, DXH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should exceed 77.880(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 79.834(Average Objective).
April Gold(CMX): The GCJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 795.2(Prev Close), the market ended December at 844.5(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 798.0(Month Low) to 853.2(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, GCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should exceed 853.2(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 919.7(Average Objective).
March Palladium(NYMEX): The PAH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 353.35(Prev Close), the market ended December at 378.20(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 347.65(Month Low) to 379.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, PAH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 379.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 462.51(Average Objective).
April Crude Oil(NYM): The CLJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 87.43(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.24(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 86.70(Month Low) to 96.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 96.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 106.91(Average Objective).
May Crude Oil(NYM): The CLK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 87.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at 94.65(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 86.50(Month Low) to 95.85(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 95.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 105.59(Average Objective).
April Heating Oil(NYM): The HOJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 240.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 259.59(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 239.50(Month Low) to 261.40(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 261.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 282.87(Average Objective).
May Heating Oil(NYM): The HOK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 236.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at 255.59(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 237.00(Month Low) to 256.63(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 256.63(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 277.94(Average Objective).
April Gasoline(NYMEX): The RBJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 242.16(Prev Close), the market ended December at 263.53(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 239.59(Month Low) to 267.75(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, RBJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBJ should exceed 267.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 294.19(Average Objective).
May Gasoline(NYMEX): The RBK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 242.96(Prev Close), the market ended December at 263.73(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 240.25(Month Low) to 267.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, RBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 267.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 294.31(Average Objective).
April Natural Gas(NYM): The NGJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 7.202(Prev Close), the market ended December at 7.546(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 7.070(Month Low) to 7.580(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 5(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 5, NGJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 5 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should exceed 7.580(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 5 years) a potential move toward 8.848(Average Objective).
May Natural Gas(NYM): The NGK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 7.269(Prev Close), the market ended December at 7.613(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 7.185(Month Low) to 7.639(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 5(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 5, NGK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 5 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 7.639(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 5 years) a potential move toward 8.803(Average Objective).
March Soybeans(CBOT): The SH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1097.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1214.25(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 1086.00(Month Low) to 1248.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, SH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should exceed 1248.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1319.20(Average Objective).
July Wheat(KCBT): The KWN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 789.25(Prev Close), the market ended December at 820.25(Month Close), that being 55%(Pct Range) off of 776.00(Month Low) to 856.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KWN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should exceed 856.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 919.72(Average Objective).
April Live Cattle(CME): The LCJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 97.100(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.500(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 96.550(Month Low) to 99.135(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 99.135(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 105.164(Average Objective).
June Live Cattle(CME): The LCM8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 93.030(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.025(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 92.900(Month Low) to 95.200(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 95.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 99.489(Average Objective).
July Sugar #11(ICE): The SBN8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 10.23(Prev Close), the market ended December at 11.28(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 10.18(Month Low) to 11.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SBN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 11.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 13.29(Average Objective).

Moore Research Center, Inc.

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