MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for December Silver(CMX) as of May 10, 2021 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 28 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 24 | 15 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 18 | 14 | |
| Exceeded High | 21 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 11 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 75% | 67% | 63% | 76% | 71% | 67% | 84% | 68% | 65% | 56% | 79% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 11.83% | 11.47% | 17.53% | 10.11% | 11.14% | 16.15% | 16.01% | 19.57% | 11.80% | 13.48% | 11.94% | |
| Max Increase | 26.71% | 47.43% | 56.94% | 26.18% | 41.95% | 60.56% | 81.86% | 66.94% | 34.46% | 24.94% | 36.82% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 18 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 12 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.27% | -2.27% | -2.25% | -3.09% | -2.77% | -1.82% | -4.08% | -1.82% | -3.50% | -3.85% | -1.71% | |
| Max Decline | -7.86% | -8.59% | -6.19% | -10.93% | -10.04% | -5.43% | -14.79% | -10.89% | -11.51% | -11.30% | -10.31% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2020 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
