MRCI Online
|
| ScenarioSM Study for December S & P 500(CME) as of Jan 01, 2008 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | |||||||||||
| Tested Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
| Tested Years | 21 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| Closed Higher | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 18 |
| Exceeded High | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| Scenario Percentage | 86% | 81% | 82% | 100% | 88% | 73% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 76% | 78% |
| Avg Max Increase | 6.03% | 4.71% | 6.00% | 4.75% | 4.20% | 5.29% | 3.15% | 5.25% | 5.83% | 7.07% | 2.96% |
| Max Increase | 13.15% | 9.38% | 14.02% | 12.49% | 12.15% | 11.90% | 6.06% | 19.72% | 16.59% | 13.00% | 5.66% |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 21 | 12 | 9 |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.15% | -0.68% | -1.63% | -1.75% | -1.23% | -0.87% | -1.96% | -1.59% | -2.66% | -1.17% | -0.55% |
| Max Decline | -5.09% | -2.00% | -6.03% | -4.65% | -4.36% | -4.23% | -3.69% | -3.25% | -9.45% | -3.88% | -1.43% |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| 2007 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | ||||
| Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
|---|
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
