MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for September Silver(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2008 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | |||||||||||
| Tested Month | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug |
| Tested Years | 43 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
| Closed Higher | 19 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 23 | 14 | 28 | 17 |
| Exceeded High | 15 | 14 | 20 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| Scenario Percentage | 79% | 82% | 80% | 75% | 65% | 67% | 82% | 65% | 64% | 71% | 47% |
| Avg Max Increase | 13.62% | 22.51% | 17.41% | 14.79% | 7.88% | 13.43% | 11.18% | 11.10% | 12.23% | 11.77% | 26.11% |
| Max Increase | 67.84% | 112.83% | 92.76% | 56.52% | 23.11% | 57.10% | 34.60% | 26.68% | 21.39% | 96.91% | 68.16% |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 14 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 17 |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.16% | -0.23% | -1.70% | -1.79% | -1.01% | -2.07% | -2.32% | -2.74% | -2.35% | -2.34% | -0.80% |
| Max Decline | -9.87% | -2.03% | -9.37% | -7.52% | -5.58% | -8.48% | -9.33% | -9.97% | -5.42% | -8.90% | -4.32% |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 2007 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No | Not Yet | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
