MRCI's Scenario Summary

MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com

Scenario^SM Summary Dec 31, 2006

Historical Data

Scenario Data

Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month

Prev
Close

Month
High

Month
Low

Month
Close

Pct
Range

Total
Years

Cond
Years

Action
Years

Pct

Scenario
Objective

Average
Objective

Last
Price

#DJ

Higher

Dec

12222.00

12530.00

12090.00

12463.00

85%

90%

12530.00

13219.76

12463.00

#OEX

Higher

Dec

649.70

665.95

643.10

660.25

75%

100%

665.95

702.24

660.25

#RUT

Higher

Dec

786.10

801.00

773.05

787.65

52%

95%

801.00

860.32

787.65

#VLE

Higher

Dec

2201.00

2243.70

2172.90

2216.70

62%

95%

2243.70

2386.56

2216.70

#SSNI

Higher

Dec

16274

17302

16186

17226

93%

88%

17302

18268

17226

#SP

Higher

Dec

1400.65

1431.80

1385.95

1418.30

71%

91%

1431.80

1497.97

1418.30

SPH7

Higher

Dec

1414.80

1444.10

1400.00

1428.40

64%

100%

1444.10

1515.57

1428.40

EDM7

Lower

Dec

95.025

95.225

94.755

94.770

88%

94.755

94.372

94.770

SFH7

Lower

Dec

84.30

84.80

82.16

82.54

14%

100%

82.16

77.19

82.54

JYH7

Lower

Dec

87.61

88.55

84.79

84.84

100%

84.79

81.61

84.84

DXH7

Higher

Dec

82.54

83.93

81.90

83.43

75%

100%

83.93

86.11

83.43

GCJ7

Lower

Dec

659.2

661.0

621.0

644.3

58%

88%

621.0

580.4

644.3

GCM7

Lower

Dec

665.5

668.9

627.0

650.4

56%

87%

627.0

584.2

650.4

PAH7

Higher

Dec

334.35

338.90

321.25

338.50

98%

88%

338.90

417.09

338.50

HOJ7

Lower

Dec

187.85

188.74

170.70

171.02

92%

170.70

151.30

171.02

NGJ7

Lower

Dec

8.309

8.220

6.320

6.603

15%

91%

6.320

5.483

6.603

NGK7

Lower

Dec

8.284

8.220

6.430

6.703

15%

91%

6.430

5.727

6.703

BOK7

Lower

Dec

30.39

30.49

28.53

30.14

82%

84%

28.53

26.89

30.14

LCJ7

Higher

Dec

90.300

94.200

89.800

93.775

90%

96%

94.200

100.004

93.775

LCM7

Higher

Dec

87.250

89.975

86.650

89.300

80%

93%

89.975

93.888

89.300

FCH7

Higher

Dec

96.900

99.750

94.350

98.375

75%

94%

99.750

105.173

98.375

FCJ7

Higher

Dec

97.250

100.500

96.000

98.900

64%

95%

100.500

105.495

98.900

PBH7

Higher

Dec

91.300

93.500

90.150

92.400

67%

94%

93.500

103.505

92.400

PBK7

Higher

Dec

90.700

94.500

90.800

94.500

100%

94.500

104.761

94.500

JOH7

Lower

Dec

203.20

206.75

194.40

197.15

22%

93%

194.40

174.37

197.15

JOK7

Lower

Dec

202.00

204.30

192.70

193.60

93%

192.70

172.79

193.60

KCH7

Higher

Dec

124.30

130.00

121.90

126.20

53%

84%

130.00

147.72

126.20

KCK7

Higher

Dec

127.15

133.00

124.80

129.20

54%

85%

133.00

149.07

129.20

SBN7

Lower

Dec

11.98

12.02

10.88

11.42

47%

87%

10.88

9.38

11.42

LBK7

Higher

Dec

298.7

305.7

290.6

298.8

54%

96%

305.7

333.1

298.8

CTH7

Higher

Dec

53.50

57.05

52.51

56.19

81%

84%

57.05

60.92

56.19

DJIA Index: The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 12222.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 12463.00(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 12090.00(Month Low) to 12530.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in December than November in 31(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 31, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 28 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 12530.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 28 years) a potential move toward 13219.76(Average Objective).
S & P 100(OEX): The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 649.70(Prev Close), the market ended December at 660.25(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 643.10(Month Low) to 665.95(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #OEX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 665.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 702.24(Average Objective).
Russell 2000 Index: The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 786.10(Prev Close), the market ended December at 787.65(Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 773.05(Month Low) to 801.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 801.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 860.32(Average Objective).
Value Line Index: The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2201.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 2216.70(Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 2172.90(Month Low) to 2243.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2243.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 2386.56(Average Objective).
Nikkei 225 Index: The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 16274(Prev Close), the market ended December at 17226(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 16186(Month Low) to 17302(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 17302(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 18268(Average Objective).
S & P 500 Stock Index: The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1400.65(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1418.30(Month Close), that being 71%(Pct Range) off of 1385.95(Month Low) to 1431.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in December than November in 33(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 33, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1431.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move toward 1497.97(Average Objective).
March S & P 500(CME): The SPH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1414.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1428.40(Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 1400.00(Month Low) to 1444.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1444.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 1515.57(Average Objective).
June Eurodollars(CME): The EDM7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 95.025(Prev Close), the market ended December at 94.770(Month Close), that being 3%(Pct Range) off of 94.755(Month Low) to 95.225(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, EDM went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should penetrate 94.755(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 94.372(Average Objective).
March Swiss Franc(CME): The SFH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 84.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at 82.54(Month Close), that being 14%(Pct Range) off of 82.16(Month Low) to 84.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, SFH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 82.16(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 77.19(Average Objective).
March Japanese Yen(CME): The JYH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 87.61(Prev Close), the market ended December at 84.84(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 84.79(Month Low) to 88.55(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 84.79(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 81.61(Average Objective).
March US Dollar Index(NYBOT): The DXH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 82.54(Prev Close), the market ended December at 83.43(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 81.90(Month Low) to 83.93(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(NYBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, DXH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should exceed 83.93(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 86.11(Average Objective).
April Gold(CMX): The GCJ7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 659.2(Prev Close), the market ended December at 644.3(Month Close), that being 58%(Pct Range) off of 621.0(Month Low) to 661.0(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed lower in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, GCJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should penetrate 621.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 580.4(Average Objective).
June Gold(CMX): The GCM7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 665.5(Prev Close), the market ended December at 650.4(Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 627.0(Month Low) to 668.9(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gold(CMX) also closed lower in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, GCM went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCM should penetrate 627.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 584.2(Average Objective).
March Palladium(NYME): The PAH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 334.35(Prev Close), the market ended December at 338.50(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 321.25(Month Low) to 338.90(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYME) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, PAH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 338.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 417.09(Average Objective).
April Heating Oil(NYM): The HOJ7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 187.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at 171.02(Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 170.70(Month Low) to 188.74(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HOJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should penetrate 170.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 151.30(Average Objective).
April Natural Gas(NYM): The NGJ7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 8.309(Prev Close), the market ended December at 6.603(Month Close), that being 15%(Pct Range) off of 6.320(Month Low) to 8.220(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, NGJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should penetrate 6.320(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 5.483(Average Objective).
May Natural Gas(NYM): The NGK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 8.284(Prev Close), the market ended December at 6.703(Month Close), that being 15%(Pct Range) off of 6.430(Month Low) to 8.220(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, NGK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should penetrate 6.430(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 5.727(Average Objective).
May Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 30.39(Prev Close), the market ended December at 30.14(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 28.53(Month Low) to 30.49(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, BOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 28.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 26.89(Average Objective).
April Live Cattle(CME): The LCJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 90.300(Prev Close), the market ended December at 93.775(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 89.800(Month Low) to 94.200(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 94.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 100.004(Average Objective).
June Live Cattle(CME): The LCM7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 87.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 89.300(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 86.650(Month Low) to 89.975(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 89.975(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 93.888(Average Objective).
March Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 96.900(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.375(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 94.350(Month Low) to 99.750(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 99.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 105.173(Average Objective).
April Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCJ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 97.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 98.900(Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 96.000(Month Low) to 100.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 100.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 105.495(Average Objective).
March Pork Bellies(CME): The PBH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 91.300(Prev Close), the market ended December at 92.400(Month Close), that being 67%(Pct Range) off of 90.150(Month Low) to 93.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, PBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBH should exceed 93.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 103.505(Average Objective).
May Pork Bellies(CME): The PBK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 90.700(Prev Close), the market ended December at 94.500(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 90.800(Month Low) to 94.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, PBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBK should exceed 94.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 104.761(Average Objective).
March Orange Juice(NYBOT): The JOH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 203.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 197.15(Month Close), that being 22%(Pct Range) off of 194.40(Month Low) to 206.75(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, JOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 194.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 174.37(Average Objective).
May Orange Juice(NYBOT): The JOK7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 202.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at 193.60(Month Close), that being 8%(Pct Range) off of 192.70(Month Low) to 204.30(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, JOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 192.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 172.79(Average Objective).
March Coffee "C"(NYBOT): The KCH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 124.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at 126.20(Month Close), that being 53%(Pct Range) off of 121.90(Month Low) to 130.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should exceed 130.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 147.72(Average Objective).
May Coffee "C"(NYBOT): The KCK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 127.15(Prev Close), the market ended December at 129.20(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 124.80(Month Low) to 133.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, KCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should exceed 133.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 149.07(Average Objective).
July Sugar #11(NYBOT): The SBN7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 11.98(Prev Close), the market ended December at 11.42(Month Close), that being 47%(Pct Range) off of 10.88(Month Low) to 12.02(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, SBN went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should penetrate 10.88(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 9.38(Average Objective).
May Lumber(CME): The LBK7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 298.7(Prev Close), the market ended December at 298.8(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 290.6(Month Low) to 305.7(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, LBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should exceed 305.7(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 333.1(Average Objective).
March Cotton(NYBOT): The CTH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 53.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 56.19(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 52.51(Month Low) to 57.05(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(NYBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, CTH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should exceed 57.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 60.92(Average Objective).

Moore Research Center, Inc.

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