MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March Silver(CMX) as of Oct 20, 2019 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 18 | 23 | 14 | 25 | 20 | 27 | 19 | 16 | 21 | 28 | 21 | |
| Exceeded High | 14 | 17 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 78% | 74% | 79% | 80% | 70% | 67% | 58% | 81% | 90% | 71% | 57% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 8.18% | 9.30% | 9.10% | 14.74% | 20.26% | 12.12% | 17.86% | 22.65% | 16.41% | 11.80% | 6.90% | |
| Max Increase | 14.78% | 27.27% | 19.77% | 81.96% | 67.95% | 34.44% | 67.34% | 115.36% | 42.86% | 24.65% | 15.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 14 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.82% | -2.01% | -1.56% | -3.72% | -1.75% | -3.11% | -3.33% | -1.80% | -3.28% | -3.04% | -1.50% | |
| Max Decline | -10.75% | -9.91% | -7.22% | -13.99% | -10.68% | -11.59% | -10.90% | -10.80% | -14.99% | -14.24% | -3.66% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | |
| 2019 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
| Action | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | |||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
