MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March Silver(CMX) as of Aug 18, 2023 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 17 | 23 | 14 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 17 | 23 | 28 | 19 | |
| Exceeded High | 13 | 16 | 11 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 22 | 20 | 11 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 76% | 70% | 79% | 84% | 68% | 64% | 62% | 82% | 96% | 71% | 58% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 9.57% | 11.05% | 14.67% | 15.82% | 19.42% | 12.79% | 18.74% | 22.01% | 15.32% | 12.06% | 7.89% | |
| Max Increase | 26.13% | 42.22% | 60.39% | 81.96% | 67.95% | 34.44% | 67.34% | 115.36% | 42.86% | 24.65% | 15.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 13 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.01% | -2.26% | -1.69% | -3.70% | -1.62% | -3.48% | -3.73% | -1.54% | -3.59% | -2.74% | -1.37% | |
| Max Decline | -10.75% | -9.91% | -7.22% | -13.99% | -10.68% | -11.59% | -10.90% | -10.80% | -14.99% | -14.24% | -3.66% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |
| 2023 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
