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ScenarioSM Study for March Silver(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2016 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 16 | 21 | 15 | 27 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 22 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 16 | 12 | 21 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 81% | 76% | 80% | 78% | 62% | 69% | 70% | 84% | 91% | 77% | 59% | |
Avg Max Increase | 8.47% | 10.53% | 10.27% | 14.21% | 21.52% | 12.52% | 15.80% | 22.06% | 20.95% | 13.88% | 6.55% | |
Max Increase | 14.78% | 27.27% | 22.02% | 81.96% | 67.95% | 34.44% | 67.34% | 115.36% | 95.03% | 58.37% | 15.74% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 14 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.21% | -2.32% | -1.72% | -3.56% | -1.86% | -3.15% | -3.23% | -1.51% | -3.00% | -3.18% | -1.59% | |
Max Decline | -9.18% | -9.91% | -7.22% | -13.99% | -10.68% | -11.59% | -10.90% | -10.80% | -14.99% | -14.24% | -3.66% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 4 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 3 | |
2015 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Not Yet |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.