MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for July Soybeans(CBOT) as of Jul 08, 2025 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 22 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 22 | |
| Exceeded High | 17 | 14 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 18 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 77% | 64% | 87% | 67% | 75% | 86% | 83% | 79% | 70% | 83% | 82% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 8.56% | 10.83% | 8.22% | 7.11% | 9.62% | 8.56% | 8.11% | 9.92% | 12.21% | 14.46% | 7.42% | |
| Max Increase | 27.34% | 20.42% | 25.38% | 24.23% | 28.49% | 30.26% | 15.65% | 26.33% | 57.41% | 37.78% | 15.90% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 8 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -0.84% | -1.90% | -2.24% | -1.89% | -2.19% | -1.85% | -1.68% | -2.09% | -2.77% | -1.87% | -0.31% | |
| Max Decline | -3.69% | -5.58% | -10.49% | -4.68% | -9.44% | -7.11% | -5.31% | -5.10% | -12.49% | -4.60% | -1.66% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1 | |
| 2025 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Action | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
